Paks vs MTK Budapest Prediction
Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
AI call
Paks or draw
48%
23%
29%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Paks vs MTK Budapest prediction: Sportiko gives Paks a 48% chance of winning, MTK Budapest 29% and the draw 23%. Last updated 10 Oct 2026, 19:23.
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- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
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Timeline
▮
10'
Vilius Armalas
Yellow Card
Balázs Balogh
Yellow Card
19'
▮
Á. Kinyik
assist: János Szabó
19'
⚽
1–0
János Szabó
Yellow Card
25'
▮
HT 1–0
⇄
59'
Kristóf Hinora
⇄ István Bognár
⇄
59'
György Komáromi
⇄ S. Szuhodovszki
Balázs Balogh
⇄ Kevin Horváth
67'
⇄
⇄
69'
Vilius Armalas
⇄ Benedek Varju
József Szalai
⇄ Barna Tóth
71'
⇄
Zsolt Haraszti
⇄ Milán Pető
71'
⇄
Kevin Horváth
assist: Barna Tóth
74'
⚽
2–0
Barna Tóth
Yellow Card
75'
▮
⇄
78'
Adrian Zeljković
⇄
78'
Zalán Kerezsi
⇄ Milán Klausz
▮
87'
S. Szuhodovszki
Red Card
József Windecker
⇄ Gergő Gyurkits
89'
⇄
Milán Pető
assist: Barna Tóth
90+1'
⚽
3–0
▮
90+4'
Benedek Varju
Yellow Card
FT 3–0
Paks
Match Stats
MTK Budapest
52%
Ball Possession
48%
2.42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
20
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
2
12
Shots off Goal
3
2
Blocked Shots
3
12
Shots insidebox
5
8
Shots outsidebox
3
6
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
359
Total passes
450
257
Passes accurate
340
14
Free Kicks
13
Paks
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Kevin Horváth M | 8.1 | 23' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 17 Milán Pető M | 7.7 | 19' | 1 | – | 4 | 8 (8%) | – |
| 2 Á. Kinyik D | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (15%) | 1 |
| 6 Milán Győrfi D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 34 (28%) | 4 |
| 10 Zsolt Haraszti M | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | 4 | 22 (20%) | – |
| 29 Barna Tóth F | 7.0 | 19' | – | 2 | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 14 Erik Silye D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 28 (21%) | – |
| 30 János Szabó D | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 36 (23%) | 1 |
| 22 József Windecker M | 6.8 | 89' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | 4 |
| 21 Kristóf Papp M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (30%) | 3 |
| 18 Gergő Gyurkits M | 6.6 | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 28 Márk Gyetván G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (8%) | – |
| 12 Jhojan Garcilazo D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (16%) | – |
| 8 Balázs Balogh M | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 27 (19%) | – |
| 7 József Szalai F | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 16 (9%) | 1 |
MTK Budapest
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Stipe Radić D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | 2 |
| 17 Kristóf Hinora M | 6.5 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 20 Zalán Kerezsi F | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 9 Milán Klausz F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 11 Gábor Jurek M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 41 (30%) | 2 |
| 6 Mihály Kata M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (45%) | 3 |
| 26 Vilius Armalas D | 5.9 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 24 (17%) | 1 |
| 10 István Bognár M | 5.9 | 31' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | 1 |
| 24 Tamás Fadgyas G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (18%) | – |
| 77 György Komáromi M | 5.8 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 4 Ilia Beriashvili D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (35%) | 2 |
| 13 Timóteus János Mikolay D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (29%) | 1 |
| 2 Benedek Varju D | 5.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 80 Adrian Zeljković M | 5.4 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 44 (35%) | 2 |
| 29 S. Szuhodovszki M | 5.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (48%)
At a glance
Our lean
Paks or draw
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Paks
WLWWL
MTK Budapest
DLWLW
Last 1 meetings
Paks · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
48%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
29%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Paks
J. Szalai
6 gls
M. Pető
4 gls
MTK Budapest
G. Jurek
7 gls
Zalán Márk Kerezsi
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Paks vs MTK Budapest
1
Paks Wins
0
Draws
0
MTK Budapest Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | MTK Budapest | 0 - 2 | Paks |
Paks — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Zalaegerszegi TE | W | 2 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Ferencvarosi TC | L | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Cigand SE | W | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Vasas | W | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Gyori ETO FC | L | 1 - 2 |
MTK Budapest — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Budapest Honved | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Zalaegerszegi TE | L | 3 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Monori Se | W | 1 - 5 |
| 25 Oct | A Ferencvarosi TC | L | 5 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | H Vasas | W | 1 - 0 |
NB I Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Puskas Academy
|
13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 24 |
| 2 |
Gyori ETO FC
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 |
Paks
|
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 |
Debreceni VSC
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |
Ujpest
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |
Vasas
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |
Budapest Honved
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 |
Zalaegerszegi TE
|
13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |
MTK Budapest
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 |
Kisvarda FC
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Nyiregyhaza
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
Paks
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: G. Bognár
28
Gyetván
14
Silye
30
Szabó
2
Kinyik
12
Vas
6
Győrfi
21
Papp
8
Balogh
22
Windecker
10
Haraszti
7
Szalai
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | M. Gyetván | G |
| 6 | M. Győrfi | D |
| 12 | G. Vas | D |
| 2 | Á. Kinyik | D |
| 30 | J. Szabó | D |
| 14 | E. Silye | D |
| 10 | Z. Haraszti | M |
| 22 | J. Windecker | M |
| 8 | B. Balogh | M |
| 21 | K. Papp | M |
| 7 | J. Szalai | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | B. Vécsei | M |
| 15 | C. Belényesi | D |
| 27 | J. Galambos | F |
| 18 | G. Gyurkits | M |
| 9 | J. Hahn | F |
| 19 | K. Horváth | M |
| 1 | Á. Kovácsik | G |
| 4 | A. Lapu | M |
| 17 | M. Pető | M |
| 29 | B. Tóth | F |
MTK Budapest
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
24
Fadgyas
13
Timoteus
55
Radić
4
Beriashvili
26
Armalas
6
Kata
80
Zeljković
77
Komáromi
17
Hinora
11
Jurek
20
Kerezsi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | T. Fadgyas | G |
| 26 | V. Armalas | D |
| 4 | I. Beriashvili | D |
| 55 | S. Radić | D |
| 13 | M. Timoteus | D |
| 80 | Adrian Zeljković | M |
| 6 | M. Kata | M |
| 11 | G. Jurek | M |
| 17 | K. Hinora | M |
| 77 | G. Komáromi | M |
| 20 | Zalán Márk Kerezsi | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | B. Varju | D |
| 29 | S. Szuhodovszki | M |
| 27 | P. Kovács | D |
| 9 | M. Klausz | F |
| 10 | I. Bognár | M |
| 43 | Bence Varga | G |
| 8 | A. G. Zubor | M |
| 30 | Sámuel Barnabás Bakó | F |