Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction

League Cup · Round of 128

08 Aug 2026, 14:00

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Swansea

Home

14:00

08 Aug 2026

Birmingham

Away

AI call Birmingham or draw

32%

29%

39%

Home Win · 3.00 Draw · 3.55 Away Win · 2.34

Swansea vs Birmingham prediction: Sportiko gives Swansea a 32% chance of winning, Birmingham 39% and the draw 29%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Swansea

WLLWW

Birmingham

DWWWL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

39%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Birmingham goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Swansea goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

52% Away (No Draw) 48% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	9.1%	6.9%	2.9%	0.9%
1	8.5%	14.6%	8.2%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.1%	7.8%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Swansea	Draw	Birmingham
Swansea	19.8%	4.8%	2.2%
Draw	12.7%	19.6%	15.3%
Birmingham	1.6%	4.0%	19.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Swansea vs Birmingham

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Swansea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Leganes	W	1 - 0
21 Mar	H Coventry	L	0 - 3
13 Mar	A Wrexham	L	2 - 0
10 Mar	A Portsmouth	W	1 - 2
07 Mar	H Stoke City	W	1 - 0

Birmingham — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	H Barcelona	D	2 - 2
25 Jul	A Crewe	W	1 - 2
15 Jul	A Solihull Moors	W	0 - 3
10 Jul	H Huddersfield	W	3 - 1
21 Mar	A Derby	L	1 - 0

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.