Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction
FT
The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
AI call
Stevenage or draw
47%
29%
24%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction: Sportiko gives Stevenage a 47% chance of winning, Milton Keynes Dons 24% and the draw 29%. Last updated 24 Oct 2026, 15:57.
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Timeline
▮
7'
A. Gilbey
Yellow Card
Josh Magennis
Yellow Card
9'
▮
▮
25'
Aaron Collins
Yellow Card
Carl Piergianni
Yellow Card
35'
▮
▮
44'
Jack Sanders
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Luther James-Wildin
⇄ Kaelan Casey
62'
⇄
Ben Broggio
⇄ Oliver Sanderson
63'
⇄
⚽
0–1
81'
Sam Nombe
assist: Aaron Collins
⇄
82'
Dan Crowley
⇄ Ben Wiles
⇄
82'
Sam Nombe
⇄ Callum Paterson
Daniel Phillips
⇄ Terry Taylor
84'
⇄
Michael Mellon
⇄ Phoenix Patterson
85'
⇄
Daniel Kemp
⇄ C. Campbell
90'
⇄
⇄
90+4'
Samuel Silvera
⇄ Gethin Jones
⇄
90+4'
Aaron Collins
⇄ I. Fullah
FT 0–1
Stevenage
Match Stats
Milton Keynes Dons
60%
Ball Possession
40%
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
10
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
8
3
Shots outsidebox
3
7
Corner Kicks
9
3
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
323
Total passes
221
224
Passes accurate
117
12
Free Kicks
9
Stevenage
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Daniel Kemp M | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 18 Oliver Sanderson F | 6.8 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 8 (2%) | – |
| 16 Kaelan Casey D | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 14 Saxon Earley D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (28%) | 1 |
| 7 Terry Taylor M | 6.5 | 6' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 28 Michael Mellon M | 6.5 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 13 (6%) | – |
| 8 Daniel Phillips M | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | 1 |
| 23 Louis Thompson M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (37%) | 4 |
| 27 Ben Broggio M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 19 (15%) | – |
| 15 Terence Vancooten D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (20%) | – |
| 1 Tommy Setford G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (8%) | – |
| 44 Phoenix Patterson F | 6.2 | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2 Luther James-Wildin D | 6.1 | 62' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | 1 |
| 5 Carl Piergianni D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (25%) | 2 |
| 9 Josh Magennis F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 20 C. Campbell M | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
Milton Keynes Dons
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sam Nombe F | 8.1 | 82' | 1 | – | 3 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 5 Charlie Goode D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 14 (8%) | 1 |
| 10 Aaron Collins F | 7.2 | 89' | – | 1 | 2 | 7 (3%) | 2 |
| 17 Samuel Silvera M | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | – | 25 (19%) | 2 |
| 21 Marvin Ekpiteta D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | 1 |
| 7 Dan Crowley M | 6.8 | 82' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 3 |
| 23 Will Dennis G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (7%) | – |
| 13 Callum Paterson F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 26 Ben Wiles F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 24 Ryan Wintle M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (11%) | – |
| 8 A. Gilbey M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (15%) | 2 |
| 32 Jack Sanders D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (9%) | 2 |
| 20 Elijah Xavier Campbell M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (8%) | 1 |
| 2 Gethin Jones D | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 22 I. Fullah M | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Low (47%)
At a glance
Our lean
Stevenage or draw
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Stevenage
WDLWL
Milton Keynes Dons
WWWWL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
24%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Stevenage
No scorer data.
Milton Keynes Dons
A. Collins
13 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Stevenage — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Oxford United | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Leicester | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Milton Keynes Dons | L | 0 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | H Plymouth | W | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Bradford | L | 2 - 0 |
Milton Keynes Dons — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Swindon Town | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Doncaster | W | 6 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Bromley | W | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Stevenage | W | 0 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | A Blackpool | L | 2 - 0 |
League One Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Huddersfield
|
14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |
Stockport County
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |
Oxford United
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |
Luton
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |
Plymouth
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |
Reading
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |
Bradford
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |
Cambridge United
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Mansfield Town
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |
Wycombe
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |
Leyton Orient
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |
Burton Albion
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |
Stevenage
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |
Notts County
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |
Blackpool
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |
Doncaster
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |
Wigan
|
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |
Peterborough
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |
Barnsley
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |
Bromley
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 9 |
Milton Keynes Dons
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: P. Warne
23
Dennis
32
Sanders
5
Goode
21
Ekpiteta
24
Wintle
20
Campbell
8
Gilbey
7
Crowley
17
Silvera
10
Collins
9
Nombe
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | W. Dennis | G |
| 21 | M. Ekpiteta | D |
| 5 | C. Goode | D |
| 32 | J. Sanders | D |
| 24 | R. Wintle | M |
| 17 | S. Silvera | M |
| 7 | D. Crowley | M |
| 8 | A. Gilbey | M |
| 20 | Elijah Xavier Campbell | M |
| 9 | S. Nombe | F |
| 10 | A. Collins | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | B. Wiles | F |
| 13 | C. Paterson | F |
| 2 | G. Jones | D |
| 22 | I. Fullah | M |
| 15 | C. Bramall | D |
| 4 | D. Barlaser | M |
| 51 | S. Stacey | G |
Stevenage
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: A. Revell
1
Setford
14
Earley
5
Piergianni
15
Vancooten
2
James-Wildin
27
Broggio
8
Phillips
23
Thompson
10
Kemp
28
Mellon
9
Magennis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Setford | G |
| 2 | L. James-Wildin | D |
| 15 | T. Vancooten | D |
| 5 | C. Piergianni | D |
| 14 | S. Earley | D |
| 10 | D. Kemp | M |
| 23 | L. Thompson | M |
| 8 | D. Phillips | M |
| 27 | B. Broggio | M |
| 28 | M. Mellon | M |
| 9 | J. Magennis | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | T. Turhan | F |
| 7 | T. Taylor | M |
| 18 | O. Sanderson | F |
| 44 | P. Patterson | F |
| 16 | K. Casey | D |
| 20 | C. Campbell | M |
| 12 | D. Barden | G |