Oldham vs Chesterfield Prediction
FT
AI call
Oldham or draw
46%
28%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Oldham vs Chesterfield prediction: Sportiko gives Oldham a 46% chance of winning, Chesterfield 26% and the draw 28%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 15:56.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
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Timeline
✗
18'
Lee Bonis
Missed Penalty
⚽
0–1
18'
Lee Bonis
Ollie Norburn
Yellow Card
28'
▮
▮
30'
Remeao Hutton
Yellow Card
▮
37'
Kyle McFadzean
Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Favour Fawunmi
assist: Jamie Robson
50'
⚽
1–1
⚽
1–2
52'
Dilan Markanday
assist: Josh Koroma
Ryan Delaney
Yellow Card
55'
▮
Favour Fawunmi
⇄ Noah Chilvers
57'
⇄
Ryan Delaney
⇄ Manny Monthe
57'
⇄
⇄
61'
Ryan Stirk
⇄ Tom Naylor
Ollie Norburn
⇄ Tom Pett
66'
⇄
⇄
70'
Louie Marsh
⇄ Liam Mandeville
Calum Kavanagh
⇄ Kai Payne
78'
⇄
Kane Drummond
⇄ Elliott Nevitt
78'
⇄
⇄
80'
Remeao Hutton
⇄ Junior Eccleston
⇄
80'
George James McEachran
⇄ K. Dyer
⇄
81'
Josh Koroma
⇄ J. Randall
▮
82'
Junior Eccleston
Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Oldham
Match Stats
Chesterfield
47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots off Goal
5
0
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots insidebox
10
4
Shots outsidebox
3
1
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
371
Total passes
400
263
Passes accurate
296
10
Free Kicks
12
Oldham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Favour Fawunmi M | 7.2 | 57' | 1 | – | 2 | 15 (14%) | 2 |
| 1 Mathew Hudson G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (23%) | – |
| 6 Manny Monthe D | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 5 Donervon Daniels D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 20 Elliott Nevitt F | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 7 Keenan Appiah-Forson M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (31%) | 1 |
| 9 Mike Fondop F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (13%) | 1 |
| 10 Calum Kavanagh M | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 8 Ollie Norburn M | 6.1 | 66' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | 3 |
| 15 Kane Drummond M | 6.0 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 18 (11%) | 2 |
| 4 Tom Pett M | 6.0 | 24' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 26 Kai Payne M | 5.9 | 12' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 14 Noah Chilvers M | 5.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 2 Gus Scott-Morriss D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (25%) | 1 |
| 3 Jamie Robson D | 5.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 42 (27%) | – |
| 23 Ryan Delaney D | 5.4 | 57' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
Chesterfield
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dilan Markanday M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 40 (30%) | 2 |
| 10 Lee Bonis M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 37 Josh Koroma M | 7.2 | 81' | – | 1 | 1 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 23 Ryan Boot G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (23%) | – |
| 18 Louie Marsh F | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 4 | 23 (22%) | 2 |
| 19 Lewis Gordon D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | – |
| 7 Liam Mandeville M | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 27 K. Dyer M | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 4 Tom Naylor M | 6.4 | 29' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 31 J. Randall M | 6.4 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 6 Jack Simpson D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (28%) | – |
| 8 Ryan Stirk M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | 1 |
| 26 Junior Eccleston D | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 33 Remeao Hutton D | 6.1 | 80' | – | – | – | 28 (20%) | 2 |
| 5 Kyle McFadzean D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (34%) | 2 |
| 20 George James McEachran M | 6.0 | 80' | – | – | – | 52 (36%) | 6 |
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Confidence
Low (46%)
At a glance
Our lean
Oldham or draw
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Oldham
WLLLD
Chesterfield
DWWWD
Last 1 meetings
Oldham · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
46%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Oldham
C. Kavanagh
3 gls
Chesterfield
L. Bonis
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Oldham vs Chesterfield
1
Oldham Wins
0
Draws
0
Chesterfield Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | Chesterfield | 0 - 3 | Oldham |
Oldham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Fleetwood Town | W | 1 - 0 |
| 19 Sep | A Rochdale | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Chesterfield | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A Tranmere | L | 2 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | A Fleetwood Town | D | 1 - 1 |
Chesterfield — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Port Vale | D | 1 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | H York | W | 2 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Manchester City U21 | W | 5 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | A Oldham | W | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Barnet | D | 3 - 3 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barnet
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |
Walsall
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |
Grimsby
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Gillingham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Bristol Rovers
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
York
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |
Chesterfield
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Crewe
|
7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |
Tranmere
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Fleetwood Town
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Salford City
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |
Rotherham
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |
Colchester
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Oldham
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rochdale
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Shrewsbury
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Newport County
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |
Exeter City
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |
Accrington ST
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |
Northampton
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |
Port Vale
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Chesterfield
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Cook
23
Boot
19
Gordon
6
Simpson
5
McFadzean
33
Hutton
8
Stirk
20
McEachran
10
Bonis
37
Koroma
24
Markanday
18
Marsh
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | R. Boot | G |
| 33 | R. Hutton | D |
| 5 | K. McFadzean | D |
| 6 | J. Simpson | D |
| 19 | L. Gordon | D |
| 20 | G. McEachran | M |
| 8 | R. Stirk | M |
| 24 | D. Markanday | M |
| 37 | J. Koroma | M |
| 10 | L. Bonis | M |
| 18 | L. Marsh | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | J. Eccleston | D |
| 27 | K. Dyer | M |
| 9 | F. Bryden | F |
| 7 | L. Mandeville | M |
| 4 | T. Naylor | M |
| 15 | A. Pond | D |
| 31 | J. Randall | M |
Oldham
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
1
Hudson
3
Robson
23
Delaney
5
Daniels
2
Scott-Morriss
7
Appiah-Forson
8
Norburn
15
Drummond
10
Kavanagh
17
Fawunmi
9
Fondop-Talum
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Hudson | G |
| 2 | G. Scott-Morriss | D |
| 5 | D. Daniels | D |
| 23 | R. Delaney | D |
| 3 | J. Robson | D |
| 8 | O. Norburn | M |
| 7 | K. Appiah-Forson | M |
| 17 | F. Fawunmi | M |
| 10 | C. Kavanagh | M |
| 15 | K. Drummond | M |
| 9 | M. Fondop-Talum | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Wilson Wilson | G |
| 14 | N. Chilvers | M |
| 20 | E. Nevitt | F |
| 6 | E. Monthe | D |
| 26 | Kai Payne | M |
| 4 | T. Pett | M |
| 24 | L. Temple | D |