Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town Prediction

League One · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Burton Albion

Home

2 : 2

HT 2 - 1

Mansfield Town

Away

Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire

AI call Burton Albion or draw

40%

29%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town prediction: Sportiko gives Burton Albion a 40% chance of winning, Mansfield Town 31% and the draw 29%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 13:25.

Premium picks

Premium

2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%
Away to Score 71%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Adedeji Oshilaja Own Goal

16' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 21'

Elliott Hewitt Yellow Card

▮ 23'

Ryan Sweeney Yellow Card

Jack Armer

28' ⚽ 2–0

Will Collar Yellow Card

39' ▮

⚽ 2–1 40'

Michael Smith assist: Nathan Moriah-Welsh

⇄ 45'

Elliott Hewitt ⇄ Kyle Knoyle

HT 2–1

▮ 49'

Louis Reed Yellow Card

⇄ 53'

Liam Thompson ⇄ Rhys Oates

▮ 59'

Michael Smith Yellow Card

⇄ 62'

Michael Smith ⇄ Luke Bolton

⇄ 62'

Nathan Moriah-Welsh ⇄ Lucas Akins

Will Collar ⇄ Sulyman Krubally

62' ⇄

⇄ Matthew Dennis

63' ⇄

Harvey Araujo

63' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 70'

Lucas Akins

⇄ 75'

Stephen McLaughlin ⇄ Frazer Blake-Tracy

R. Borges Rodrigues ⇄ Emeka Adeile

82' ⇄

▮ 90+3'

Frazer Blake-Tracy Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Burton Albion

Match Stats

Mansfield Town

51% Ball Possession 49%

10 Total Shots 11

3 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 2

4 Shots insidebox 8

6 Shots outsidebox 3

4 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 5

12 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

369 Total passes 351

269 Passes accurate 270

14 Free Kicks 11

Burton Albion

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Jack Armer M	6.8	90'	1	–	3	35 (21%)	1
19 Matthew Dennis F	6.7	27'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
4 Kgagelo Chauke M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	36 (34%)	3
Seamus Maughan	6.4	27'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
24 Harvey Araujo D	6.3	63'	–	–	–	37 (29%)	2
14 Will Collar M	6.3	62'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
16 Curtis Tilt D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	44 (35%)	2
17 R. Borges Rodrigues M	6.2	82'	–	–	2	15 (11%)	1
34 Corey Addai G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	38 (24%)	–
15 Kyran Lofthouse M	6.1	90'	–	–	1	31 (22%)	–
8 Charlie Webster M	6.1	90'	–	–	1	42 (31%)	3
6 Toby Sibbick D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	27 (18%)	9
41 Sulyman Krubally M	5.7	28'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	1
23 Emeka Adeile D	5.6	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Mansfield Town

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Lucas Akins F	8.2	28'	1	–	3	7 (3%)	2
14 Michael Smith F	7.6	62'	1	–	2	9 (8%)	–
3 Stephen McLaughlin M	6.7	75'	–	–	1	26 (17%)	4
22 Nathan Moriah-Welsh M	6.6	62'	–	1	–	19 (16%)	1
18 Rhys Oates F	6.6	37'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	2
24 Regan Hendry M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	50 (43%)	2
25 Louis Reed M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	45 (33%)	3
8 Luke Bolton D	6.3	28'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	3
17 David McGoldrick F	6.2	90'	–	–	1	24 (19%)	3
1 Liam Roberts G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	19 (9%)	–
2 Kyle Knoyle D	6.1	44'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
5 Ryan Sweeney D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	49 (39%)	2
16 Liam Thompson M	6.0	53'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
23 Adedeji Oshilaja D	5.8	90'	–	–	1	48 (40%)	1
20 Frazer Blake-Tracy D	5.7	15'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
4 Elliott Hewitt D	5.7	46'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean

Burton Albion or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Burton Albion

DDLDW

Mansfield Town

DDLLW

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 67.9%. Late goal chance: 35.7%.

71' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 62.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-1. Burton Albion leads. Win probability: 74.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.4%.

40' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Burton Albion win: 73.4%. BTTS: 100%.

29' Goal 85% sure

Burton Albion now leads 2-0 with 90.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 82.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

31%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mansfield Town goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	5	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Burton Albion goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

31%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

31%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	6.9%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
1	8.3%	13.9%	7.6%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.2%	8.9%	5.5%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.5%	4.3%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Burton Albion	Draw	Mansfield Town
Burton Albion	24.8%	4.7%	2.0%
Draw	14.6%	17.9%	12.2%
Mansfield Town	2.1%	4.3%	17.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Burton Albion — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Nottingham Forest U21	D	1 - 1
19 Sep	H Mansfield Town	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Oxford United	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	H Cambridge United	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H AFC Wimbledon	W	4 - 1

Mansfield Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Burton Albion	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Huddersfield	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	A Bradford	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	A Reading	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	H Luton	W	5 - 2

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4