Salford City vs Newport County Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 4

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Salford City

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Newport County

Away

AI call Difficult Salford City win or draw

54%

27%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Salford City vs Newport County prediction: Sportiko gives Salford City a 54% chance of winning, Newport County 20% and the draw 27%. Last updated 1 Sep 2026, 20:38.

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Home to Score 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Away to Score 72%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%

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Timeline

▮ 14'

Joe Thomas Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Abraham Odoh ⇄ Kelly N'Mai

63' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Yahya Bamba ⇄ M. Dibley-Dias

Ryan Graydon Yellow Card

68' ▮

⚽ 0–1 71'

Harrison Biggins

⇄ 72'

Cameron Evans ⇄ K. Evans

Ryan Graydon ⇄ Jorge Grant

72' ⇄

▮ 79'

Alfie Merritt Yellow Card

Taylor Allen assist: Kallum Cesay

83' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 84'

Alfie Merritt ⇄ Dan Sassi

Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu ⇄ Elliot Bonds

84' ⇄

Joe Powell ⇄ Daniel Udoh

84' ⇄

▮ 86'

Cameron Norman Yellow Card

Kelly N'Mai

90' ⚽ 2–1

FT 2–1

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Salford City win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Salford City

LWDWW

Newport County

WDDLL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

20%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newport County goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Salford City goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Salford City

J. Powell 3 gls

Newport County

S. Gwengwe 4 gls

H. Biggins 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	7.2%	5.7%	2.4%	0.8%
1	8.0%	13.9%	8.0%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.7%	8.6%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.1%	4.0%	2.6%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.1%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Salford City	Draw	Newport County
Salford City	19.4%	4.1%	2.0%
Draw	17.0%	18.5%	14.2%
Newport County	2.6%	4.6%	17.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Salford City vs Newport County

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Salford City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Sheffield Wednesday	L	1 - 2
19 Sep	H Swindon Town	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Rotherham	D	3 - 3
05 Sep	H Port Vale	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	H Newport County	W	2 - 1

Newport County — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Swindon Town	W	0 - 2
19 Sep	A Accrington ST	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Fleetwood Town	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Northampton	L	1 - 0
01 Sep	A Salford City	L	2 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4

Newport County

Coach: Hayden Mullins

Salford City

Coach: P. Cklamovski