Swindon Town vs Rotherham Prediction
FT
The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
AI call
Swindon Town or draw
40%
28%
32%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Swindon Town vs Rotherham prediction: Sportiko gives Swindon Town a 40% chance of winning, Rotherham 32% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Oct 2026, 17:01.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 74%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
▮
4'
J. Buyabu
Red Card
J. Ball
⇄ Joseph Hungbo
42'
⇄
Jack Thomson
assist: Dan Butler
45+3'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
⇄
55'
Brandon Cover
⇄ Sonny Aljofree
⇄
55'
Aaron Nemane
⇄ George Sebine
⇄
55'
Joe Rafferty
⇄ B. Williams
Tom Nichols
⇄ Ollie Palmer
60'
⇄
▮
72'
Kieran Ngwenya
Yellow Card
Dan Butler
⇄ Joel McGregor
75'
⇄
J. Snowdon
⇄ James Debayo
76'
⇄
⇄
76'
Josh Austerfield
⇄
76'
Paul Mullin
⇄ Tom Bradshaw
▮
79'
Dominic Iorfa
Red Card
▮
80'
Red Card
Joseph Hungbo
81'
⚽
2–0
⚽
2–1
87'
Denzel Hall
▮
90+5'
Denzel Hall
Yellow Card
FT 2–1
Swindon Town
Match Stats
Rotherham
74%
Ball Possession
26%
1.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
15
Total Shots
3
4
Shots on Goal
2
10
Shots off Goal
1
1
Blocked Shots
0
7
Shots insidebox
2
8
Shots outsidebox
1
6
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
557
Total passes
206
447
Passes accurate
99
9
Free Kicks
10
Swindon Town
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jack Thomson M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 76 (66%) | 3 |
| 5 Stephan Negru D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (55%) | – |
| 7 Tom Nichols M | 7.2 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
| 15 Joseph Hungbo F | 7.2 | 48' | 1 | – | 1 | 27 (19%) | – |
| 34 Billy Kirkman D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 64 (51%) | 3 |
| 26 Dan Butler M | 6.9 | 75' | – | 1 | 1 | 58 (37%) | 2 |
| 6 J. Ball D | 6.8 | 42' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | – |
| 2 Mitchell Clark M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 69 (60%) | 1 |
| 18 James Debayo D | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 33 Joel McGregor D | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 28 Ollie Palmer F | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 23 Aaron Drinan F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 1 Connor Ripley G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | – |
| 24 Matthew Virtue-Thick M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (22%) | 1 |
| 19 J. Snowdon M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 31 (23%) | 1 |
Rotherham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sonny Aljofree D | 6.6 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 12 Denzel Hall D | 6.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.4 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 9 Tom Bradshaw F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 19 George Sebine F | 6.2 | 35' | – | – | – | 6 (1%) | – |
| 10 Paul Mullin F | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 4 Josh Austerfield M | 6.1 | 76' | – | – | – | 14 (7%) | 2 |
| 2 Joe Rafferty D | 6.1 | 55' | – | – | – | 18 (8%) | – |
| 15 Jayce Fitzgerald M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (18%) | 1 |
| 13 Julian Eyestone G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (9%) | – |
| 28 Brandon Cover M | 5.9 | 55' | – | – | – | 15 (7%) | – |
| 23 Aaron Nemane F | 5.9 | 55' | – | – | – | 7 (2%) | – |
| 33 B. Williams D | 5.7 | 35' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 5 Kieran Ngwenya D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (9%) | 6 |
| 24 J. Buyabu F | 5.5 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 27 Dominic Iorfa D | 5.4 | 79' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | 3 |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Our lean
Swindon Town or draw
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Swindon Town
LWDWD
Rotherham
WLLDD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
32%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Swindon Town
A. Drinan
8 gls
Rotherham
P. Mullin
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Swindon Town vs Rotherham
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Swindon Town — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Milton Keynes Dons | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Rotherham | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Bristol Rovers | D | 0 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | A Barnet | W | 1 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H Walsall | D | 1 - 1 |
Rotherham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Bromley | W | 0 - 2 |
| 03 Nov | H Newcastle United U21 | L | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Swindon Town | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Shrewsbury | D | 3 - 3 |
| 20 Oct | H Newport County | D | 2 - 2 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Salford City
|
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |
Barnet
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |
Walsall
|
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |
Crewe
|
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Grimsby
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |
York
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |
Gillingham
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |
Accrington ST
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |
Chesterfield
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Tranmere
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Exeter City
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |
Newport County
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |
Shrewsbury
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |
Fleetwood Town
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |
Bristol Rovers
|
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |
Oldham
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |
Port Vale
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |
Rochdale
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |
Northampton
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |
Colchester
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
Rotherham
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: A. Bruce
13
Eyestone
5
Ngwenya
27
Iorfa
12
Hall
2
Rafferty
4
Austerfield
15
Fitzgerald
28
Cover
24
Buyabu
10
Mullin
23
Nemane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | J. Eyestone | G |
| 2 | J. Rafferty | D |
| 12 | D. Hall | D |
| 27 | D. Iorfa | D |
| 5 | K. Ngwenya | D |
| 28 | Brandon Ashley Cover | M |
| 15 | Jayce Fitzgerald | M |
| 4 | J. Austerfield | M |
| 23 | A. Nemane | F |
| 10 | P. Mullin | F |
| 24 | J. Buyabu | F |
Substitutes
| 33 | B. Williams | D |
| 19 | George Sebine | F |
| 20 | K. Lolas | M |
| 1 | T. Cann | G |
| 9 | T. Bradshaw | F |
| 14 | Sonny Aljofree | D |
| 18 | L. Agbaire | D |
Swindon Town
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Ripley
34
Kirkman
5
Negru
6
Ball
26
Butler
24
Virtue-Thick
25
Thomson
2
Clark
19
Snowdon
7
Nichols
23
Drinan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Ripley | G |
| 6 | J. Ball | D |
| 5 | S. Negru | D |
| 34 | B. Kirkman | D |
| 2 | M. Clark | M |
| 25 | J. Thomson | M |
| 24 | M. Virtue-Thick | M |
| 26 | D. Butler | M |
| 7 | T. Nichols | M |
| 19 | J. Snowdon | M |
| 23 | A. Drinan | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | J. Debayo | D |
| 15 | J. Hungbo | F |
| 33 | Joel McGregor | D |
| 39 | L. Millard | F |
| 21 | K. Majekodunmi | D |
| 28 | O. Palmer | F |
| 12 | Lewis Moore Ward | G |