Plymouth vs Burton Albion Prediction
FT
Home Park, Plymouth
AI call
Difficult Plymouth win or draw
59%
24%
17%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Plymouth vs Burton Albion prediction: Sportiko gives Plymouth a 59% chance of winning, Burton Albion 17% and the draw 24%. Last updated 26 Sep 2026, 15:58.
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Timeline
▮
23'
Curtis Tilt
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
⇄ Matthew Dennis
HT 0–0
Will Evans
Yellow Card
56'
▮
Will Evans
⇄ Caleb Watts
59'
⇄
Matthew Sorinola
⇄ Joe Edwards
59'
⇄
Ronan Curtis
Yellow Card
60'
▮
▮
65'
Matthew Dennis
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
70'
Jack Armer
Ronan Curtis
⇄ Xavier Amaechi
70'
⇄
Tyreeq Bakinson
⇄ Bradley Ibrahim
70'
⇄
Julio Pleguezuelo
⇄ Mathias Ross
74'
⇄
▮
84'
Sulyman Krubally
Yellow Card
Mathias Ross
Yellow Card
86'
▮
⇄
87'
Kgagelo Chauke
⇄ Sulyman Krubally
FT 0–1
Plymouth
Match Stats
Burton Albion
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots off Goal
3
5
Blocked Shots
4
11
Shots insidebox
8
2
Shots outsidebox
2
3
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
4
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
462
Total passes
348
360
Passes accurate
249
4
Free Kicks
11
Plymouth
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Harvey White M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 71 (64%) | 3 |
| 5 Julio Pleguezuelo D | 7.0 | 74' | – | – | – | 50 (45%) | 1 |
| 23 Bradley Ibrahim M | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | – |
| 45 Wes Harding D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (33%) | 3 |
| 15 Alex Mitchell D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (63%) | 2 |
| 8 Joe Edwards D | 6.6 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 17 Caleb Watts M | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 2 Mathias Ross D | 6.4 | 16' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | – |
| 19 Tyreeq Bakinson M | 6.4 | 70' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | 3 |
| 29 Matthew Sorinola D | 6.3 | 59' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
| 1 Murphy Cooper G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (16%) | – |
| 10 Xavier Amaechi F | 6.2 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 9 Will Evans F | 6.0 | 59' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | 2 |
| 27 Aribim Pepple F | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 14 Oliver Irow M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 11 Ronan Curtis M | 5.7 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 20 (11%) | 1 |
Burton Albion
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 George Evans D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (42%) | – |
| 3 Jack Armer M | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (12%) | 1 |
| 26 Finn Delap D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | 2 |
| 17 R. Borges Rodrigues M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | 4 |
| 8 Charlie Webster M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 34 Corey Addai G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (29%) | – |
| 4 Kgagelo Chauke M | 6.7 | 87' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 16 Curtis Tilt D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (23%) | 1 |
| 41 Sulyman Krubally M | 6.6 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 14 Will Collar M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (24%) | 1 |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 19 Matthew Dennis F | 6.1 | 44' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (59%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Plymouth win or draw
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Plymouth
WDWLL
Burton Albion
WLWDD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
17%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Plymouth
A. Pepple
5 gls
Burton Albion
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Plymouth vs Burton Albion
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Plymouth — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Alvechurch | W | 4 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Reading | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Cambridge United | W | 2 - 3 |
| 20 Oct | A Stevenage | L | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Huddersfield | L | 0 - 2 |
Burton Albion — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H AFC Rushden & Diamonds | W | 4 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Wycombe | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Leyton Orient | W | 2 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | H Bradford | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Peterborough | D | 2 - 2 |
League One Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Huddersfield
|
14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |
Stockport County
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |
Oxford United
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |
Luton
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |
Plymouth
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |
Reading
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |
Bradford
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |
Cambridge United
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Mansfield Town
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |
Wycombe
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |
Leyton Orient
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |
Burton Albion
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |
Stevenage
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |
Notts County
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |
Blackpool
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |
Doncaster
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |
Wigan
|
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |
Peterborough
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |
Barnsley
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |
Bromley
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 9 |
Burton Albion
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: G. Bowyer
34
Addai
16
Tilt
12
Evans
26
Delap
3
Armer
4
Chauke
14
Collar
17
Rodrigues
8
Webster
18
Vickers
29
Adom
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | C. Addai | G |
| 26 | F. Delap | D |
| 12 | G. Evans | D |
| 16 | C. Tilt | D |
| 17 | R. Borges Rodrigues | M |
| 14 | W. Collar | M |
| 4 | K. Chauke | M |
| 3 | J. Armer | M |
| 18 | Caylon Vickers | M |
| 8 | C. Webster | M |
| 29 | Kain Adom | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | Harvey Araujo | D |
| 19 | M. Dennis | F |
| 27 | K. Dudek | G |
| 41 | Sulyman Krubally | M |
| 40 | Zac Scutt | F |
| 20 | J. Sraha | D |
| 23 | Emeka Adeile | D |
Plymouth
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Mahoney
29
Sorinola
5
Pleguezuelo
15
Mitchell
45
Harding
14
Irow
7
White
19
Bakinson
11
Curtis
27
Pepple
9
Evans
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Mahoney | G |
| 45 | W. Harding | D |
| 15 | A. Mitchell | D |
| 5 | Julio Pleguezuelo | D |
| 29 | M. Sorinola | D |
| 11 | R. Curtis | M |
| 19 | T. Bakinson | M |
| 7 | H. White | M |
| 14 | O. Irow | M |
| 9 | W. Evans | F |
| 27 | A. Pepple | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | X. Amaechi | F |
| 8 | J. Edwards | D |
| 23 | B. Ibrahim | M |
| 3 | Jack Mackenzie | D |
| 2 | M. Ross | D |
| 21 | James Storer | G |
| 17 | C. Watts | M |