HB Koge vs Hobro Prediction

1. Division · Regular Season - 9

Post on X

HB Koge

Home

5 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Hobro

Away

Capelli Sport Stadion, Køge

AI call Too close to call

35%

29%

35%

Home Win Draw Away Win

HB Koge vs Hobro prediction: Sportiko gives HB Koge a 35% chance of winning, Hobro 35% and the draw 29%. Last updated 21 Sep 2026, 18:53.

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Over 1.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Away to Score 73%
Home to Score 73%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

11' ▮

18' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 22'

HT 1–1

48' ⚽ 2–1

55' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 62'

63' ⚽ 4–1

64' ⇄

65' ⚽ 5–1

⚽ 5–2 69'

⇄ 70'

74' ⇄

84' ⇄

⇄ 87'

FT 5–2

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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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HB Koge

WDDDD

Hobro

LDLLW

Last 1 meetings HB Koge · 0W 1D 0L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: HB Koge leads 5-2. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

71' Goal 85% sure

HB Koge now leads 5-2 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 42.4%.

67' Goal 85% sure

HB Koge now leads 5-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 48.6%.

64' Goal 85% sure

HB Koge now leads 4-1 with 99.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 52.7%.

55' Goal 85% sure

HB Koge now leads 3-1 with 93.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 63.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hobro goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ HB Koge goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

35%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

35%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

50% Home (No Draw) 50% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	7.7%	6.2%	2.8%	0.9%
1	7.7%	14.1%	8.3%	3.7%	1.2%
2	6.2%	8.3%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.8%	3.7%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HB Koge	Draw	Hobro
HB Koge	22.0%	5.1%	2.5%
Draw	12.6%	18.2%	14.5%
Hobro	1.7%	4.0%	19.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: HB Koge vs Hobro

0 HB Koge Wins

1 Draws

0 Hobro Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Feb 2026	Hobro	1 - 1	HB Koge

HB Koge — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Hobro	W	5 - 2
12 Sep	A Esbjerg	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Hillerød	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Aalborg	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	H Kolding IF	D	2 - 2

Hobro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A HB Koge	L	5 - 2
11 Sep	H Vejle	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Hvidovre	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Hillerød	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Aalborg	W	2 - 1

1. Division Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hvidovre	9	6	3	0	18	9	+9	21
2	Vejle	9	5	4	0	22	13	+9	19
3	FC Fredericia	9	3	5	1	12	6	+6	14
4	Aarhus Fremad	9	3	4	2	10	9	+1	13
5	Aalborg	9	3	4	2	11	11	0	13
6	Hobro	9	4	1	4	12	16	-4	13
7	Vendsyssel FF	9	2	4	3	10	14	-4	10
8	AB Copenhagen	9	2	3	4	11	10	+1	9
9	Hillerød	9	2	3	4	13	14	-1	9
10	Kolding IF	9	1	5	3	10	12	-2	8
11	HB Koge	9	1	4	4	11	17	-6	7
12	Esbjerg	9	1	2	6	10	19	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.