Gillingham vs Grimsby Prediction
FT
Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
AI call
Grimsby or draw
28%
28%
44%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Gillingham vs Grimsby prediction: Sportiko gives Gillingham a 28% chance of winning, Grimsby 44% and the draw 28%. Last updated 24 Oct 2026, 15:55.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 70%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
7'
Harvey Rodgers
G. McCleary
Yellow Card
24'
▮
Ronan Hale
assist: G. McCleary
37'
⚽
1–1
▮
43'
Géza Dávid Turi
Yellow Card
HT 1–1
▮
51'
Justin Amaluzor
Yellow Card
A. Little
Yellow Card
53'
▮
⚽
1–2
54'
Iwan Morgan
Penalty
⇄
55'
Justin Amaluzor
⇄ S. Finch
▮
62'
Maldini Kacurri
Yellow Card
⚽
1–3
63'
Géza Dávid Turi
G. McCleary
⇄ T. Eaves
66'
⇄
Nick Freeman
⇄ Sheldon Kendall
67'
⇄
⚽
1–4
70'
S. Finch
assist: Géza Dávid Turi
⇄
72'
Géza Dávid Turi
⇄ Mark Shelton
⇄
72'
Iwan Morgan
⇄ Josh Andrews
A. Little
⇄ E. Coleman
79'
⇄
⇄
81'
Kieran Green
⇄ Cian Doyle
⇄
81'
Jamie Walker
⇄ Finlay Cartwright
▮
89'
S. Finch
Yellow Card
E. Coleman
Yellow Card
90'
▮
FT 1–4
Gillingham
Match Stats
Grimsby
55%
Ball Possession
45%
0.6
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
9
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Goal
9
7
Shots off Goal
5
0
Blocked Shots
7
5
Shots insidebox
14
4
Shots outsidebox
7
4
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
367
Total passes
306
241
Passes accurate
178
10
Free Kicks
15
Gillingham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Ronan Hale F | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 17 (12%) | – |
| 12 G. McCleary F | 6.9 | 66' | – | 1 | – | 17 (10%) | – |
| 20 Jack Daley D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (36%) | 2 |
| 1 O. Wright G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (21%) | – |
| 39 T. Eaves F | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 19 Omar Beckles D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (38%) | 1 |
| 14 Robbie McKenzie M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (9%) | 2 |
| 22 Nick Freeman M | 5.9 | 67' | – | – | – | 17 (9%) | 1 |
| 16 James Brophy F | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (24%) | – |
| 18 Sheldon Kendall M | 5.7 | 23' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 6 E. Coleman M | 5.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 3 Conor McManus M | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 34 (20%) | – |
| 8 A. Little M | 5.4 | 79' | – | – | – | 48 (34%) | – |
| 5 Andy Smith D | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (18%) | 1 |
Grimsby
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Géza Dávid Turi M | 8.0 | 72' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 (22%) | 2 |
| 10 S. Finch F | 7.3 | 35' | 1 | – | 3 | 5 (2%) | 1 |
| 5 Harvey Rodgers D | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 24 (14%) | – |
| 9 Iwan Morgan D | 7.1 | 72' | 1 | – | 3 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 30 Charles Vernam M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 27 (19%) | 1 |
| 29 Mark Shelton M | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | – | 15 (8%) | 2 |
| 19 Josh Andrews F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 3 | – |
| 39 Andy Cook F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 7 Jamie Walker M | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 21 (13%) | – |
| 8 Cian Doyle M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 28 Finlay Cartwright M | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 14 Justin Amaluzor M | 6.2 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 7 (2%) | 2 |
| 2 Maldini Kacurri D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 25 (14%) | 1 |
| 12 Joe Foulkes D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (26%) | 1 |
| 31 Christy Pym G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (20%) | – |
| 4 Kieran Green M | 5.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 25 (10%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Our lean
Grimsby or draw
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Gillingham
LWLDL
Grimsby
WWDLL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowMost likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Gillingham
Ronan Hale
6 gls
Grimsby
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Gillingham vs Grimsby
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Gillingham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Barrow | L | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Shrewsbury | W | 1 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Grimsby | L | 1 - 4 |
| 20 Oct | H Port Vale | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Accrington ST | L | 3 - 1 |
Grimsby — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H York | W | 5 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Gillingham | W | 1 - 4 |
| 20 Oct | A Rochdale | D | 2 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Northampton | L | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Oct | A Port Vale | L | 1 - 0 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Salford City
|
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |
Barnet
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |
Walsall
|
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |
Crewe
|
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Grimsby
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |
York
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |
Gillingham
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |
Accrington ST
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |
Chesterfield
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Tranmere
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Exeter City
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |
Newport County
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |
Shrewsbury
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |
Fleetwood Town
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |
Bristol Rovers
|
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |
Oldham
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |
Port Vale
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |
Rochdale
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |
Northampton
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |
Colchester
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
Gillingham
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: G. Ainsworth
1
Wright
20
Daley
19
Beckles
5
Smith
3
McManus
8
Little
14
McKenzie
22
Freeman
16
Brophy
10
Hale
12
McCleary
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Wright | G |
| 5 | A. Smith | D |
| 19 | O. Beckles | D |
| 20 | J. Daley | D |
| 22 | N. Freeman | M |
| 14 | R. McKenzie | M |
| 8 | A. Little | M |
| 3 | Conor McManus | M |
| 12 | G. McCleary | F |
| 10 | Ronan Hale | F |
| 16 | J. Brophy | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | E. Coleman | M |
| 23 | B. Dack | M |
| 39 | T. Eaves | F |
| 40 | R. Luthra | G |
| 24 | H. Waldock | M |
| 26 | L. Dobbs | D |
| 18 | S. Kendall | M |
Grimsby
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: D. Artell
31
Pym
9
Morgan
12
Foulkes
2
Kacurri
5
Rodgers
15
Turi
30
Vernam
7
Walker
4
Green
14
Amaluzor
39
Cook
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | C. Pym | G |
| 5 | H. Rodgers | D |
| 2 | M. Kacurri | D |
| 12 | J. Foulkes | D |
| 9 | Iwan Morgan | D |
| 15 | G. Turi | M |
| 14 | J. Amaluzor | M |
| 4 | K. Green | M |
| 7 | J. Walker | M |
| 30 | C. Vernam | M |
| 39 | A. Cook | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | M. Shelton | M |
| 10 | S. Finch | F |
| 8 | Cian Doyle | M |
| 1 | H. Cartwright | G |
| 11 | Ryley Reynolds | M |
| 28 | F. Cartwright | M |
| 19 | J. Andrews | F |