Swindon Town vs Port Vale Prediction

League Two League Two · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
AI call Swindon Town or draw
39%
29%
33%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Swindon Town vs Port Vale prediction: Sportiko gives Swindon Town a 39% chance of winning, Port Vale 33% and the draw 29%. Last updated 1 Sep 2026, 20:42.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Home to Score 76%
  • Over 1.5 Goals 71%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 2'
Oliver Lynch assist: Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
Aaron Drinan
13' ⚽ 1–1
HT 1–1
⇄ 46'
Ben Waine ⇄ Tyreece Simpson
⇄ 46'
Onel Hernández ⇄ Lewis Montsma
⇄ 46'
M. Craig ⇄ Ben Garrity
Tom Nichols ⇄ J. Snowdon
56' ⇄
Ryan Tafazolli ⇄ Ben Middlemas
56' ⇄
▮ 58'
Cameron Humphreys Yellow Card
Ben Middlemas
71' ⚽ 2–1
Ollie Palmer ⇄ Louis Millard
74' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Rhys Walters ⇄ George Hall
⇄ 81'
Liam Gordon ⇄ Jaheim Headley
Yellow Card
87' ▮
Aaron Drinan
90+3' ⇄
Louis Millard
90+4' ⚽ 3–1
FT 3–1
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean
Swindon Town or draw
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Swindon Town
LWDWD
Port Vale
WWWLD

Match summary

Swindon Town faces Port Vale in a League Two matchup on September 1, 2026. Swindon has shown a strong offensive presence, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Port Vale's defense has conceded an average of 1.3 goals. Conversely, Port Vale's attack is slightly more clinical, converting 12% of their chances compared to Swindon’s 10%. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on set pieces, as they rank among the top in the league for goals from corners. This contest is likely to be closely contested, with tactical adjustments from both managers playing a crucial role in the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
33%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Swindon Town
A. Drinan 8 gls
Port Vale

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Swindon Town vs Port Vale

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Swindon Town — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Milton Keynes Dons L 2 - 1
31 Oct H Rotherham W 2 - 1
24 Oct A Bristol Rovers D 0 - 0
20 Oct A Barnet W 1 - 3
17 Oct H Walsall D 1 - 1

Port Vale — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Scunthorpe W 4 - 2
31 Oct H Rochdale W 4 - 2
27 Oct H Manchester City U21 W 5 - 0
24 Oct A York L 2 - 0
20 Oct A Gillingham D 1 - 1

League Two Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Salford City
14 10 1 3 +10 31
2
Barnet
13 7 5 1 +10 26
3
Walsall
13 5 7 1 +9 22
4
Crewe
14 5 7 2 0 22
5
Cheltenham
14 6 3 5 -2 21
6
Grimsby
14 5 5 4 +6 20
7
York
14 5 5 4 +3 20
8
Gillingham
14 5 5 4 +1 20
9
Accrington ST
14 4 7 3 +6 19
10
Chesterfield
14 5 4 5 +3 19
11
Tranmere
14 4 7 3 +2 19
12
Exeter City
14 5 4 5 +2 19
13
Swindon Town
14 5 4 5 -2 19
14
Newport County
14 4 6 4 +3 18
15
Shrewsbury
14 5 3 6 -5 18
16
Fleetwood Town
14 4 5 5 0 17
17
Bristol Rovers
14 5 1 8 -6 16
18
Oldham
14 4 3 7 -4 15
19
Port Vale
12 4 3 5 -4 15
20
Rochdale
14 4 3 7 -9 15
21
Northampton
13 3 5 5 -1 14
22
Rotherham
14 2 6 6 -7 12
23
Colchester
13 2 6 5 -7 12
24
Crawley Town
12 2 3 7 -8 9

Port Vale

Coach: Jon Brady

Swindon Town

Coach: Ian Holloway

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