AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County Prediction

League Cup · Round of 128

08 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Newport County

Away

The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

AI call Difficult AFC Wimbledon win or draw

50%

26%

24%

Home Win · 1.70 Draw · 4.16 Away Win · 5.00

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County prediction: Sportiko gives AFC Wimbledon a 50% chance of winning, Newport County 24% and the draw 26%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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AFC Wimbledon

LWDLL

Newport County

LWWDL

Match summary

AFC Wimbledon faces Newport County in the League Cup on August 8, 2026. Both teams have shown fluctuating form in recent matches, with Wimbledon holding a slight edge in recent head-to-head encounters. Key players to watch include Wimbledon's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Newport's solid defensive unit, which has limited goals against in recent fixtures. The match could hinge on Wimbledon’s ability to convert chances, as Newport will likely set up to counter effectively. Overall, this clash promises to be competitive, with both sides aiming for a strong cup run.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newport County goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ AFC Wimbledon goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	7.3%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
1	9.3%	14.2%	7.2%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.7%	8.9%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.6%	4.2%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Newport County
AFC Wimbledon	24.5%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	15.7%	18.8%	11.6%
Newport County	2.2%	4.5%	16.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

AFC Wimbledon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H QPR	L	2 - 3
25 Jul	H Charlton	W	2 - 0
21 Mar	H Peterborough	D	1 - 1
17 Mar	H Leyton Orient	L	2 - 4
14 Mar	A Stevenage	L	1 - 0

Newport County — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H AS Roma	L	1 - 4
01 Aug	A Yeovil Town	W	1 - 2
08 Jul	A Newport City	W	0 - 5
21 Mar	A Walsall	D	1 - 1
17 Mar	H Bromley	L	0 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.