Barnet vs Cheltenham Prediction

League Two League Two · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
The Hive Stadium, London
AI call Difficult Barnet win or draw
59%
25%
16%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Barnet vs Cheltenham prediction: Sportiko gives Barnet a 59% chance of winning, Cheltenham 16% and the draw 25%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 13:25.

Premium picks

Premium
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Under 3.5 Goals 72%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Charlie Lakin assist: Kabongo Tshimanga
11' 1–0
13'
Jonathan Tomkinson Yellow Card
38'
Shaun McWilliams Yellow Card
HT 1–0
Matthew Cox Yellow Card
53'
1–1 60'
Ryan Broom
1–2 64'
Charlie McCann
Nnamdi Ofoborh ⇄ Tom Knowles
66'
Idris Kanu ⇄ Jack Maskell
66'
Myles Kenlock ⇄ Zac Williams
66'
68'
Andreas Weimann ⇄ Jake Bickerstaff
Jake Reeves ⇄ Brandon Comley
75'
76'
Freddie Willcox Yellow Card
77'
⇄ Jordan Shipley
Kabongo Tshimanga Penalty
78' 2–2
Charlie Lakin ⇄ Zac Williams
87'
90+2'
Shaun McWilliams ⇄ Ben Stevenson
FT 2–2
Barnet

Match Stats

Cheltenham
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 4
11 Corner Kicks 4
0 Offsides 3
7 Fouls 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
392 Total passes 316
260 Passes accurate 191
19 Free Kicks 6
Barnet
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Kabongo Tshimanga F 7.7 90' 1 1 2 12 (10%) 2
7 Tom Knowles F 6.9 24' 9 (5%)
23 Jake Reeves M 6.8 75' 1 44 (36%)
22 Oisin Gallagher M 6.7 90' 2 36 (26%) 3
6 Zac Williams D 6.6 24' 1 10 (6%)
9 Jack Maskell F 6.6 24' 11 (5%)
25 Nikola Tavares D 6.5 90' 46 (32%) 4
5 Adam Senior M 6.4 90' 2 18 (15%) 1
4 Danny Collinge D 6.4 90' 1 35 (21%) 3
8 Charlie Lakin M 6.4 87' 1 4 23 (13%)
30 Myles Kenlock D 6.3 66' 38 (28%) 2
13 Matthew Cox G 6.2 90' 47 (17%)
10 Nnamdi Ofoborh M 6.2 66' 30 (24%) 2
14 Brandon Comley M 6.1 15' 6 (4%)
11 Idris Kanu M 5.9 66' 25 (15%)
Cheltenham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Charlie McCann M 7.4 90' 1 4 21 (14%) 1
14 Ryan Broom M 6.8 90' 1 2 23 (16%) 2
11 Jake Bickerstaff F 6.5 22' 2 (1%)
6 J. Wilson D 6.5 90' 27 (22%) 2
18 Andreas Weimann F 6.2 68' 10 (6%)
17 Shaun McWilliams M 6.1 92' 34 (20%) 3
26 Jordan Shipley M 6.0 13' 6 (2%) 1
23 Wyll Stanway G 5.9 90' 31 (17%)
5 Robbie Cundy D 5.8 90' 33 (21%) 2
33 Freddie Willcox M 5.8 90' 30 (14%) 3
4 Joseph Tomlinson D 5.6 90' 34 (22%) 1
3 Jonathan Tomkinson D 5.3 90' 44 (22%) 1
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Barnet win or draw
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Barnet
WWDDD
Cheltenham
DDWDW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
16%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Barnet
C. Lakin 6 gls
K. Tshimanga 4 gls
Cheltenham
C. McCann 6 gls
J. Evans 3 gls
A. Weimann 3 gls

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Head to Head: Barnet vs Cheltenham

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Barnet — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Fleetwood Town W 3 - 1
12 Sep H Accrington ST W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Chesterfield D 3 - 3
01 Sep A Exeter City D 1 - 1
29 Aug H Cheltenham D 2 - 2

Cheltenham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Exeter City D 2 - 2
19 Sep A Colchester D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Crawley Town W 1 - 3
05 Sep H Grimsby D 2 - 2
01 Sep H York W 3 - 2

League Two Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barnet
7 4 3 0 +7 15
2
Walsall
7 3 4 0 +6 13
3
Grimsby
7 3 4 0 +5 13
4
Gillingham
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cheltenham
7 3 3 1 +3 12
6
Bristol Rovers
7 4 0 3 +1 12
7
York
7 3 2 2 +3 11
8
Chesterfield
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
Crewe
7 2 5 0 +2 11
10
Tranmere
7 2 4 1 +2 10
11
Fleetwood Town
7 2 4 1 +1 10
12
Salford City
7 3 1 3 -1 10
13
Swindon Town
7 3 1 3 -3 10
14
Rotherham
7 2 3 2 0 9
15
Colchester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
16
Oldham
7 2 1 4 -1 7
17
Rochdale
7 2 1 4 -3 7
18
Shrewsbury
7 2 1 4 -6 7
19
Newport County
7 1 3 3 -1 6
20
Exeter City
7 1 3 3 -1 6
21
Accrington ST
7 1 3 3 -3 6
22
Northampton
7 1 3 3 -3 6
23
Port Vale
7 1 2 4 -6 5
24
Crawley Town
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Barnet

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Randin Rande
13 Cox
30 Kenlock
25 Tavares
4 Collinge
11 Kanu
23 Reeves
22 Gallagher
5 Senior
10 Ofoborh
8 Lakin
20 Tshimanga

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 M. Cox G
4 D. Collinge D
25 N. Tavares D
30 M. Kenlock D
5 A. Senior M
22 O. Gallagher M
23 J. Reeves M
11 I. Kanu M
8 C. Lakin M
10 N. Ofoborh M
20 K. Tshimanga F

Substitutes

1 T. Ashby-Hammond G
14 B. Comley M
7 T. Knowles F
6 Z. Williams D
9 J. Maskell F
12 W. Wright D

Cheltenham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Randin Rande
23 Stanway
4 Tomlinson
6 Wilson
5 Cundy
3 Tomkinson
33 Willcox
17 McWilliams
18 Weimann
14 Broom
8 McCann

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 W. Stanway G
3 J. Tomkinson D
5 R. Cundy D
6 J. Wilson D
4 J. Tomlinson D
17 S. McWilliams M
33 F. Willcox M
8 C. McCann M
14 R. Broom M
18 A. Weimann F

Substitutes

35 M. Barber D
1 J. Day G
36 G. Nurse D
26 J. Shipley M
7 B. Stevenson M
11 J. Bickerstaff F

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