Rochdale vs Gillingham Prediction
FT
AI call
Rochdale or draw
44%
28%
28%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Rochdale vs Gillingham prediction: Sportiko gives Rochdale a 44% chance of winning, Gillingham 28% and the draw 28%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 15:58.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
- Away to Score 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
▮
9'
Conor McManus
Yellow Card
⇄
18'
Will Goodwin
⇄ Lamin Sillah
⇄
18'
Zech Obiero
⇄ E. King
⚽
0–1
33'
James Brophy
assist: Nick Freeman
⇄
45'
Conor McManus
⇄ Robbie McKenzie
HT 0–1
Edward Francis
Yellow Card
51'
▮
⚽
0–2
53'
Omar Beckles
⚽
0–3
56'
Kaiden Wilson
Own Goal
⇄
64'
Logan Dobbs
⇄ Jack Daley
Zain Silcott-Duberry
⇄ Harvey Gilmour
66'
⇄
⚽
0–4
68'
James Brophy
assist: E. King
⇄
73'
Harry Waldock
⇄ Sheldon Kendall
Luke Hanannt
⇄ Jonny Smith
81'
⇄
Dajaune Brown
⇄ G. Middleton
81'
⇄
Charlie Tasker
assist: G. Middleton
87'
⚽
1–4
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
⇄ Ian Henderson
88'
⇄
FT 1–4
Rochdale
Match Stats
Gillingham
54%
Ball Possession
46%
7
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots off Goal
7
1
Blocked Shots
3
5
Shots insidebox
6
2
Shots outsidebox
9
6
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
6
12
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
425
Total passes
353
345
Passes accurate
263
12
Free Kicks
11
Rochdale
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Charlie Tasker D | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 64 (55%) | 1 |
| 9 Emmanuel Dieseruvwe F | 6.4 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 40 Ian Henderson F | 6.3 | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 22 Daniel Moss D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (62%) | – |
| 11 Zain Silcott-Duberry M | 6.0 | 66' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 8 Harvey Gilmour M | 5.9 | 24' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | – |
| 45 G. Middleton M | 5.9 | 9' | – | 1 | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 1 Nils Ramming G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (34%) | – |
| 18 Jonny Smith M | 5.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 39 Dajaune Brown M | 5.7 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 22 (17%) | – |
| 19 Luke Hanannt M | 5.6 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 23 (17%) | – |
| 17 Babajide Adeeko M | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (21%) | 1 |
| 21 Kane Taylor D | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | – |
| 14 Edward Francis M | 5.3 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 38 (36%) | – |
| 3 Kaiden Wilson D | 5.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (47%) | 2 |
Gillingham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 James Brophy M | 9.2 | 90' | 2 | – | 4 | 38 (31%) | 1 |
| 19 Omar Beckles D | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 51 (44%) | 1 |
| 22 Nick Freeman M | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 31 (26%) | 1 |
| 5 Andy Smith D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 1 |
| 34 E. King M | 7.3 | 72' | – | 1 | 1 | 32 (26%) | 4 |
| 20 Jack Daley D | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | – |
| 11 Lamin Sillah F | 6.8 | 72' | – | – | – | 12 (4%) | – |
| 10 Ronan Hale F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 6 | 17 (12%) | 1 |
| 24 Harry Waldock M | 6.7 | 73' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 3 |
| 26 Logan Dobbs D | 6.6 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 14 Robbie McKenzie M | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | – |
| 35 Zech Obiero M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 9 Will Goodwin F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 3 Conor McManus M | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 2 |
| 18 Sheldon Kendall M | 6.4 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 1 O. Wright G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (20%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Our lean
Rochdale or draw
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Rochdale
DWDLW
Gillingham
LWWWD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
44%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
28%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Rochdale
No scorer data.
Gillingham
J. Brophy
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Rochdale vs Gillingham
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Rochdale — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Liverpool U21 | D | 3 - 3 |
| 19 Sep | H Oldham | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Walsall | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Gillingham | L | 1 - 4 |
| 01 Sep | H Shrewsbury | W | 3 - 0 |
Gillingham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Cambridge United | L | 1 - 4 |
| 19 Sep | H Bristol Rovers | W | 3 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Tranmere | W | 2 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Rochdale | W | 1 - 4 |
| 01 Sep | A Chesterfield | D | 1 - 1 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barnet
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |
Walsall
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |
Grimsby
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Gillingham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Bristol Rovers
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
York
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |
Chesterfield
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Crewe
|
7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |
Tranmere
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Fleetwood Town
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Salford City
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |
Rotherham
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |
Colchester
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Oldham
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rochdale
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Shrewsbury
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Newport County
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |
Exeter City
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |
Accrington ST
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |
Northampton
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |
Port Vale
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Gillingham
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: G. Ainsworth
1
Wright
26
Dobbs
19
Beckles
5
Smith
35
Obiero
3
McManus
24
Waldock
16
Brophy
22
Freeman
10
Hale
9
Goodwin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Wright | G |
| 5 | A. Smith | D |
| 19 | O. Beckles | D |
| 26 | L. Dobbs | D |
| 35 | Z. Obiero | M |
| 22 | N. Freeman | M |
| 16 | J. Brophy | M |
| 24 | H. Waldock | M |
| 3 | Conor McManus | M |
| 9 | W. Goodwin | F |
| 10 | Ronan Hale | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | R. McKenzie | M |
| 34 | E. King | M |
| 11 | L. Sillah | F |
| 18 | S. Kendall | M |
| 13 | T. Holtam | G |
| 20 | J. Daley | D |
| 12 | G. McCleary | M |
Rochdale
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Craig Bellamy
1
Ramming
21
Taylor
3
Wilson
22
Moss
2
Tasker
17
Adeeko
14
Francis
11
Silcott-Duberry
39
Brown
19
Hannant
9
Dieseruvwe
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nils Ramming | G |
| 2 | C. Tasker | D |
| 22 | D. Moss | D |
| 3 | Kaiden Wilson | D |
| 21 | Kane Taylor | D |
| 14 | E. Francis | M |
| 17 | B. Adeeko | M |
| 19 | L. Hannant | M |
| 39 | D. Brown | M |
| 11 | Z. Silcott-Duberry | M |
| 9 | E. Dieseruvwe | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | H. Gilmour | M |
| 40 | I. Henderson | F |
| 13 | O. Adebayo-Rowling | D |
| 45 | G. Middleton | M |
| 26 | S. Sherring | D |
| 18 | J. Smith | M |
| 20 | Sam William John Waller | G |