Peterborough vs Doncaster Prediction

League One · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Peterborough

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Doncaster

Away

Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough

AI call Peterborough or draw

39%

27%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Peterborough vs Doncaster prediction: Sportiko gives Peterborough a 39% chance of winning, Doncaster 34% and the draw 27%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:53.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'

Alfie May assist: Leon Ayinde

Josh Feeney Yellow Card

36' ▮

HT 0–1

⇄ 62'

Alfie May ⇄ Jordan Thomas

Harrison Jones ⇄ Harry Ashfield

64' ⇄

Liam Kelly ⇄ Benjamin Woods

65' ⇄

⇄ 73'

Leon Ayinde ⇄ Tommi O'Reilly

Owura Edwards ⇄ Ethan Williams

76' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Brandon Hanlan ⇄ Isaac Hutchinson

Carl Johnston ⇄ Chris Conn-Clarke

85' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 88'

Isaac Hutchinson assist: Jordan Thomas

Harry Leonard Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

▮ 90+2'

Jack Senior Yellow Card

FT 0–2

Peterborough

Match Stats

Doncaster

63% Ball Possession 37%

14 Total Shots 9

0 Shots on Goal 4

9 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 2

10 Shots insidebox 6

4 Shots outsidebox 3

8 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 17

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 0

429 Total passes 254

346 Passes accurate 169

14 Free Kicks 12

Peterborough

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Carl Johnston D	7.0	85'	–	–	1	56 (48%)	–
12 Josh Feeney D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	57 (55%)	–
26 David Okagbue D	6.7	90'	–	–	2	59 (50%)	2
9 Harry Leonard M	6.6	90'	–	–	3	15 (11%)	–
14 Harley Mills D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	42 (31%)	1
7 Harrison Jones M	6.3	64'	–	–	1	35 (30%)	1
4 Liam Kelly M	6.3	65'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	1
16 Benjamin Woods M	6.2	25'	–	–	2	19 (16%)	1
10 Ethan Williams F	6.2	14'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	–
19 Bolu Shofowoke M	6.1	90'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	1
20 Chris Conn-Clarke M	6.0	5'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
45 Harry Ashfield M	6.0	26'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
Seamus Maughan	5.9	90'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
11 Owura Edwards M	5.7	76'	–	–	2	24 (16%)	1
1 Alex Bass G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	41 (21%)	–

Doncaster

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Alfie May M	8.1	62'	1	–	1	12 (8%)	–
21 Isaac Hutchinson M	7.7	6'	1	–	2	5 (2%)	–
11 Leon Ayinde M	7.6	73'	–	1	1	10 (8%)	1
19 Jordan Thomas M	7.3	28'	–	1	–	5 (4%)	1
12 Neill Byrne D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	34 (24%)	1
27 Sean Grehan D	6.9	90'	–	–	2	25 (18%)	1
7 Tommi O'Reilly M	6.9	17'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	1
3 J. Husband D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	36 (25%)	–
22 Robbie Gotts M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	30 (19%)	2
23 Jack Senior M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	2
9 Brandon Hanlan F	6.5	84'	–	–	1	14 (9%)	–
4 Owen Bailey M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	1
1 Tommy Simkin G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	25 (13%)	–
8 George Broadbent M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	18 (10%)	–

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Peterborough or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Peterborough

WLDDL

Doncaster

WLLLD

Live insights

88' Goal 85% sure

Doncaster now leads 0-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Doncaster leads 0-1. Win probability: 81.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 18.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Doncaster leads. Win probability: 67.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.1%.

16' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Doncaster win: 62.7%. BTTS: 73.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Doncaster goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	5	3	1
1	6	12	8	4	2
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Peterborough goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

41%

2.5

59%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

41%

2.5

59%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	5.4%	5.1%	2.5%	0.9%
1	5.9%	12.3%	8.1%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.8%	6.6%	3.3%	1.2%
3	3.2%	4.7%	3.5%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.3%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Peterborough	Draw	Doncaster
Peterborough	22.1%	4.7%	2.7%
Draw	15.3%	15.9%	14.1%
Doncaster	2.7%	4.4%	18.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Peterborough vs Doncaster

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Peterborough — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Colchester	W	3 - 1
19 Sep	H Doncaster	L	0 - 2
15 Sep	H Barnsley	D	3 - 3
12 Sep	A Milton Keynes Dons	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Sheffield Wednesday	L	1 - 2

Doncaster — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Peterborough	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	A AFC Wimbledon	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H Huddersfield	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Plymouth	L	2 - 3
01 Sep	H Notts County	D	1 - 1

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4