Burnley vs Notts County Prediction

League Cup · Round of 128

08 Aug 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Notts County

Away

Turf Moor, Burnley

AI call Difficult Burnley win or draw

54%

28%

18%

Home Win · 1.50 Draw · 4.70 Away Win · 7.10

Burnley vs Notts County prediction: Sportiko gives Burnley a 54% chance of winning, Notts County 18% and the draw 28%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Burnley

LDLDL

Notts County

DLLLW

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup clash, Burnley will face Notts County with both teams looking to progress in the tournament. Burnley, a team with a stronger squad depth and experience in higher divisions, will likely leverage their tactical approach to control possession. Notts County, while competitive, may struggle against Burnley's pace and physicality. Key players to watch include Burnley's attacking threats, who could exploit defensive lapses. Overall, Burnley will aim to assert dominance early in the match to secure a comfortable lead.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Notts County goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	10	6	2
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	8	7	4	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Burnley goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

28%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.1%	10.4%	6.0%	1.9%	0.5%
1	12.0%	15.2%	6.6%	2.2%	0.5%
2	7.6%	7.5%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
3	2.8%	2.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Burnley	Draw	Notts County
Burnley	20.6%	3.9%	1.2%
Draw	15.5%	23.0%	12.2%
Notts County	1.7%	4.4%	17.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Burnley vs Notts County

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Burnley — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Torino	L	0 - 1
29 Jul	H Espanyol	D	2 - 2
26 Jul	A Ajax	L	2 - 1
24 May	H Wolves	D	1 - 1
18 May	A Arsenal	L	1 - 0

Notts County — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Walsall	D	0 - 0
14 Jul	A Randers FC	L	3 - 1
11 Jul	A Viborg	L	2 - 0
24 Mar	A Oldham	L	3 - 0
21 Mar	H Cheltenham	W	4 - 2

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.