Bristol Rovers vs Colchester Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 4

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Bristol Rovers

Home

2 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Colchester

Away

AI call Difficult Bristol Rovers win or draw

52%

26%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bristol Rovers vs Colchester prediction: Sportiko gives Bristol Rovers a 52% chance of winning, Colchester 22% and the draw 26%. Last updated 1 Sep 2026, 20:44.

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Under 3.5 Goals 71%

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Timeline

Tom James Yellow Card

22' ▮

Tom James

27' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 35'

Jack Tucker Yellow Card

Kofi Balmer ⇄ Ciaran Kelly

43' ⇄

Tommy Leigh Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Frankie Terry ⇄ Kane Vincent-Young

⇄ 46'

Paul Digby ⇄ Moses Sesay

⇄ 61'

Jaden Williams ⇄ Kylian Kouassi

Fabrizio Cavegn ⇄ Ellis Harrison

66' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Oscar Thorn ⇄ Bradley Ihionvien

Bobby Kamwa ⇄ Jack Aitchison

76' ⇄

Richard Smallwood Yellow Card

79' ▮

⇄ 85'

Rob Hunt ⇄ Leon Chiwome

Ellis Harrison assist: Tommy Leigh

90+3' ⚽ 2–0

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Bristol Rovers win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Bristol Rovers

LLWWW

Colchester

LDDLL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Colchester goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	10	13	6	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	2	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Bristol Rovers goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	5.0%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
1	9.6%	12.8%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.7%	9.9%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
3	5.7%	5.8%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.5%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bristol Rovers	Draw	Colchester
Bristol Rovers	35.2%	5.0%	1.9%
Draw	17.0%	16.4%	9.6%
Colchester	2.0%	3.2%	9.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bristol Rovers vs Colchester

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Bristol Rovers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Gillingham	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Grimsby	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Rotherham	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	H Colchester	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A Crawley Town	W	0 - 2

Colchester — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Peterborough	L	3 - 1
19 Sep	H Cheltenham	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Crewe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Swindon Town	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	A Bristol Rovers	L	2 - 0

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4

Bristol Rovers

Coach: Steve Evans

Colchester

Coach: Danny Cowley