Crewe vs Shrewsbury Prediction

League Two League Two · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
AI call Crewe or draw
50%
28%
22%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Crewe vs Shrewsbury prediction: Sportiko gives Crewe a 50% chance of winning, Shrewsbury 22% and the draw 28%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

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  • Over 1.5 Goals 75%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Joe White Yellow Card
5' ▮
▮ 22'
Isaac Lee Yellow Card
▮ 22'
Yellow Card
Jordan Gibson assist: Joel Tabiner
24' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 29'
Thomas Sang Yellow Card
▮ 37'
Yellow Card
⚽ 1–1 39'
George Lloyd
HT 1–1
⇄ 52'
Isaac Lee ⇄ Arkell Jude-Boyd
Luke Offord Yellow Card
54' ▮
Joe White ⇄ O. Lunt
59' ⇄
▮ 64'
William Boyle Yellow Card
Jack Lankester ⇄ Charlie McNeill
66' ⇄
Jordan Gibson ⇄ Adrien Thibaut
66' ⇄
⇄ 70'
⇄ M. Golding
⇄ 81'
Isaac Fletcher ⇄ Joe Gbode
Joel Tabiner ⇄ Calum Agius
86' ⇄
FT 1–1
Crewe

Match Stats

Shrewsbury
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Goal 7
1 Shots off Goal 9
5 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Corner Kicks 9
3 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
413 Total passes 238
301 Passes accurate 152
13 Free Kicks 8
Crewe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Jordan Gibson M 8.2 66' 1 – 3 18 (12%) –
11 Joel Tabiner M 7.5 86' – 1 1 27 (23%) 1
1 Tom Booth G 7.1 90' – – – 50 (25%) –
12 Joshua Stephenson D 6.9 90' – – 1 33 (25%) 1
9 Josh March F 6.7 90' – – – 16 (11%) –
29 Adrien Thibaut F 6.6 24' – – – 3 (3%) –
23 Charlie McNeill F 6.5 24' – – – 5 (4%) –
20 Calum Agius F 6.5 4' – – – 4 (3%) –
7 Jack Lankester M 6.4 66' – – 3 10 (8%) 2
5 Mickey Demetriou D 6.3 90' – – – 62 (45%) 1
17 Matúš Holíček M 6.3 90' – – – 41 (32%) –
19 O. Lunt M 6.3 31' – – – 6 (5%) 1
2 Lewis Billington D 6.1 90' – – 1 34 (23%) 1
6 Luke Offord D 6.1 90' – – 1 73 (58%) –
10 Joe White M 5.9 59' – – – 29 (23%) 3
Shrewsbury
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 George Lloyd F 7.9 90' 1 – 1 17 (12%) 1
18 K. M. Brown F 6.8 90' – – 7 13 (12%) –
2 Luca Hoole M 6.7 90' – – – 20 (12%) 1
6 Sam Stubbs D 6.6 90' – – 2 32 (23%) –
10 Thomas Sang M 6.6 90' – – – 33 (21%) 3
27 Joe Gbode F 6.5 9' – – – 4 (3%) –
8 Isaac Fletcher M 6.4 81' – – 2 11 (6%) –
1 Will Brook G 6.3 90' – – – 22 (7%) –
11 Kevin Berkoe M 6.3 90' – – 1 19 (12%) 2
20 M. Golding M 6.3 20' – – 1 8 (4%) –
17 Arkell Jude-Boyd D 6.2 38' – – – 7 (3%) 2
23 Isaac Lee D 6.1 52' – – – 12 (8%) 2
5 William Boyle D 6.0 90' – – 5 22 (15%) –
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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Our lean
Crewe or draw
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Crewe
WDDDD
Shrewsbury
LDWLL
Last 1 meetings Crewe · 1W 0D 0L

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Crewe win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 68.2%. Late goal chance: 35.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 38.3%, Away win 2H: 19.9%.

40' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 39.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

25' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Crewe win: 78.5%. BTTS: 52.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
50%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
22%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Crewe
J. March 3 gls
Shrewsbury

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Crewe vs Shrewsbury

1 Crewe Wins
0 Draws
0 Shrewsbury Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Shrewsbury 0 - 4 Crewe

Crewe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Aston Villa U21 W 4 - 1
19 Sep H Shrewsbury D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Colchester D 1 - 1
05 Sep H York D 1 - 1
01 Sep H Walsall D 2 - 2

Shrewsbury — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep A Tranmere L 1 - 0
19 Sep A Crewe D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Northampton W 2 - 0
05 Sep A Fleetwood Town L 2 - 0
01 Sep A Rochdale L 3 - 0

League Two Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barnet
7 4 3 0 +7 15
2
Walsall
7 3 4 0 +6 13
3
Grimsby
7 3 4 0 +5 13
4
Gillingham
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cheltenham
7 3 3 1 +3 12
6
Bristol Rovers
7 4 0 3 +1 12
7
York
7 3 2 2 +3 11
8
Chesterfield
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
Crewe
7 2 5 0 +2 11
10
Tranmere
7 2 4 1 +2 10
11
Fleetwood Town
7 2 4 1 +1 10
12
Salford City
7 3 1 3 -1 10
13
Swindon Town
7 3 1 3 -3 10
14
Rotherham
7 2 3 2 0 9
15
Colchester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
16
Oldham
7 2 1 4 -1 7
17
Rochdale
7 2 1 4 -3 7
18
Shrewsbury
7 2 1 4 -6 7
19
Newport County
7 1 3 3 -1 6
20
Exeter City
7 1 3 3 -1 6
21
Accrington ST
7 1 3 3 -3 6
22
Northampton
7 1 3 3 -3 6
23
Port Vale
7 1 2 4 -6 5
24
Crawley Town
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Shrewsbury

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: G. Cowan
1 Brook
23 Lee
5 Boyle
6 Stubbs
11 Berkoe
21 gray
10 Sang
2 Hoole
8 Fletcher
18 Brown
9 Lloyd

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 William Michael Brook G
6 S. Stubbs D
5 W. Boyle D
23 I. Lee D
2 L. Hoole M
10 T. Sang M
21 will gray M
11 K. Berkoe M
8 Isaac Andrew Fletcher M
9 G. Lloyd F
18 K. M. Brown F

Substitutes

26 T. Anderson D
20 M. Golding M
4 Isaac England D
27 J. Gbode F
17 Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd D
24 L. Sousa D
32 Cameron Gregory G

Crewe

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ramón Catalá
1 Booth
12 Stephenson
5 Demetriou
6 Offord
2 Billington
10 White
17 Holíček
14 Gibson
11 Tabiner
7 Lankester
9 March

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 T. Booth G
2 L. Billington D
6 L. Offord D
5 M. Demetriou D
12 J. Stephenson D
17 M. Holíček M
10 J. White M
7 J. Lankester M
11 J. Tabiner M
14 J. Gibson M
9 J. March F

Substitutes

4 Kyle Ure M
20 Calum Agius F
30 Stan Dancey D
13 I. Lawlor G
19 O. Lunt M
23 C. McNeill F
29 A. Thibaut F

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