MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy Prediction

NB I · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

MTK Budapest

Home

2 : 3

HT 0 - 2

Puskas Academy

Away

AI call MTK Budapest or draw

38%

28%

33%

Home Win · 2.72 Draw · 3.65 Away Win · 2.50

MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy prediction: Sportiko gives MTK Budapest a 38% chance of winning, Puskas Academy 33% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 17:30.

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Home to Score 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 18'

Martin Kern assist: Palkó Dárdai

Ilia Beriashvili ⇄ Csaba Belényesi

22' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 23'

Georgiy Harutyunyan

Stipe Radić Yellow Card

45+3' ▮

▮ 45+3'

András Németh Yellow Card

Krisztián László Yellow Card

45+3' ▮

HT 0–2

Krisztián László

46' ⇄

▮ 50'

Martin Kern Yellow Card

Gábor Jurek assist: Zalán Kerezsi

52' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 52'

Palkó Dárdai ⇄ Mikael Soisalo

▮ 56'

Roland Orján Yellow Card

⇄ 63'

András Németh ⇄ Lamin Colley

⇄ 63'

Martin Kern ⇄ Zsombor Varga

Milán Klausz ⇄ György Komáromi

68' ⇄

▮ 69'

Michael Okeke Yellow Card

Zalán Kerezsi

78' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 86'

Laros Duarte ⇄ Urho Nissilä

Stipe Radić ⇄ Vilius Armalas

86' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 90+8'

Lamin Colley assist: Urho Nissilä

FT 2–3

MTK Budapest

Match Stats

Puskas Academy

58% Ball Possession 42%

Expected Goals (xG)

17 Total Shots 17

9 Shots on Goal 6

5 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 6

8 Shots insidebox 14

9 Shots outsidebox 3

8 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 1

10 Fouls 20

2 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 7

551 Total passes 398

478 Passes accurate 338

87% Passes % 85%

goals_prevented

MTK Budapest

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Zalán Kerezsi M	9.0	96'	1	1	2	25 (22%)	2
11 Gábor Jurek M	7.7	96'	1	–	6	38 (30%)	2
2 Benedek Varju D	7.5	96'	–	–	1	33 (32%)	2
1 Patrik Demjén G	7.3	96'	–	–	–	39 (27%)	1
18 Csaba Belényesi D	7.3	74'	–	–	–	56 (53%)	–
10 István Bognár M	7.3	51'	–	1	–	28 (20%)	–
27 Patrik Kovács D	7.2	96'	–	–	1	52 (44%)	3
6 Mihály Kata M	7.2	96'	–	–	1	67 (59%)	3
80 Adrian Zeljković M	7.2	96'	–	–	1	83 (75%)	2
55 Stipe Radić D	7.0	86'	–	–	–	67 (62%)	–
77 György Komáromi M	6.7	28'	–	–	2	8 (7%)	–
16 Krisztián László M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	2
26 Vilius Armalas D	6.3	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
9 Milán Klausz F	6.3	68'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–
4 Ilia Beriashvili D	6.2	22'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	–

Puskas Academy

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Georgiy Harutyunyan D	7.9	96'	1	–	1	50 (47%)	3
72 Bendegúz Lehoczki G	7.7	96'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	–
74 Martin Kern M	7.6	63'	1	–	2	19 (12%)	3
10 Palkó Dárdai M	7.3	52'	–	1	–	18 (16%)	–
66 Zsombor Varga M	7.0	33'	–	–	1	16 (14%)	1
9 Lamin Colley F	6.7	33'	–	–	3	5 (4%)	1
22 Roland Szolnoki D	6.6	96'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	2
20 Mikael Soisalo F	6.6	44'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	–
8 Dániel Lukács M	6.6	96'	–	–	1	24 (20%)	1
4 Michael Okeke M	6.5	96'	–	–	1	46 (37%)	1
6 Laros Duarte M	6.3	86'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	1
14 Wojciech Golla D	6.3	96'	–	–	1	58 (52%)	–
90 András Németh F	6.3	63'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
16 Urho Nissilä M	6.2	10'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
96 Roland Orján D	5.9	96'	–	–	1	26 (25%)	2

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

MTK Budapest or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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MTK Budapest

LDWLW

Puskas Academy

WLWDL

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-3! Puskas Academy win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 81.9%. Late goal chance: 19.2%.

80' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 78.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Puskas Academy leads 1-2. Win probability: 82.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 17.4%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Puskas Academy win: 69.3%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Puskas Academy goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	5	2
1	11	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ MTK Budapest goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

MTK Budapest

Zalán Márk Kerezsi 3 gls

G. Jurek 1 gls

I. Bognár 1 gls

M. Klausz 1 gls

Puskas Academy

A. Németh 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

33%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

33%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	7.5%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
1	10.9%	14.4%	6.5%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.7%	8.9%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.0%	4.1%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	MTK Budapest	Draw	Puskas Academy
MTK Budapest	25.4%	4.0%	1.3%
Draw	17.2%	19.7%	10.3%
Puskas Academy	2.3%	4.6%	15.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

MTK Budapest — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Puskas Academy	L	2 - 3
01 Aug	A Budapest Honved	D	3 - 3
27 Jul	H Zalaegerszegi TE	W	3 - 0
11 Jul	H LNZ Cherkasy	L	0 - 4
08 Jul	A Celje	W	1 - 2

Puskas Academy — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A MTK Budapest	W	2 - 3
31 Jul	H Kisvarda FC	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Debreceni VSC	W	0 - 2
22 Mar	H Debreceni VSC	D	1 - 1
06 Mar	A Kisvarda FC	L	1 - 0

NB I Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	3	2	0	1	5	4	+1	6
2	Gyori ETO FC	2	1	1	0	6	2	+4	4
3	MTK Budapest	3	1	1	1	8	6	+2	4
4	Kisvarda FC	2	1	1	0	3	1	+2	4
5	Ujpest	2	1	0	1	5	4	+1	3
6	Zalaegerszegi TE	2	1	0	1	5	5	0	3
7	Paks	2	1	0	1	6	7	-1	3
8	Nyiregyhaza	2	1	0	1	2	5	-3	3
9	Budapest Honved	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2
10	Vasas	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2
11	Ferencvarosi TC	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
12	Debreceni VSC	2	0	0	2	2	6	-4	0

Puskas Academy

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Levente Babo

72 Lehoczki

22 Szolnoki

21 Harutyunyan

14 Golla

96 Orján

6 Duarte

8 Lukács

74 Kern

4 Okeke

10 Dárdai

90 Németh

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
72	Bendegúz Lehoczki	G
96	Roland Orján	D
14	Wojciech Golla	D
21	Georgiy Harutyunyan	D
22	Roland Szolnoki	D
6	Laros Duarte	M
10	Palkó Dárdai	M
4	Michael Okeke	M
74	Martin Kern	M
8	Dániel Lukács	M
90	András Németh	F

Substitutes

24	Tamás Markek	G
80	Bendegúz Farkas	D
76	Barna Pál	D
77	Kevin Mondovics	F
88	Bence Vékony	M
42	Zsolt Krupa	M
66	Zsombor Varga	M
16	Urho Nissilä	M
20	Mikael Soisalo	F
68	Daniel Brugger	M
9	Lamin Colley	F
99	Zoárd Nagy	F

MTK Budapest

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mate Pinezits

1 Demjén

27 Kovács

55 Radić

4 Beriashvili

2 Varju

80 Zeljković

6 Kata

20 Kerezsi

16 László

11 Jurek

9 Klausz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Patrik Demjén	G
2	Benedek Varju	D
4	Ilia Beriashvili	D
55	Stipe Radić	D
27	Patrik Kovács	D
6	Mihály Kata	M
80	Adrian Zeljković	M
11	Gábor Jurek	M
16	Krisztián László	M
20	Zalán Kerezsi	M
9	Milán Klausz	F

Substitutes

18	Csaba Belényesi	D
24	Tamás Fadgyas	G
26	Vilius Armalas	D
5	Dániel Horváth	D
13	Timóteus János Mikolay	D
14	Artúr Horváth	M
10	István Bognár	M
23	Jakub Plšek	M
8	Ádám Zubor	M
99	Hunor Németh	M
77	György Komáromi	M
7	Dániel Zsóri	F