Crewe vs Walsall Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Crewe

Home

2 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Walsall

Away

AI call Crewe or draw

39%

28%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Crewe vs Walsall prediction: Sportiko gives Crewe a 39% chance of winning, Walsall 33% and the draw 28%. Last updated 1 Sep 2026, 20:38.

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Home to Score 76%
1st Half Draw or Away 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 42'

Aaron Pressley Penalty

HT 0–1

⇄ 46'

Declan Skura

Josh March assist: Joel Tabiner

50' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 57'

Aaron Pressley assist: Reece Smith

Charlie McNeill ⇄ Jordan Gibson

58' ⇄

Joel Tabiner ⇄ Jack Lankester

58' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Andy Dallas ⇄ Tai Sodje

⇄ 67'

Charlie Crew ⇄ Isaac Moore

Lewis Billington ⇄ Mickey Demetriou

72' ⇄

▮ 75'

Lewis Simper Yellow Card

Josh March ⇄ Adrien Thibaut

80' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Reece Smith ⇄ Albert Adomah

▮ 88'

Tai Sodje Yellow Card

Reece Hutchinson

90+2' ⚽ 2–2

FT 2–2

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Crewe or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Crewe

WDDDD

Walsall

LWDDD

Last 1 meetings Crewe · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Walsall goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	7	6	3	1
1	7	13	9	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Crewe goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Crewe

J. March 3 gls

Walsall

A. Pressley 4 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 17% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 36% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	6.7%	5.9%	2.9%	1.0%
1	6.6%	13.3%	8.5%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.8%	8.4%	6.1%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.8%	4.0%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

45%

1.5

55%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Crewe	Draw	Walsall
Crewe	19.4%	4.5%	2.5%
Draw	14.6%	17.1%	14.9%
Walsall	2.5%	4.5%	20.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Crewe vs Walsall

0 Crewe Wins

0 Draws

1 Walsall Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Crewe	0 - 3	Walsall

Crewe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Aston Villa U21	W	4 - 1
19 Sep	H Shrewsbury	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Colchester	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H York	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Walsall	D	2 - 2

Walsall — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Stevenage	L	1 - 6
19 Sep	H Port Vale	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Rochdale	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	A Exeter City	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	A Crewe	D	2 - 2

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4

Walsall

Coach: Lee Grant

Crewe

Coach: Lee Bell