Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town Prediction
FT
Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
AI call
Burton Albion or draw
40%
29%
31%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town prediction: Sportiko gives Burton Albion a 40% chance of winning, Mansfield Town 31% and the draw 29%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 13:25.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
- Away to Score 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
Adedeji Oshilaja
Own Goal
16'
⚽
1–0
▮
21'
Elliott Hewitt
Yellow Card
▮
23'
Ryan Sweeney
Yellow Card
Jack Armer
28'
⚽
2–0
Will Collar
Yellow Card
39'
▮
⚽
2–1
40'
Michael Smith
assist: Nathan Moriah-Welsh
⇄
45'
Elliott Hewitt
⇄ Kyle Knoyle
HT 2–1
▮
49'
Louis Reed
Yellow Card
⇄
53'
Liam Thompson
⇄ Rhys Oates
▮
59'
Michael Smith
Yellow Card
⇄
62'
Michael Smith
⇄ Luke Bolton
⇄
62'
Nathan Moriah-Welsh
⇄ Lucas Akins
Will Collar
⇄ Sulyman Krubally
62'
⇄
⇄ Matthew Dennis
63'
⇄
Harvey Araujo
63'
⇄
⚽
2–2
70'
Lucas Akins
⇄
75'
Stephen McLaughlin
⇄ Frazer Blake-Tracy
R. Borges Rodrigues
⇄ Emeka Adeile
82'
⇄
▮
90+3'
Frazer Blake-Tracy
Yellow Card
FT 2–2
Burton Albion
Match Stats
Mansfield Town
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
2
4
Shots insidebox
8
6
Shots outsidebox
3
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
5
12
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
369
Total passes
351
269
Passes accurate
270
14
Free Kicks
11
Burton Albion
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jack Armer M | 6.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 35 (21%) | 1 |
| 19 Matthew Dennis F | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 4 Kgagelo Chauke M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (34%) | 3 |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.4 | 27' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 24 Harvey Araujo D | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 37 (29%) | 2 |
| 14 Will Collar M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 16 Curtis Tilt D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (35%) | 2 |
| 17 R. Borges Rodrigues M | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 34 Corey Addai G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (24%) | – |
| 15 Kyran Lofthouse M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (22%) | – |
| 8 Charlie Webster M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (31%) | 3 |
| 6 Toby Sibbick D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | 9 |
| 41 Sulyman Krubally M | 5.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 23 Emeka Adeile D | 5.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Mansfield Town
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Lucas Akins F | 8.2 | 28' | 1 | – | 3 | 7 (3%) | 2 |
| 14 Michael Smith F | 7.6 | 62' | 1 | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 3 Stephen McLaughlin M | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 26 (17%) | 4 |
| 22 Nathan Moriah-Welsh M | 6.6 | 62' | – | 1 | – | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 18 Rhys Oates F | 6.6 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | 2 |
| 24 Regan Hendry M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (43%) | 2 |
| 25 Louis Reed M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (33%) | 3 |
| 8 Luke Bolton D | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 3 |
| 17 David McGoldrick F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (19%) | 3 |
| 1 Liam Roberts G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (9%) | – |
| 2 Kyle Knoyle D | 6.1 | 44' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 5 Ryan Sweeney D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (39%) | 2 |
| 16 Liam Thompson M | 6.0 | 53' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 23 Adedeji Oshilaja D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (40%) | 1 |
| 20 Frazer Blake-Tracy D | 5.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 4 Elliott Hewitt D | 5.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
Premium
Unlock the AI's full read on Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Pick types you choose
Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Our lean
Burton Albion or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
Burton Albion
WLWDD
Mansfield Town
WDLWW
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
31%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Burton Albion
No scorer data.
Mansfield Town
M. Smith
6 gls
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Burton Albion — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H AFC Rushden & Diamonds | W | 4 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Wycombe | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Leyton Orient | W | 2 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | H Bradford | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Peterborough | D | 2 - 2 |
Mansfield Town — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Macclesfield | W | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Wigan | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Notts County | L | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Blackpool | W | 1 - 4 |
| 20 Oct | A AFC Wimbledon | W | 0 - 3 |
League One Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Huddersfield
|
14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |
Stockport County
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |
Oxford United
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |
Luton
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |
Plymouth
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |
Reading
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |
Bradford
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |
Cambridge United
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Mansfield Town
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |
Wycombe
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |
Leyton Orient
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |
Burton Albion
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |
Stevenage
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |
Notts County
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |
Blackpool
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |
Doncaster
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |
Wigan
|
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |
Peterborough
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |
Barnsley
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |
Bromley
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 9 |
Burton Albion
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: G. Bowyer
34
Addai
24
Araujo
16
Tilt
6
Sibbick
3
Armer
14
Collar
4
Chauke
15
Lofthouse
8
Webster
17
Rodrigues
18
Vickers
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | C. Addai | G |
| 6 | T. Sibbick | D |
| 16 | C. Tilt | D |
| 24 | Harvey Araujo | D |
| 15 | K. Lofthouse | M |
| 4 | K. Chauke | M |
| 14 | W. Collar | M |
| 3 | J. Armer | M |
| 17 | R. Borges Rodrigues | M |
| 8 | C. Webster | M |
| 18 | Caylon Vickers | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | M. Dennis | F |
| 27 | K. Dudek | G |
| 40 | Zac Scutt | F |
| 20 | J. Sraha | D |
| 41 | Sulyman Krubally | M |
| 23 | Emeka Adeile | D |
| 29 | Kain Adom | F |
Mansfield Town
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: N. Clough
1
Roberts
5
Sweeney
23
Oshilaja
4
Hewitt
25
Reed
3
McLaughlin
24
Hendry
16
Thompson
22
Moriah-Welsh
17
McGoldrick
14
Smith
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Roberts | G |
| 4 | E. Hewitt | D |
| 23 | A. Oshilaja | D |
| 5 | R. Sweeney | D |
| 25 | L. Reed | M |
| 22 | N. Moriah-Welsh | M |
| 16 | L. Thompson | M |
| 24 | R. Hendry | M |
| 3 | S. McLaughlin | M |
| 14 | M. Smith | F |
| 17 | D. McGoldrick | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | R. Oates | F |
| 2 | K. Knoyle | D |
| 9 | J. Bowery | D |
| 8 | L. Bolton | D |
| 20 | F. Blake-Tracy | D |
| 7 | L. Akins | F |
| 21 | H. Lewis | G |