Esbjerg vs HB Koge Prediction

1. Division · Regular Season - 8

Post on X

Esbjerg

Home

2 : 2

HT 1 - 0

HB Koge

Away

Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg

AI call Esbjerg or draw

49%

26%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Esbjerg vs HB Koge prediction: Sportiko gives Esbjerg a 49% chance of winning, HB Koge 25% and the draw 26%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 14:55.

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1st Half Over 0.5 73%
Away to Score 72%

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Timeline

James Ampofo

21' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

46' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 49'

Penalty

Frode Aronsson

58' ⇄

⇄ 58'

59' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 62'

66' ⇄

⇄ 81'

James Ampofo

84' ⇄

Yellow Card

88' ▮

Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 2–2

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Esbjerg or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Esbjerg

LWDLL

HB Koge

WDDDD

Last 1 meetings Esbjerg · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HB Koge goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	4	2	1
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	3	1
3	5	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Esbjerg goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	4.4%	3.7%	1.6%	0.5%
1	6.9%	11.9%	6.8%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.7%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.7%	6.0%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.1%	2.7%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Esbjerg	Draw	HB Koge
Esbjerg	31.6%	4.8%	2.1%
Draw	15.9%	15.0%	10.1%
HB Koge	2.6%	4.1%	13.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Esbjerg vs HB Koge

1 Esbjerg Wins

0 Draws

0 HB Koge Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Mar 2026	HB Koge	0 - 1	Esbjerg

Esbjerg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A AB Copenhagen	L	3 - 0
15 Sep	A HIK	W	0 - 5
12 Sep	H HB Koge	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Fredericia	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Vendsyssel FF	L	0 - 2

HB Koge — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Hobro	W	5 - 2
12 Sep	A Esbjerg	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Hillerød	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Aalborg	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	H Kolding IF	D	2 - 2

1. Division Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hvidovre	9	6	3	0	18	9	+9	21
2	Vejle	9	5	4	0	22	13	+9	19
3	FC Fredericia	9	3	5	1	12	6	+6	14
4	Aarhus Fremad	9	3	4	2	10	9	+1	13
5	Aalborg	9	3	4	2	11	11	0	13
6	Hobro	9	4	1	4	12	16	-4	13
7	Vendsyssel FF	9	2	4	3	10	14	-4	10
8	AB Copenhagen	9	2	3	4	11	10	+1	9
9	Hillerød	9	2	3	4	13	14	-1	9
10	Kolding IF	9	1	5	3	10	12	-2	8
11	HB Koge	9	1	4	4	11	17	-6	7
12	Esbjerg	9	1	2	6	10	19	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.