Rotherham vs York Prediction
FT
AI call
York or draw
31%
29%
39%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Rotherham vs York prediction: Sportiko gives Rotherham a 31% chance of winning, York 39% and the draw 29%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 15:57.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 76%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
Ewan Otoo
assist: Kian Spence
20'
⚽
1–0
⇄
30'
Zak Johnson
⇄ Ryan Fallowfield
⚽
1–1
40'
Alex Newby
assist: Harry Boyes
HT 1–1
Fábio Tavares
⇄ Tom Bradshaw
56'
⇄
Ossama Ashley
⇄ Kieran Ngwenya
57'
⇄
⇄
67'
Alex Hunt
⇄ Arthur Read
Lenny Agbaire
⇄ Joe Rafferty
67'
⇄
⇄
71'
Mark Kitching
⇄ Charlie McArthur
⇄
72'
Joe Felix
⇄ Jeff King
Paul Mullin
⇄ Ar'Jany Martha
76'
⇄
Jili Buyabu
Yellow Card
78'
▮
Brandon Cover
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
FT 1–1
Rotherham
Match Stats
York
41%
Ball Possession
59%
Expected Goals (xG)
6
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots off Goal
6
3
Blocked Shots
5
3
Shots insidebox
10
3
Shots outsidebox
6
3
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
5
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
257
Total passes
359
181
Passes accurate
288
70%
Passes %
80%
goals_prevented
Rotherham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Ewan Otoo D | 8.5 | 73' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (24%) | 2 |
| 18 Lenny Agbaire D | 7.5 | 67' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 1 Ted Cann G | 7.0 | 73' | – | – | – | 22 (11%) | – |
| 24 Jili Buyabu M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 27 (17%) | 3 |
| 10 Paul Mullin F | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 28 Brandon Cover M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 5 |
| 6 Ossama Ashley M | 6.7 | 57' | – | – | – | 19 (12%) | – |
| 5 Kieran Ngwenya D | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 14 Sonny Aljofree D | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | – | 35 (21%) | 1 |
| 8 Kian Spence M | 6.3 | 73' | – | 1 | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 9 Tom Bradshaw F | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 12 Denzel Hall D | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 1 |
| 7 Fábio Tavares M | 5.6 | 56' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 2 Joe Rafferty D | — | 6' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
York
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Alex Newby F | 7.9 | 73' | 1 | – | 4 | 18 (17%) | – |
| 12 Harry Boyes M | 7.3 | 73' | – | 1 | – | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 24 Morgan Williams D | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | – |
| 8 Alex Hunt M | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 40 (36%) | – |
| 28 Ollie Banks M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 45 (35%) | 1 |
| 7 Joe Grey F | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 2 Ryan Fallowfield D | 6.6 | 43' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | – |
| 1 Alfie McNally G | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | – | 45 (32%) | – |
| 5 Zak Johnson D | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | – |
| 23 Joe Felix M | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | – | 29 (21%) | 4 |
| 3 Mark Kitching D | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 47 (37%) | 1 |
| 10 Ollie Pearce F | 5.9 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 33 Charlie McArthur D | — | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16 Arthur Read M | — | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 15 Jeff King D | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Our lean
York or draw
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Rotherham
DWDLD
York
DLLWD
Last 1 meetings
Rotherham · 0W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
31%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
39%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Rotherham
P. Mullin
3 gls
York
A. Newby
6 gls
H. Boyes
2 gls
O. Pearce
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Rotherham vs York
0
Rotherham Wins
1
Draws
0
York Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | York | 1 - 1 | Rotherham |
Rotherham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | A York | D | 1 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | A Northampton | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Salford City | D | 3 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Bristol Rovers | L | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | A Tranmere | D | 2 - 2 |
York — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Rotherham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | A Chesterfield | L | 2 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Newcastle United U21 | L | 1 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | H Swindon Town | W | 4 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Crewe | D | 1 - 1 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barnet
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |
Walsall
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |
Grimsby
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Gillingham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Bristol Rovers
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
York
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |
Chesterfield
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Crewe
|
7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |
Tranmere
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Fleetwood Town
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Salford City
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |
Rotherham
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |
Colchester
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Oldham
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rochdale
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Shrewsbury
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Newport County
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |
Exeter City
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |
Accrington ST
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |
Northampton
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |
Port Vale
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Rotherham
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Alex Bruce
1
Cann
3
Otoo
18
Agbaire
14
Aljofree
12
Hall
24
Buyabu
28
Cover
7
Tavares
6
Ashley
8
Spence
10
Mullin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ted Cann | G |
| 12 | Denzel Hall | D |
| 14 | Sonny Aljofree | D |
| 18 | Lenny Agbaire | D |
| 3 | Ewan Otoo | D |
| 28 | Brandon Cover | M |
| 24 | Jili Buyabu | M |
| 8 | Kian Spence | M |
| 6 | Ossama Ashley | M |
| 7 | Fábio Tavares | M |
| 10 | Paul Mullin | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Julian Eyestone | G |
| 11 | Ar'Jany Martha | D |
| 5 | Kieran Ngwenya | D |
| 2 | Joe Rafferty | D |
| 17 | Marvin Kaleta | D |
| 23 | Aaron Nemane | F |
| 9 | Tom Bradshaw | F |
York
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Scott Lindsey
1
McNally
3
Kitching
5
Johnson
24
Williams
12
Boyes
28
Banks
8
Hunt
23
Felix
7
Grey
30
Newby
10
Pearce
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alfie McNally | G |
| 24 | Morgan Williams | D |
| 5 | Zak Johnson | D |
| 3 | Mark Kitching | D |
| 23 | Joe Felix | M |
| 8 | Alex Hunt | M |
| 28 | Ollie Banks | M |
| 12 | Harry Boyes | M |
| 30 | Alex Newby | F |
| 7 | Joe Grey | F |
| 10 | Ollie Pearce | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | Ryan Fallowfield | D |
| 31 | George Sykes-Kenworthy | G |
| 4 | Zech Medley | D |
| 15 | Jeff King | D |
| 33 | Charlie McArthur | D |
| 16 | Arthur Read | M |
| 25 | Ben Farrar | F |