Leyton Orient vs Oxford United Prediction

League Cup · Round of 128

08 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Oxford United

Away

Brisbane Road, London

AI call Leyton Orient or draw

38%

27%

34%

Home Win · 2.80 Draw · 3.50 Away Win · 2.55

Leyton Orient vs Oxford United prediction: Sportiko gives Leyton Orient a 38% chance of winning, Oxford United 34% and the draw 27%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Leyton Orient

WWDWW

Oxford United

WWLDW

Match summary

In the League Cup clash between Leyton Orient and Oxford United, both teams will look to establish dominance early in the tournament. Leyton Orient has shown solid form in their recent fixtures, particularly in their attacking play, averaging 1.5 goals per match in the last five games. On the other hand, Oxford United's defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match in the same timeframe. The outcome may hinge on Leyton Orient’s ability to exploit defensive weaknesses and maintain pressure throughout the match, while Oxford will need to tighten their backline to avoid an early exit.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

34%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Oxford United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	4	2	1
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Leyton Orient goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	4.9%	4.2%	1.9%	0.6%
1	6.6%	12.3%	7.3%	3.3%	1.1%
2	7.0%	9.4%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.0%	5.4%	3.7%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.7%	2.3%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Leyton Orient	Draw	Oxford United
Leyton Orient	24.4%	3.9%	1.8%
Draw	18.0%	15.6%	10.6%
Oxford United	3.6%	5.1%	17.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Leyton Orient vs Oxford United

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Leyton Orient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Waltham Abbey	W	1 - 7
02 Aug	H Antwerp	W	2 - 1
25 Jul	A Southend	D	1 - 1
17 Jul	A Lincoln	W	0 - 2
21 Mar	H Wycombe	W	2 - 0

Oxford United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Ipswich	W	2 - 0
25 Jul	A Barnet	W	1 - 2
21 Mar	A Southampton	L	2 - 0
14 Mar	H Charlton	D	1 - 1
11 Mar	H Blackburn	W	1 - 0

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.