Crewe vs Accrington ST Prediction

League Cup · Round of 128

08 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Accrington ST

Away

AI call Crewe or draw

49%

28%

23%

Home Win · 1.86 Draw · 3.80 Away Win · 4.23

Crewe vs Accrington ST prediction: Sportiko gives Crewe a 49% chance of winning, Accrington ST 23% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Crewe

DLWDL

Accrington ST

DWLLD

Match summary

In the League Cup clash between Crewe and Accrington Stanley, both teams will seek to capitalize on their attacking strengths. Crewe has demonstrated a solid scoring record in recent matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Accrington has struggled defensively, conceding around 1.8 goals per match. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Crewe likely relying on their playmakers to control the tempo. Accrington must focus on maintaining defensive discipline to avoid early setbacks. The outcome may hinge on set pieces and the ability of either side to convert chances efficiently.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Accrington ST goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Crewe goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	8.1%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
1	12.7%	14.6%	5.8%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.5%	8.5%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%
3	4.2%	3.8%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.4%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Crewe	Draw	Accrington ST
Crewe	27.1%	4.1%	1.2%
Draw	16.9%	21.3%	10.2%
Accrington ST	1.8%	4.0%	13.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Crewe vs Accrington ST

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Crewe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Chester	D	0 - 0
25 Jul	H Birmingham	L	1 - 2
21 Mar	A Shrewsbury	W	0 - 4
17 Mar	A Cheltenham	D	1 - 1
14 Mar	H Walsall	L	0 - 3

Accrington ST — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Sheffield Wednesday	D	0 - 0
25 Jul	A Chorley	W	0 - 3
21 Mar	H Chesterfield	L	0 - 1
17 Mar	H Notts County	L	0 - 4
14 Mar	A Barrow	D	0 - 0

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.