Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City Prediction
FT
Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
AI call
Difficult Bristol Rovers win or draw
53%
27%
20%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City prediction: Sportiko gives Bristol Rovers a 53% chance of winning, Exeter City 20% and the draw 27%. Last updated 26 Sep 2026, 15:55.
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Timeline
▮
39'
Gwion Edwards
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
40'
▮
HT 0–0
Ellis Harrison
Yellow Card
60'
▮
Shaqai Forde
⇄ Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny
64'
⇄
Fabrizio Cavegn
assist: A. Kilgour
66'
⚽
1–0
⇄
68'
J. Taylor
⇄ Andrew Oluwabori
⇄
77'
Gwion Edwards
⇄ George Birch
Ellis Harrison
⇄ Joe Quigley
79'
⇄
⇄
85'
Jake Doyle-Hayes
⇄ Josh Gordon
Fabrizio Cavegn
⇄ Bobby Kamwa
89'
⇄
Jack Sparkes
⇄ Ben Purrington
90'
⇄
FT 1–0
Bristol Rovers
Match Stats
Exeter City
44%
Ball Possession
56%
17
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots off Goal
1
4
Blocked Shots
2
13
Shots insidebox
4
3
Shots outsidebox
4
6
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
252
Total passes
326
148
Passes accurate
230
10
Free Kicks
12
Bristol Rovers
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Fabrizio Cavegn F | 8.1 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 5 A. Kilgour D | 7.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 17 (9%) | 2 |
| 1 Brad Young G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (14%) | – |
| 8 Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny M | 7.2 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 9 Joe Quigley F | 7.0 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 3 Jack Sparkes M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 2 |
| 6 Clinton Mola M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (11%) | 4 |
| 7 Shaqai Forde M | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 19 (12%) | – |
| 4 Kofi Balmer D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 20 (11%) | – |
| 21 Richard Smallwood M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 3 |
| 17 Ciaran Kelly D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (11%) | 1 |
| 2 Tom James D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (18%) | 5 |
| 19 Ellis Harrison M | 6.4 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 23 (10%) | – |
| 10 Bobby Kamwa F | 6.2 | 1' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 14 Ben Purrington D | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 2 | 1 |
Exeter City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jack Bycroft G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (13%) | – |
| 5 Jack Fitzwater D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (37%) | 3 |
| 6 J. Taylor D | 6.7 | 68' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | 2 |
| 2 Lakyle Samuel D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | – |
| 31 Jake Doyle-Hayes M | 6.5 | 85' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | – |
| 3 Luca Woodhouse D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (36%) | 3 |
| 16 Charlie Cummins M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (19%) | 2 |
| 32 D. Rose F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 16 (9%) | – |
| 10 Josh Gordon F | 6.3 | 5' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 20 George Birch M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Gwion Edwards M | 6.1 | 77' | – | – | 2 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 11 Andrew Oluwabori F | 6.0 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 23 Ethan Sutherland M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (17%) | 1 |
| 12 Reece Cole M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (16%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Bristol Rovers win or draw
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Bristol Rovers
WLDLL
Exeter City
WLWWD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
20%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Bristol Rovers — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Cambridge United | W | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Fleetwood Town | L | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Swindon Town | D | 0 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Salford City | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Shrewsbury | L | 1 - 0 |
Exeter City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Huddersfield | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Salford City | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Fleetwood Town | W | 2 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | H Crewe | W | 2 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Colchester | D | 0 - 0 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Salford City
|
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |
Barnet
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |
Walsall
|
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |
Crewe
|
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Grimsby
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |
York
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |
Gillingham
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |
Accrington ST
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |
Chesterfield
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Tranmere
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Exeter City
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |
Newport County
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |
Shrewsbury
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |
Fleetwood Town
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |
Bristol Rovers
|
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |
Oldham
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |
Port Vale
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |
Rochdale
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |
Northampton
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |
Colchester
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
Bristol Rovers
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Evans
1
Young
5
Kilgour
17
Kelly
4
Balmer
2
James
6
Mola
21
Smallwood
19
Harrison
3
Sparkes
7
Forde
29
Cavegn
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Young | G |
| 2 | T. James | D |
| 4 | K. Balmer | D |
| 17 | C. Kelly | D |
| 5 | A. Kilgour | D |
| 21 | R. Smallwood | M |
| 6 | C. Mola | M |
| 7 | S. Forde | M |
| 3 | J. Sparkes | M |
| 19 | E. Harrison | M |
| 29 | F. Cavegn | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Keenan Gough | M |
| 10 | B. Kamwa | F |
| 14 | B. Purrington | D |
| 9 | J. Quigley | F |
| 8 | R. Russell-Denny | M |
| 27 | P. Sanyaolu | M |
| 32 | Charlie Binns | G |
Exeter City
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Taylor
1
Bycroft
3
Woodhouse
5
Fitzwater
6
Taylor
2
Samuel
16
Cummins
31
Doyle-Hayes
23
Sutherland
12
Cole
7
Edwards
32
Rose
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Bycroft | G |
| 2 | L. Samuel | D |
| 6 | J. Taylor | D |
| 5 | J. Fitzwater | D |
| 3 | L. Woodhouse | D |
| 31 | J. Doyle-Hayes | M |
| 16 | C. Cummins | M |
| 7 | G. Edwards | M |
| 12 | R. Cole | M |
| 23 | Ethan Sutherland | M |
| 32 | D. Rose | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | T. Perry | M |
| 22 | Frankie Phillips | G |
| 18 | Liam Oakes | D |
| 14 | H. Kite | M |
| 10 | J. Gordon | F |
| 20 | George Birch | M |
| 11 | A. Oluwabori | F |