Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction
FT
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
AI call
Too close to call
38%
27%
35%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction: Sportiko gives Holstein Kiel a 38% chance of winning, 1. FC Nürnberg 35% and the draw 27%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 12:53.
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Timeline
Adrián Kaprálik
Yellow Card
12'
▮
David Zec
Yellow Card
16'
▮
▮
34'
Eric Porstner
Yellow Card
Guillermo Balzi
Yellow Card
36'
▮
⚽
0–1
41'
Adam Markhiev
assist: Javier Fernandez
Phil Harres
assist: Adrián Kaprálik
45+1'
⚽
1–1
HT 1–1
Adrián Kaprálik
assist: Jonas Meffert
50'
⚽
2–1
⚽
2–2
56'
Piet Scobel
assist: Adam Markhiev
⇄
63'
Julian Justvan
⇄ William Bøving
⇄
63'
Finn Ole Becker
⇄ Rafael Lubach
Jonas Therkelsen
⇄ Gyan de Regt
63'
⇄
John Tolkin
⇄ Leon Parduzi
63'
⇄
Leon Parduzi
Yellow Card
65'
▮
⇄
72'
Tim Janisch
⇄ Giannis Masouras
▮
77'
Rafael Lubach
Yellow Card
Kasper Davidsen
⇄ Tayar Tasdelen
79'
⇄
▮
83'
Mohamed Ali Zoma
Yellow Card
⇄
85'
Piet Scobel
⇄ Sigurd Haugen
⇄
85'
Mohamed Ali Zoma
⇄ Rayan Ghrieb
FT 2–2
Holstein Kiel
Match Stats
1. FC Nürnberg
44%
Ball Possession
56%
14
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Goal
7
4
Shots off Goal
9
7
Blocked Shots
3
9
Shots insidebox
12
5
Shots outsidebox
6
10
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
327
Total passes
430
258
Passes accurate
344
14
Free Kicks
17
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Adrián Kaprálik M | 8.5 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 (15%) | 3 |
| 19 Phil Harres F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 1 Timon Weiner G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (45%) | – |
| 32 Hiroki Sekine D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (27%) | 7 |
| 28 Jonas Meffert M | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 28 (19%) | 4 |
| 11 Gyan de Regt F | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | 4 |
| 8 Guillermo Balzi M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (25%) | 2 |
| 15 Kasper Davidsen M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 13 Ivan Nekić D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 26 (21%) | 2 |
| 26 David Zec D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 2 |
| 47 John Tolkin D | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 2 |
| 10 Jonas Therkelsen M | 6.1 | 63' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 40 Leon Parduzi D | 5.9 | 27' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | 3 |
| 30 Tayar Tasdelen M | 5.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
1. FC Nürnberg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Adam Markhiev M | 8.5 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 63 (49%) | 3 |
| 19 Piet Scobel F | 7.7 | 85' | 1 | – | 6 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 4 Alexios Kalogeropoulos D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 66 (58%) | 2 |
| 41 Eric Porstner D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | 2 |
| 8 Javier Fernandez M | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 56 (45%) | – |
| 31 William Bøving F | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | 3 | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 23 Mohamed Ali Zoma M | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 20 (16%) | – |
| 9 Sigurd Haugen F | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 32 Tim Janisch D | 6.4 | 72' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 1 |
| 7 Rayan Ghrieb F | 6.4 | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 22 Finn Ole Becker M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 16 (12%) | – |
| 20 Fynn Otto D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (50%) | 1 |
| 10 Julian Justvan M | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 22 (14%) | 1 |
| 18 Rafael Lubach M | 6.0 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | 1 |
| 21 Giannis Masouras D | 5.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | – |
| 1 Jan Reichert G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (26%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Too close to call
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Holstein Kiel
LLDWD
1. FC Nürnberg
WWLLD
Last 1 meetings
Holstein Kiel · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
38%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
35%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Holstein Kiel
P. Harres
5 gls
1. FC Nürnberg
M. Zoma
7 gls
P. Scobel
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg
0
Holstein Kiel Wins
0
Draws
1
1. FC Nürnberg Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Holstein Kiel | 2 - 3 | 1. FC Nürnberg |
Holstein Kiel — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Arminia Bielefeld | L | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | A SpVgg Greuther Fürth | L | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H 1899 Hoffenheim | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Dynamo Dresden | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | H Hertha BSC | D | 0 - 0 |
1. FC Nürnberg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H SV Darmstadt 98 | W | 2 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A FC St. Pauli | W | 1 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | A Bayer Leverkusen | L | 5 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L | 0 - 1 |
| 16 Oct | A Energie Cottbus | D | 1 - 1 |
2. Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hertha BSC
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 31 |
| 2 |
1. FC Nürnberg
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 21 |
| 4 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 19 |
| 5 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 17 |
| 6 |
Arminia Bielefeld
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |
FC St. Pauli
|
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 |
Energie Cottbus
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |
Eintracht Braunschweig
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 |
VfL Bochum
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Dynamo Dresden
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |
Hannover 96
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |
Karlsruher SC
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 |
Holstein Kiel
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
1. FC Nürnberg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Klose
1
Reichert
41
Porstner
20
Otto
4
Kalogeropoulos
32
Janisch
8
Fernandez
6
Marhiev
23
Zoma
22
Becker
10
Justvan
19
Scobel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Reichert | G |
| 32 | T. Janisch | D |
| 4 | A. Kalogeropoulos | D |
| 20 | F. Otto | D |
| 41 | E. Porstner | D |
| 6 | A. Marhiev | M |
| 8 | J. Fernandez | M |
| 10 | J. Justvan | M |
| 22 | F. Becker | M |
| 23 | M. Zoma | M |
| 19 | P. Scobel | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Marko Soldic | M |
| 21 | G. Masouras | D |
| 36 | K. Mandic | D |
| 18 | Rafael Lubach | M |
| 13 | Robin Lisewski | G |
| 9 | S. Haugen | F |
| 7 | R. Ghrieb | F |
| 14 | andrea ceresoli | D |
| 31 | W. Bøving | F |
Holstein Kiel
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: T. Walter
1
Weiner
47
Tolkin
26
Zec
13
Nekić
32
Sekine
10
Therkelsen
15
Davidsen
28
Meffert
8
Balzi
20
Kaprálik
19
Harres
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Weiner | G |
| 32 | H. Sekine | D |
| 13 | I. Nekić | D |
| 26 | D. Zec | D |
| 47 | J. Tolkin | D |
| 20 | A. Kaprálik | M |
| 8 | G. Balzi | M |
| 28 | J. Meffert | M |
| 15 | K. Davidsen | M |
| 10 | J. Therkelsen | M |
| 19 | P. Harres | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | G. de Regt | F |
| 5 | N. Madsen | D |
| 40 | Leon Parduzi | D |
| 44 | Mark Richter Monserrat | M |
| 41 | Lio Rothenhagen | G |
| 3 | Niko Takahashi Cendagorta | D |
| 30 | T. Tasdelen | M |
| 43 | T. Wiese | M |
| 31 | M. Engelhardt | G |