Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli Prediction
FT
AI call
Arminia Bielefeld or draw
41%
27%
32%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli prediction: Sportiko gives Arminia Bielefeld a 41% chance of winning, FC St. Pauli 32% and the draw 27%. Last updated 4 Sep 2026, 18:24.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 76%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline
Jannik Rochelt
assist: Jonas Thomas Kersken
13'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
20'
Taichi Hara
assist: David Nemeth
Marvin Mehlem
Yellow Card
35'
▮
⇄
45'
Martijn Kaars
⇄ Abdoulie Ceesay
⇄
45'
Branimir Hrgota
⇄ Connor Metcalfe
HT 1–1
▮
47'
Tomoya Ando
Yellow Card
Joel Grodowski
51'
⚽
2–1
▮
56'
Eric Smith
Yellow Card
⚽
2–2
65'
Abdoulie Ceesay
assist: Arkadiusz Pyrka
Jannik Rochelt
⇄ David Min
66'
⇄
Monju Momuluh
⇄ L. Jensen
66'
⇄
⇄
76'
Taichi Hara
⇄ Youssoupha Niang
Marvin Mehlem
⇄ Sam Schreck
76'
⇄
Henri Koudossou
⇄ Benjamin Boakye
81'
⇄
Marius Wörl
⇄ Till Wegener
81'
⇄
▮
88'
Arkadiusz Pyrka
Yellow Card
Maximilian Bauer
Yellow Card
88'
▮
⇄
89'
Mathias Rasmussen
⇄ Samuel Klein
FT 2–2
Arminia Bielefeld
Match Stats
FC St. Pauli
43%
Ball Possession
57%
9
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
1
5
Shots insidebox
5
4
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
462
Total passes
603
385
Passes accurate
502
13
Free Kicks
11
Arminia Bielefeld
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Joel Grodowski F | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 27 Benjamin Boakye F | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 10 Jannik Rochelt M | 6.8 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 21 (14%) | 2 |
| 38 Marius Wörl M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | – | 50 (48%) | 3 |
| 19 Maximilian Großer D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (56%) | – |
| 9 David Min F | 6.5 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 1 Jonas Thomas Kersken G | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 45 (30%) | – |
| 17 Arne Sicker D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (41%) | 5 |
| 6 Marvin Mehlem M | 6.4 | 76' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | 3 |
| 7 Henri Koudossou D | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 29 (23%) | 1 |
| 5 Maximilian Bauer D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (52%) | 3 |
| 21 Stefano Russo D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (51%) | – |
| 8 Sam Schreck M | 6.1 | 14' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 42 Till Wegener M | 6.1 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 14 Monju Momuluh M | 5.9 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 31 L. Jensen M | 5.8 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Abdoulie Ceesay F | 7.9 | 44' | 1 | – | 2 | 10 (4%) | – |
| 18 Taichi Hara M | 7.3 | 76' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (5%) | – |
| 6 Marcus Mathisen D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 94 (88%) | 6 |
| 4 David Nemeth D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 78 (68%) | 2 |
| 8 Eric Smith M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 83 (71%) | – |
| 19 Martijn Kaars F | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 11 Arkadiusz Pyrka M | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 56 (44%) | 1 |
| 7 Youssoupha Niang F | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 15 Tomoya Ando D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 81 (74%) | 3 |
| 24 Connor Metcalfe M | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 20 Mathias Rasmussen M | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 67 (53%) | 2 |
| 23 Louis Oppie M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 1 |
| 1 Ben Voll G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | – |
| 22 Samuel Klein M | 6.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 10 Branimir Hrgota M | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Our lean
Arminia Bielefeld or draw
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Arminia Bielefeld
DLDLD
FC St. Pauli
DWDLL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
41%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
32%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Arminia Bielefeld
J. Grodowski
5 gls
FC St. Pauli
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Arminia Bielefeld — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H 1. FC Heidenheim | D | 2 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | A SV Darmstadt 98 | L | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H FC St. Pauli | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A 1. FC Nürnberg | L | 4 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | D | 2 - 2 |
FC St. Pauli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Energie Cottbus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H VfL Wolfsburg | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | A Arminia Bielefeld | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L | 1 - 2 |
| 23 Aug | A Rot-Weiß Essen | L | 2 - 0 |
2. Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hertha BSC
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |
1. FC Nürnberg
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |
Energie Cottbus
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 |
FC St. Pauli
|
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
VfL Bochum
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Hannover 96
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |
Arminia Bielefeld
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Karlsruher SC
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 |
Eintracht Braunschweig
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 |
Holstein Kiel
|
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 |
Dynamo Dresden
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
FC St. Pauli
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Rapp
1
Voll
15
Ando
6
Mathisen
4
Nemeth
23
Oppie
8
Smith
20
Rasmussen
11
Pyrka
18
Hara
10
Hrgota
19
Kaars
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Voll | G |
| 4 | D. Nemeth | D |
| 6 | M. Mathisen | D |
| 15 | T. Ando | D |
| 11 | A. Pyrka | M |
| 20 | M. Rasmussen | M |
| 8 | E. Smith | M |
| 23 | L. Oppie | M |
| 10 | B. Hrgota | M |
| 18 | T. Hara | M |
| 19 | M. Kaars | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | E. Ahlstrand | M |
| 9 | Abdoulie Ceesay | F |
| 25 | A. Dźwigała | D |
| 16 | J. Fujita | M |
| 22 | Samuel Klein | M |
| 24 | C. Metcalfe | M |
| 33 | D. Mitov | G |
| 7 | Y. Niang | F |
| 21 | L. Ritzka | D |
Arminia Bielefeld
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Mohammed Adil Erradi
1
Kersken
17
Sicker
19
Großer
21
Russo
5
Bauer
7
Koudossou
10
Rochelt
38
Wörl
6
Mehlem
14
Momuluh
11
Grodowski
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Kersken | G |
| 7 | H. Koudossou | D |
| 5 | M. Bauer | D |
| 21 | S. Russo | D |
| 19 | M. Großer | D |
| 17 | A. Sicker | D |
| 14 | M. Momuluh | M |
| 6 | M. Mehlem | M |
| 38 | M. Wörl | M |
| 10 | J. Rochelt | M |
| 11 | J. Grodowski | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | Benjamin Bediako Boakye | F |
| 3 | J. Felix | D |
| 29 | T. Handwerker | D |
| 31 | L. Jensen | M |
| 9 | D. Min | F |
| 8 | S. Schreck | M |
| 42 | T. Wegener | M |
| 30 | I. Young | F |
| 18 | L. Oppermann | G |