Barnet vs Accrington ST Prediction
FT
The Hive Stadium, London
AI call
Difficult Barnet win or draw
62%
23%
16%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Barnet vs Accrington ST prediction: Sportiko gives Barnet a 62% chance of winning, Accrington ST 16% and the draw 23%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 15:53.
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Timeline
▮
6'
T. Walton
Yellow Card
▮
16'
Josh Woods
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
27'
Charlie Caton
▮
29'
Joseph Anderson
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
Charlie Caton
⇄ Alex Henderson
Nnamdi Ofoborh
⇄ D. Ajayi
45'
⇄
HT 0–1
▮
55'
Devon Matthews
Yellow Card
Charlie Lakin
assist: Adam Senior
57'
⚽
1–1
Tom Knowles
⇄ R. Crichlow-Noble
63'
⇄
Oisin Gallagher
⇄ Jake Reeves
63'
⇄
⇄
64'
T. Walton
⇄ Charlie Warren
⇄
64'
Shaun Whalley
⇄ Joel Catesby
Charlie Lakin
72'
⚽
2–1
▮
74'
Devon Matthews
Red Card
⇄
76'
Aidan Borland
⇄ Seamus Conneely
⇄
76'
Josh Woods
⇄ Cole Stockton
▮
81'
Connor O'Brien
Yellow Card
Idris Kanu
⇄ Zac Williams
88'
⇄
Kabongo Tshimanga
⇄ J. Maskell
88'
⇄
FT 2–1
Barnet
Match Stats
Accrington ST
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
4
6
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
2
6
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
19
0
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
394
Total passes
261
276
Passes accurate
136
18
Free Kicks
8
Barnet
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Charlie Lakin M | 8.8 | 90' | 2 | – | 4 | 20 (12%) | – |
| 5 Adam Senior D | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 15 (14%) | 2 |
| 17 D. Ajayi F | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | 3 | 15 (7%) | 1 |
| 7 Tom Knowles M | 6.6 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 15 (7%) | – |
| 23 Jake Reeves M | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | – |
| 9 J. Maskell F | 6.5 | 2' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 Zac Williams D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (54%) | – |
| 3 R. Crichlow-Noble D | 6.4 | 27' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | – |
| 11 Idris Kanu D | 6.3 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 34 (26%) | – |
| 20 Kabongo Tshimanga F | 6.3 | 88' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 14 Brandon Comley M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (34%) | – |
| 22 Oisin Gallagher M | 6.1 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 24 (15%) | 1 |
| 13 Matthew Cox G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (20%) | – |
| 4 Danny Collinge D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 48 (40%) | 2 |
| 10 Nnamdi Ofoborh M | 5.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 20 (11%) | – |
Accrington ST
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Charlie Caton F | 7.6 | 46' | 1 | – | 2 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 30 Charlie Warren F | 6.7 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 16 Aidan Borland M | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | – | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 27 Joel Catesby F | 6.4 | 26' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 2 |
| 7 Shaun Whalley M | 6.4 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 15 (9%) | 1 |
| 13 Cole Stockton F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 28 Seamus Conneely M | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 10 Alex Henderson M | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 17 (8%) | 1 |
| 39 Josh Woods M | 6.1 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 9 (3%) | 1 |
| 23 T. Walton M | 6.1 | 64' | – | – | – | 14 (5%) | 2 |
| 38 Connor O'Brien D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (6%) | 2 |
| 33 David Tutonda D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (13%) | 3 |
| 17 Devon Matthews D | 5.9 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 17 (8%) | 1 |
| 6 Liam Coyle M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (21%) | 2 |
| 22 Joseph Anderson D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (17%) | 3 |
| 1 Louie Moulden G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (11%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (62%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Barnet win or draw
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Barnet
WWDDD
Accrington ST
DDLWD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
62%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Barnet
C. Lakin
6 gls
K. Tshimanga
4 gls
Accrington ST
C. Caton
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Barnet vs Accrington ST
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Barnet — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Fleetwood Town | W | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Accrington ST | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Chesterfield | D | 3 - 3 |
| 01 Sep | A Exeter City | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Cheltenham | D | 2 - 2 |
Accrington ST — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Sunderland U21 | D | 3 - 3 |
| 19 Sep | H Newport County | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Barnet | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Crawley Town | W | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Sep | H Grimsby | D | 2 - 2 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barnet
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |
Walsall
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |
Grimsby
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Gillingham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Bristol Rovers
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
York
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |
Chesterfield
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Crewe
|
7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |
Tranmere
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Fleetwood Town
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Salford City
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |
Rotherham
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |
Colchester
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Oldham
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rochdale
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Shrewsbury
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Newport County
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |
Exeter City
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |
Accrington ST
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |
Northampton
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |
Port Vale
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Accrington ST
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: J. Doolan
1
Moulden
33
Tutonda
22
Anderson
17
Matthews
38
O'Brien
7
Whalley
16
Borland
6
Coyle
23
Walton
39
Woods
18
Caton
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Moulden | G |
| 38 | C. O'Brien | D |
| 17 | D. Matthews | D |
| 22 | J. Anderson | D |
| 33 | D. Tutonda | D |
| 23 | T. Walton | M |
| 6 | L. Coyle | M |
| 16 | Aidan Borland | M |
| 7 | S. Whalley | M |
| 39 | J. Woods | M |
| 18 | C. Caton | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | C. Warren | F |
| 13 | C. Stockton | F |
| 21 | J. Rogerson | G |
| 14 | Stefan Mols | M |
| 10 | Alex Henderson | M |
| 28 | S. Conneely | M |
| 27 | J. Catesby | F |
Barnet
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
13
Cox
11
Kanu
4
Collinge
6
Williams
5
Senior
10
Ofoborh
14
Comley
7
Knowles
22
Gallagher
8
Lakin
20
Tshimanga
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | M. Cox | G |
| 5 | A. Senior | D |
| 6 | Z. Williams | D |
| 4 | D. Collinge | D |
| 11 | I. Kanu | D |
| 14 | B. Comley | M |
| 10 | N. Ofoborh | M |
| 8 | C. Lakin | M |
| 22 | O. Gallagher | M |
| 7 | T. Knowles | M |
| 20 | K. Tshimanga | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | W. Wright | D |
| 23 | J. Reeves | M |
| 3 | R. Crichlow-Noble | D |
| 17 | D. Ajayi | F |
| 9 | J. Maskell | F |
| 32 | Isiah Noel Williams | F |
| 36 | Anthony Haralambous | G |