Oxford United vs Cambridge United Prediction

League One League One · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
AI call Oxford United or draw
45%
29%
26%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Oxford United vs Cambridge United prediction: Sportiko gives Oxford United a 45% chance of winning, Cambridge United 26% and the draw 29%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:59.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Over 1.5 Goals 75%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Jamie McDonnell ⇄ Louie Sibley
9'
Siriki Dembélé assist: Mark Harris
15' 1–0
45'
Callum Perry ⇄ Zak Bradshaw
Cameron Brannagan Yellow Card
45+8'
HT 1–0
50'
S. Curtis Yellow Card
55'
Owen Moxon ⇄ Shayne Lavery
1–1 57'
Ben Knight assist: Dominic Ball
Kai Andrews ⇄ Gatlin O'Donkor
58'
Mo Missanga ⇄ Luka Lynch
58'
63'
Ben Knight Yellow Card
66'
Shayne Lavery Yellow Card
Peter Kioso ⇄ Brodie Spencer
70'
Mark Harris ⇄ Tyler Goodrham
70'
71'
Yellow Card
76'
Sullay Kaikai ⇄ Isaac Heath
86'
Ben Knight ⇄ Raees Bangura-Williams
86'
Gassan Ahadme ⇄ Louis Appéré
87'
Kell Watts Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Oxford United

Match Stats

Cambridge United
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 9
7 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 8
11 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
507 Total passes 241
411 Passes accurate 161
13 Free Kicks 11
Oxford United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Siriki Dembélé M 8.2 90' 1 1 32 (27%)
9 Mark Harris F 7.2 70' 1 2 14 (10%) 1
8 Cameron Brannagan M 7.0 90' 56 (49%) 1
11 Tyler Goodrham F 6.9 20' 3 9 (8%) 1
3 Ciaron Brown D 6.8 90' 97 (82%) 2
19 Gatlin O'Donkor F 6.7 32' 1 5 (4%)
13 Simon Eastwood G 6.6 90' 41 (35%)
30 Peter Kioso D 6.6 70' 26 (20%) 3
15 Brodie Spencer D 6.5 20' 11 (8%)
20 Luka Lynch F 6.5 32' 1 6 (5%)
18 Jamie McDonnell M 6.4 9' 3 (3%) 1
32 Louie Sibley M 6.4 81' 2 39 (32%) 2
26 Jack Currie D 6.3 90' 50 (37%) 6
57 Mo Missanga M 6.2 58' 14 (7%) 1
6 Michał Helik D 6.1 90' 75 (60%) 3
4 Kai Andrews M 6.0 58' 29 (24%) 1
Cambridge United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Ben Knight M 8.2 86' 1 3 24 (18%) 1
4 Dominic Ball M 7.1 90' 1 21 (17%) 1
1 Jake Eastwood G 6.8 90' 14 (8%)
11 Sullay Kaikai M 6.7 76' 2 18 (14%)
17 Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu M 6.6 90' 1 16 (11%) 1
7 Isaac Heath F 6.5 14' 3 (3%)
9 Louis Appéré F 6.5 4' 2 (2%) 1
3 Callum Perry D 6.4 46' 11 (9%) 3
22 Zak Bradshaw D 6.4 44' 14 (12%)
19 Shayne Lavery F 6.3 35' 2 5 (5%)
8 Owen Moxon M 6.2 55' 1 19 (13%) 2
44 Raees Bangura-Williams M 6.1 4' 3 (3%)
14 Gassan Ahadme F 6.1 86' 1 21 (7%)
29 S. Curtis D 6.0 90' 2 23 (12%) 10
6 Kell Watts D 5.8 90' 1 26 (16%)
Seamus Maughan 5.5 90' 2 21 (11%)
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
Oxford United or draw
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Oxford United
DWWLW
Cambridge United
WDWDW

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 68.4%. Late goal chance: 35.1%.

59' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 51%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Oxford United leads. Win probability: 77.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.7%.

16' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Oxford United win: 74.6%. BTTS: 59.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
26%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Oxford United
G. O'Donkor 3 gls
M. Harris 3 gls
Cambridge United
B. Knight 3 gls

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Head to Head: Oxford United vs Cambridge United

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Oxford United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Cambridge United D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Burton Albion W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Leicester W 0 - 4
01 Sep A Huddersfield L 3 - 1
22 Aug A Stevenage W 1 - 2

Cambridge United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep A Gillingham W 1 - 4
19 Sep A Oxford United D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Reading W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Burton Albion D 2 - 2
01 Sep A Bradford W 1 - 2

League One Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bradford
7 5 0 2 +3 15
2
Sheffield Wednesday
7 4 2 1 +7 14
3
Plymouth
7 4 1 2 +4 13
4
Huddersfield
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cambridge United
7 3 3 1 +2 12
6
Oxford United
6 3 2 1 +6 11
7
AFC Wimbledon
7 3 2 2 -2 11
8
Reading
6 3 1 2 +7 10
9
Stockport County
7 3 1 3 +6 10
10
Leyton Orient
7 3 1 3 +4 10
11
Stevenage
7 2 3 2 +3 9
12
Burton Albion
7 2 3 2 0 9
13
Leicester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
14
Wycombe
7 2 3 2 -3 9
15
Blackpool
7 2 2 3 0 8
16
Luton
7 2 2 3 -2 8
17
Mansfield Town
7 2 2 3 -3 8
18
Barnsley
7 2 2 3 -5 8
19
Bromley
7 2 2 3 -10 8
20
Notts County
7 1 4 2 -2 7
21
Doncaster
7 1 3 3 -1 6
22
Milton Keynes Dons
7 0 6 1 -2 6
23
Peterborough
7 1 2 4 -8 5
24
Wigan
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Oxford United

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Ramsey
13 Eastwood
26 Currie
3 Brown
6 Helik
30 Kioso
18 McDonnell
8 Brannagan
23 Dembélé
4 Andrews
57 Missanga
9 Harris

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 S. Eastwood G
30 P. Kioso D
6 M. Helik D
3 C. Brown D
26 J. Currie D
8 C. Brannagan M
18 Jamie Carson McDonnell M
57 M. Missanga M
4 Kai Andrews M
23 S. Dembélé M
9 M. Harris F

Substitutes

19 G. O'Donkor F
20 L. Lynch F
2 S. Long D
11 T. Goodrham F
1 J. Cumming G
32 L. Sibley M
15 B. Spencer D

Cambridge United

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: N. Harris
1 Eastwood
3 Perry
15 Andrews
6 Watts
29 Curtis
4 Ball
8 Moxon
11 Kaikai
17 Mpanzu
10 Knight
14 Yahyai

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Eastwood G
29 S. Curtis D
6 K. Watts D
15 Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews D
3 Callum Perry D
8 O. Moxon M
4 D. Ball M
10 B. Knight M
17 P. Mpanzu M
11 S. Kaikai M
14 G. Yahyai F

Substitutes

9 L. Appéré F
44 Raees Bangura-Williams M
22 Z. Bradshaw D
13 G. Breeze G
7 Isaac Heath F
33 D. Herd D
19 S. Lavery F

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