Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC Prediction
FT
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
AI call
Hertha BSC or draw
35%
25%
40%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC prediction: Sportiko gives Holstein Kiel a 35% chance of winning, Hertha BSC 40% and the draw 25%. Last updated 16 Oct 2026, 18:23.
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- 1st Half Draw or Away 70%
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Timeline
▮
34'
Deyovaisio Zeefuik
Yellow Card
S. Schonlau
Yellow Card
38'
▮
HT 0–0
S. Schonlau
⇄ David Zec
50'
⇄
Guillermo Balzi
⇄ Gyan de Regt
64'
⇄
T. Wiese
⇄ Ikem Ugoh
64'
⇄
David Zec
Yellow Card
68'
▮
⇄
69'
Sebastian Grønning
⇄ Jan Luca Schuler
⇄
69'
Julian Eitschberger
⇄ Mads Pedersen
⇄
76'
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
⇄ Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
Jonas Therkelsen
⇄ Giorgi Kvilitaia
82'
⇄
Adrián Kaprálik
⇄ Mark Richter Monserrat
82'
⇄
⇄
89'
Oluwaseun Adewumi
⇄ Soufian Gouram
▮
90'
Paul Seguin
Yellow Card
FT 0–0
Holstein Kiel
Match Stats
Hertha BSC
43%
Ball Possession
57%
0.61
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
6
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
7
2
Shots off Goal
4
1
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots insidebox
10
2
Shots outsidebox
4
1
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
2
18
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
350
Total passes
459
269
Passes accurate
363
14
Free Kicks
17
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Timon Weiner G | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 73 (47%) | – |
| 40 Leon Parduzi D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | 4 |
| 9 Giorgi Kvilitaia F | 6.9 | 8' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 44 Mark Richter Monserrat F | 6.8 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 27 Ikem Ugoh M | 6.7 | 26' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 3 |
| 32 Hiroki Sekine D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 11 Gyan de Regt F | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 6 (2%) | – |
| 19 Phil Harres F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 7 (3%) | – |
| 20 Adrián Kaprálik M | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 4 S. Schonlau D | 6.4 | 50' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | – |
| 8 Guillermo Balzi M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 43 T. Wiese M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 2 |
| 26 David Zec D | 6.2 | 40' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 10 Jonas Therkelsen M | 6.1 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 5 Noah Madsen D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (43%) | – |
| 28 Jonas Meffert M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | 1 |
Hertha BSC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Marius Gersbeck G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | – |
| 44 Linus Gechter D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 81 (71%) | 1 |
| 18 Jan Luca Schuler F | 7.2 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 27 Niklas Kolbe D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (58%) | – |
| 30 Paul Seguin M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (66%) | 1 |
| 20 Farid Alfa-Ruprecht F | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 8 Kevin Sessa M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 47 (37%) | 5 |
| 7 Josip Brekalo M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (22%) | – |
| 19 Oluwaseun Adewumi M | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 23 Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson M | 6.4 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 33 Soufian Gouram M | 6.4 | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 17 Sebastian Grønning F | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 22 Mads Pedersen D | 6.2 | 21' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 42 Deyovaisio Zeefuik D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (25%) | 2 |
| 2 Julian Eitschberger D | 5.9 | 69' | – | – | – | 22 (12%) | 3 |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Our lean
Hertha BSC or draw
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Holstein Kiel
LLDWD
Hertha BSC
WWWWD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
35%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
40%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Holstein Kiel
P. Harres
5 gls
Hertha BSC
J. Brekalo
5 gls
O. Adewumi
4 gls
S. Grønning
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Holstein Kiel — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Arminia Bielefeld | L | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | A SpVgg Greuther Fürth | L | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H 1899 Hoffenheim | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Dynamo Dresden | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | H Hertha BSC | D | 0 - 0 |
Hertha BSC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H VfL Wolfsburg | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W | 0 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | A SSV Jeddeloh | W | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Arminia Bielefeld | W | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Holstein Kiel | D | 0 - 0 |
2. Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hertha BSC
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 31 |
| 2 |
1. FC Nürnberg
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 21 |
| 4 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 19 |
| 5 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 17 |
| 6 |
Arminia Bielefeld
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |
FC St. Pauli
|
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 |
Energie Cottbus
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |
Eintracht Braunschweig
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 |
VfL Bochum
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Dynamo Dresden
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |
Hannover 96
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |
Karlsruher SC
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 |
Holstein Kiel
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
Hertha BSC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Leitl
35
Gersbeck
42
Zeefuik
27
Kolbe
44
Gechter
2
Eitschberger
8
Sessa
30
Seguin
7
Brekalo
23
Þorsteinsson
19
Adewumi
17
Grønning
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | M. Gersbeck | G |
| 2 | J. Eitschberger | D |
| 44 | L. Gechter | D |
| 27 | N. Kolbe | D |
| 42 | D. Zeefuik | D |
| 30 | P. Seguin | M |
| 8 | K. Sessa | M |
| 19 | O. Adewumi | M |
| 23 | J. Þorsteinsson | M |
| 7 | J. Brekalo | M |
| 17 | S. Grønning | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | M. Pedersen | D |
| 18 | L. Schuler | F |
| 47 | Selim Telib | M |
| 28 | Jelani Isi Ndi | F |
| 41 | P. Klemens | D |
| 13 | Konstantin Heide | G |
| 33 | S. Gouram | M |
| 43 | T. Goller | G |
| 20 | Farid Alfa-Ruprecht | F |
Holstein Kiel
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: T. Walter
1
Weiner
40
Parduzi
4
Schonlau
5
Madsen
32
Sekine
10
Therkelsen
43
Wiese
28
Meffert
8
Balzi
20
Kaprálik
19
Harres
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Weiner | G |
| 32 | H. Sekine | D |
| 5 | N. Madsen | D |
| 4 | S. Schonlau | D |
| 40 | Leon Parduzi | D |
| 20 | A. Kaprálik | M |
| 8 | G. Balzi | M |
| 28 | J. Meffert | M |
| 43 | T. Wiese | M |
| 10 | J. Therkelsen | M |
| 19 | P. Harres | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | F. Alidou | F |
| 11 | G. de Regt | F |
| 9 | G. Kvilitaia | F |
| 13 | I. Nekić | D |
| 44 | Mark Richter Monserrat | F |
| 41 | Lio Rothenhagen | G |
| 47 | J. Tolkin | D |
| 27 | I. Ugoh | M |
| 26 | D. Zec | D |