Accrington ST vs Crawley Town Prediction
FT
AI call
Accrington ST or draw
44%
28%
29%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Accrington ST vs Crawley Town prediction: Sportiko gives Accrington ST a 44% chance of winning, Crawley Town 29% and the draw 28%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 15:59.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
- Away to Score 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Charlie Caton
4'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
20'
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo
Donald Love
⇄ Aidan Borland
25'
⇄
Devon Matthews
Yellow Card
30'
▮
Farrend Rawson
Yellow Card
42'
▮
▮
45+3'
Priestley Farquharson
Yellow Card
HT 1–1
Shaun Whalley
Yellow Card
53'
▮
Charlie Caton
55'
⚽
2–1
⇄
58'
Akin Odimayo
⇄
58'
Malcolm Ebiowei
⇄ D. Pereira
⇄
59'
Louie Watson
⇄ Kellan Gordon
▮
61'
Klaudio Krasniqi
Yellow Card
Devon Matthews
assist: Josh Woods
63'
⚽
3–1
⇄
66'
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo
⇄ Pemi Aderoju
⇄
72'
Klaudio Krasniqi
⇄ Gianmarco Di Biase
David Tutonda
Yellow Card
73'
▮
Shaun Whalley
⇄ C. Grant
74'
⇄
⚽
3–2
79'
Pemi Aderoju
assist: Kellan Gordon
Charlie Caton
⇄ Cole Stockton
82'
⇄
T. Walton
⇄ Alex Henderson
83'
⇄
FT 3–2
Accrington ST
Match Stats
Crawley Town
36%
Ball Possession
64%
10
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
7
1
Blocked Shots
3
8
Shots insidebox
9
2
Shots outsidebox
6
1
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
21
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
250
Total passes
450
154
Passes accurate
368
8
Free Kicks
20
Accrington ST
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Charlie Caton F | 9.2 | 82' | 2 | – | 4 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 13 Cole Stockton F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 17 Devon Matthews D | 6.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 21 (14%) | 2 |
| 23 T. Walton F | 6.5 | 83' | – | – | – | 14 (9%) | 1 |
| 1 Louie Moulden G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (10%) | – |
| 6 Liam Coyle M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 2 Donald Love M | 6.2 | 25' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 33 David Tutonda M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 25 (20%) | 3 |
| 5 Farrend Rawson D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 22 Joseph Anderson D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (18%) | 3 |
| 8 C. Grant M | 6.0 | 16' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 16 Aidan Borland M | 6.0 | 65' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 3 |
| 39 Josh Woods M | 5.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 25 (11%) | 3 |
| 10 Alex Henderson M | 5.6 | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 7 Shaun Whalley M | 5.4 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 25 (15%) | 2 |
Crawley Town
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Danilo Orsi-Dadomo F | 7.5 | 66' | 1 | – | 2 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 11 Pemi Aderoju F | 7.1 | 24' | 1 | – | 3 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 5 Charlie Barker D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 87 (75%) | – |
| 22 Ade Adeyemo D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 53 (48%) | 1 |
| 14 Gianmarco Di Biase F | 6.4 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 8 Louie Watson F | 6.3 | 59' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | – |
| 20 Jude Arthurs M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (44%) | 2 |
| 2 Kellan Gordon M | 6.2 | 31' | – | 1 | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 19 D. Pereira M | 6.2 | 32' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 17 Osman Kamara M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (19%) | 4 |
| 7 Malcolm Ebiowei M | 6.0 | 58' | – | – | 3 | 18 (13%) | – |
| 24 Akin Odimayo D | 6.0 | 58' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 25 Klaudio Krasniqi M | 5.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| Seamus Maughan | 5.8 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 8 (4%) | 1 |
| 31 J. Izquierdo G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (37%) | – |
| 6 Priestley Farquharson D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Our lean
Accrington ST or draw
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Accrington ST
DDLWD
Crawley Town
LLLLD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
44%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
29%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Accrington ST
C. Caton
5 gls
Crawley Town
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Accrington ST vs Crawley Town
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Accrington ST — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Sunderland U21 | D | 3 - 3 |
| 19 Sep | H Newport County | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Barnet | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Crawley Town | W | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Sep | H Grimsby | D | 2 - 2 |
Crawley Town — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | A Milton Keynes Dons | L | 4 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | A Grimsby | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Cheltenham | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Accrington ST | L | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Sep | A Northampton | D | 1 - 1 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barnet
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |
Walsall
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |
Grimsby
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Gillingham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Bristol Rovers
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
York
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |
Chesterfield
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Crewe
|
7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |
Tranmere
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Fleetwood Town
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Salford City
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |
Rotherham
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |
Colchester
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Oldham
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rochdale
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Shrewsbury
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Newport County
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |
Exeter City
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |
Accrington ST
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |
Northampton
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |
Port Vale
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Accrington ST
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: J. Doolan
1
Moulden
22
Anderson
5
Rawson
17
Matthews
33
Tutonda
39
Woods
6
Coyle
2
Love
7
Whalley
18
Caton
23
Walton
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Moulden | G |
| 17 | D. Matthews | D |
| 5 | F. Rawson | D |
| 22 | J. Anderson | D |
| 2 | D. Love | M |
| 6 | L. Coyle | M |
| 39 | J. Woods | M |
| 33 | D. Tutonda | M |
| 7 | S. Whalley | M |
| 23 | T. Walton | F |
| 18 | C. Caton | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | J. Rogerson | G |
| 10 | Alex Henderson | M |
| 8 | C. Grant | M |
| 27 | J. Catesby | F |
| 16 | Aidan Borland | M |
| 13 | C. Stockton | F |
| 30 | C. Warren | F |
Crawley Town
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: David Pagou
31
Izquierdo
22
Adeyemo
5
Barker
6
Farquharson
24
Odimayo
17
Kamara
25
Fourcroy
20
Arthurs
7
Ebiowei
9
Orsi
8
Watson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | J. Izquierdo | G |
| 24 | A. Odimayo | D |
| 6 | P. Farquharson | D |
| 5 | C. Barker | D |
| 22 | A. Adeyemo | D |
| 7 | M. Ebiowei | M |
| 20 | J. Arthurs | M |
| 25 | J. Fourcroy | M |
| 17 | Osman Kamara | M |
| 8 | L. Watson | F |
| 9 | D. Orsi | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | P. Aderoju | F |
| 14 | G. Di Biase | F |
| 2 | K. Gordon | M |
| 13 | N. Michalski | G |
| 27 | Dylan Morgan | M |
| 19 | D. Pereira | M |
| 16 | J. Russell | D |