Crewe vs Bristol Rovers Prediction
FT
Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
AI call
Bristol Rovers or draw
31%
29%
40%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Crewe vs Bristol Rovers prediction: Sportiko gives Crewe a 31% chance of winning, Bristol Rovers 40% and the draw 29%. Last updated 3 Oct 2026, 15:55.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- Home to Score 72%
- Under 3.5 Goals 71%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
Jack Lankester
assist: Joel Tabiner
1'
⚽
1–0
Josh March
Yellow Card
8'
▮
▮
8'
Tom James
Yellow Card
Joshua Stephenson
Yellow Card
10'
▮
Jack Lankester
Penalty
21'
⚽
2–0
▮
30'
Ciaran Kelly
Yellow Card
O. Lunt
Yellow Card
38'
▮
⇄
45'
Richard Smallwood
⇄ Keenan Gough
⇄
45'
A. Kilgour
⇄ P. Sanyaolu
⇄
45'
Jack Sparkes
⇄ Ben Purrington
⇄
45'
Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny
⇄ Shaqai Forde
HT 2–0
Joel Tabiner
⇄ Jordan Gibson
50'
⇄
Jack Lankester
⇄ C. Thomas
62'
⇄
Jordan Gibson
assist: Josh March
66'
⚽
3–0
⇄
74'
Ellis Harrison
⇄ Joe Quigley
▮
77'
Keenan Gough
Yellow Card
C. Thomas
Yellow Card
79'
▮
Adrien Thibaut
⇄ Charlie McNeill
81'
⇄
▮
89'
Clinton Mola
Yellow Card
⚽
3–1
90+2'
Bobby Kamwa
assist: Clinton Mola
FT 3–1
Crewe
Match Stats
Bristol Rovers
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
7
5
Shots insidebox
10
4
Shots outsidebox
5
3
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
23
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
286
Total passes
296
171
Passes accurate
182
23
Free Kicks
12
Crewe
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jack Lankester M | 8.2 | 62' | 2 | – | 4 | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 14 Jordan Gibson M | 7.7 | 40' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 11 Joel Tabiner M | 7.3 | 50' | – | 1 | 2 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 6 Luke Offord D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (22%) | 4 |
| 9 Josh March M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 25 (11%) | – |
| 12 Joshua Stephenson D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 10 Joe White M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (23%) | 4 |
| 2 Lewis Billington D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (14%) | 3 |
| 8 C. Thomas M | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 23 Charlie McNeill F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 1 Tom Booth G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (18%) | – |
| 4 Kyle Ure D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (16%) | 2 |
| 19 O. Lunt M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (23%) | 2 |
| 29 Adrien Thibaut F | 6.1 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
Bristol Rovers
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Ellis Harrison F | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | 3 | 15 (9%) | – |
| 27 P. Sanyaolu M | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 2 Tom James M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 7 Shaqai Forde F | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | – | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 10 Bobby Kamwa F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 9 (4%) | – |
| 9 Joe Quigley F | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 5 A. Kilgour D | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 15 (9%) | – |
| 4 Kofi Balmer D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (18%) | 3 |
| 6 Clinton Mola M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (30%) | 7 |
| 14 Ben Purrington D | 5.9 | 44' | – | – | – | 17 (11%) | – |
| 3 Jack Sparkes M | 5.9 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 21 Richard Smallwood M | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | 1 |
| 8 Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny M | 5.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 1 Brad Young G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (12%) | – |
| 22 Keenan Gough M | 5.4 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 26 (16%) | 2 |
| 17 Ciaran Kelly D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (22%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Our lean
Bristol Rovers or draw
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Crewe
WDLLW
Bristol Rovers
WLDLL
Last 1 meetings
Crewe · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
31%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
40%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Crewe
J. Gibson
5 gls
Bristol Rovers
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Crewe vs Bristol Rovers
0
Crewe Wins
0
Draws
1
Bristol Rovers Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 2 - 1 | Crewe |
Crewe — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H AFC Wimbledon | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Barnet | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Chesterfield | L | 5 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | A Exeter City | L | 2 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Rochdale | W | 3 - 2 |
Bristol Rovers — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Cambridge United | W | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Fleetwood Town | L | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Swindon Town | D | 0 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Salford City | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Shrewsbury | L | 1 - 0 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Salford City
|
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |
Barnet
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |
Walsall
|
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |
Crewe
|
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Grimsby
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |
York
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |
Gillingham
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |
Accrington ST
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |
Chesterfield
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Tranmere
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Exeter City
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |
Newport County
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |
Shrewsbury
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |
Fleetwood Town
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |
Bristol Rovers
|
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |
Oldham
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |
Port Vale
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |
Rochdale
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |
Northampton
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |
Colchester
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
Bristol Rovers
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: S. Evans
1
Young
17
Kelly
5
Kilgour
4
Balmer
3
Sparkes
6
Mola
21
Smallwood
2
James
8
Russell-Denny
19
Harrison
10
Kamwa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Young | G |
| 4 | K. Balmer | D |
| 5 | A. Kilgour | D |
| 17 | C. Kelly | D |
| 2 | T. James | M |
| 21 | R. Smallwood | M |
| 6 | C. Mola | M |
| 3 | J. Sparkes | M |
| 8 | R. Russell-Denny | M |
| 10 | B. Kamwa | F |
| 19 | E. Harrison | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | J. Quigley | F |
| 14 | B. Purrington | D |
| 7 | S. Forde | F |
| 27 | P. Sanyaolu | M |
| 32 | Charlie Binns | G |
| 22 | Keenan Gough | M |
Crewe
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Booth
4
Ure
12
Stephenson
6
Offord
2
Billington
10
White
19
Lunt
9
March
11
Tabiner
7
Lankester
29
Thibaut
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Booth | G |
| 2 | L. Billington | D |
| 6 | L. Offord | D |
| 12 | J. Stephenson | D |
| 4 | Kyle Ure | D |
| 19 | O. Lunt | M |
| 10 | J. White | M |
| 7 | J. Lankester | M |
| 11 | J. Tabiner | M |
| 9 | J. March | M |
| 29 | A. Thibaut | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | J. Gibson | M |
| 13 | I. Lawlor | G |
| 23 | C. McNeill | F |
| 32 | L. Moore | M |
| 8 | C. Thomas | M |
| 36 | Joel Ewusi | M |
| 30 | Stan Dancey | D |