Stevenage vs Plymouth Prediction
FT
The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
AI call
Plymouth or draw
35%
29%
36%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Stevenage vs Plymouth prediction: Sportiko gives Stevenage a 35% chance of winning, Plymouth 36% and the draw 29%. Last updated 20 Oct 2026, 20:41.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 74%
- Home to Score 74%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
▮
4'
Ronan Curtis
Yellow Card
Louis Thompson
Yellow Card
7'
▮
Michael Mellon
assist: Josh Magennis
19'
⚽
1–0
Josh Magennis
27'
⚽
2–0
Yellow Card
33'
▮
⇄
45'
Ronan Curtis
⇄ Xavier Amaechi
⇄
45'
Oliver Irow
⇄ Caleb Watts
HT 2–0
Ben Broggio
⇄ Phoenix Patterson
64'
⇄
Michael Mellon
⇄ Oliver Sanderson
64'
⇄
Louis Thompson
⇄ Terry Taylor
74'
⇄
⇄
76'
Joe Edwards
⇄ Matthew Sorinola
⇄
76'
Tyreeq Bakinson
⇄ Bradley Ibrahim
Phoenix Patterson
assist: Daniel Kemp
83'
⚽
3–0
⇄
87'
Alex Hartridge
⇄ Julio Pleguezuelo
FT 3–0
Stevenage
Match Stats
Plymouth
49%
Ball Possession
51%
1.31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
17
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots off Goal
4
6
Blocked Shots
7
14
Shots insidebox
7
3
Shots outsidebox
5
5
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
359
Total passes
374
251
Passes accurate
261
17
Free Kicks
8
Stevenage
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Josh Magennis F | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 (12%) | – |
| 28 Michael Mellon M | 8.1 | 64' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (6%) | 1 |
| 10 Daniel Kemp M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 31 (28%) | – |
| 44 Phoenix Patterson F | 7.6 | 26' | 1 | – | 2 | 6 (2%) | – |
| 15 Terence Vancooten D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | – |
| 5 Carl Piergianni D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (26%) | 3 |
| 8 Daniel Phillips M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (26%) | 4 |
| 4 Terry Taylor M | 6.8 | 16' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | – |
| 14 Saxon Earley D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (26%) | 1 |
| 18 Oliver Sanderson F | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 27 Ben Broggio M | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 16 (8%) | – |
| 1 Tommy Setford G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (20%) | – |
| 2 Luther James-Wildin D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (23%) | – |
| 23 Louis Thompson M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 27 (21%) | – |
Plymouth
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Xavier Amaechi F | 7.1 | 44' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | 3 |
| 9 Will Evans F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 16 (8%) | – |
| 27 Aribim Pepple F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 45 Wes Harding D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | 2 |
| 14 Oliver Irow M | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 7 Harvey White M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (46%) | – |
| 29 Matthew Sorinola D | 6.0 | 14' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 1 Murphy Cooper G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (15%) | – |
| 5 Julio Pleguezuelo D | 5.9 | 3' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 23 Bradley Ibrahim M | 5.8 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 8 Joe Edwards D | 5.7 | 76' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 19 Tyreeq Bakinson M | 5.7 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 46 (33%) | – |
| 11 Ronan Curtis M | 5.6 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 15 Alex Mitchell D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (32%) | 1 |
| 17 Caleb Watts M | 5.4 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 14 (10%) | – |
| 22 Alex Hartridge D | 5.3 | 87' | – | – | – | 42 (28%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (36%)
At a glance
Our lean
Plymouth or draw
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Stevenage
WDLWL
Plymouth
WDWLL
Last 1 meetings
Stevenage · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
35%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
36%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Stevenage
No scorer data.
Plymouth
A. Pepple
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Stevenage vs Plymouth
0
Stevenage Wins
0
Draws
1
Plymouth Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | Plymouth | 1 - 0 | Stevenage |
Stevenage — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Oxford United | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Leicester | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Milton Keynes Dons | L | 0 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | H Plymouth | W | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Bradford | L | 2 - 0 |
Plymouth — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Alvechurch | W | 4 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Reading | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Cambridge United | W | 2 - 3 |
| 20 Oct | A Stevenage | L | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Huddersfield | L | 0 - 2 |
League One Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Huddersfield
|
14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |
Stockport County
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |
Oxford United
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |
Luton
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |
Plymouth
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |
Reading
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |
Bradford
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |
Cambridge United
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Mansfield Town
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |
Wycombe
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |
Leyton Orient
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |
Burton Albion
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |
Stevenage
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |
Notts County
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |
Blackpool
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |
Doncaster
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |
Wigan
|
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |
Peterborough
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |
Barnsley
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |
Bromley
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 9 |
Plymouth
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Mahoney
45
Harding
22
Hartridge
15
Mitchell
8
Edwards
14
Irow
7
White
19
Bakinson
11
Curtis
27
Pepple
9
Evans
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Mahoney | G |
| 8 | J. Edwards | D |
| 15 | A. Mitchell | D |
| 22 | A. Hartridge | D |
| 45 | W. Harding | D |
| 11 | R. Curtis | M |
| 19 | T. Bakinson | M |
| 7 | H. White | M |
| 14 | O. Irow | M |
| 9 | W. Evans | F |
| 27 | A. Pepple | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | C. Watts | M |
| 21 | James Storer | G |
| 29 | M. Sorinola | D |
| 5 | Julio Pleguezuelo | D |
| 3 | Jack Mackenzie | D |
| 23 | B. Ibrahim | M |
| 10 | X. Amaechi | F |
Stevenage
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: A. Revell
1
Setford
14
Earley
5
Piergianni
15
Vancooten
2
James-Wildin
27
Broggio
8
Phillips
23
Thompson
28
Mellon
10
Kemp
9
Magennis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Setford | G |
| 2 | L. James-Wildin | D |
| 15 | T. Vancooten | D |
| 5 | C. Piergianni | D |
| 14 | S. Earley | D |
| 28 | M. Mellon | M |
| 23 | L. Thompson | M |
| 8 | D. Phillips | M |
| 27 | B. Broggio | M |
| 10 | D. Kemp | M |
| 9 | J. Magennis | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | D. Barden | G |
| 20 | C. Campbell | M |
| 16 | K. Casey | D |
| 44 | P. Patterson | F |
| 18 | O. Sanderson | F |
| 4 | T. Taylor | M |
| 19 | T. Turhan | F |