Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 14

Post on X

Wrexham

Home

2 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Middlesbrough

Away

STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam

AI call Difficult Middlesbrough win or draw

20%

25%

55%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction: Sportiko gives Wrexham a 20% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 55% and the draw 25%. Last updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:39.

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1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 60'

Sebastian Berhalter ⇄ Myles Peart-Harris

⇄ 60'

Luke Ayling ⇄ Maximilian Arfsten

⇄ 60'

Kyle Joseph ⇄ Riley McGree

George Dobson Yellow Card

62' ▮

George Thomason assist: Kieffer Moore

70' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 72'

Neto Borges ⇄ David Strelec

George Thomason ⇄ Oliver Rathbone

77' ⇄

⇄ 77'

T. Conway ⇄ Jeremy Sarmiento

George Dobson ⇄ B. Sheaf

83' ⇄

Oliver Rathbone assist: Lewis O'Brien

84' ⚽ 2–0

FT 2–0

Wrexham

Match Stats

Middlesbrough

38% Ball Possession 62%

1.49 Expected Goals (xG) 0.85

15 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Goal 2

7 Shots off Goal 6

4 Blocked Shots 4

7 Shots insidebox 9

8 Shots outsidebox 3

3 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 3

9 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

384 Total passes 650

307 Passes accurate 579

5 Free Kicks 9

Wrexham

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 George Thomason M	8.2	77'	1	–	3	32 (27%)	2
19 Kieffer Moore F	7.9	90'	–	1	5	29 (19%)	–
20 Oliver Rathbone M	7.7	13'	1	–	2	2 (2%)	–
27 Lewis O'Brien M	7.7	90'	–	1	1	31 (27%)	2
8 Ben Whiteman M	7.5	90'	–	–	2	45 (44%)	1
6 Joe Worrall D	7.4	90'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	1
2 Callum Doyle D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	50 (42%)	3
4 Max Cleworth D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	42 (35%)	1
18 B. Sheaf M	6.8	7'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
15 George Dobson M	6.7	83'	–	–	–	40 (35%)	4
12 Issa Kaboré M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	2
22 Anthony Patterson G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	33 (12%)	–
3 Jacques Ekomié M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	4

Middlesbrough

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Maximilian Arfsten D	6.9	30'	–	–	1	27 (23%)	1
12 Luke Ayling D	6.9	60'	–	–	–	82 (70%)	1
29 Adilson Malanda D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	106 (99%)	–
6 Sebastian Berhalter M	6.7	60'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	–
10 Aidan Morris M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	85 (78%)	2
2 Callum Brittain M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	66 (59%)	1
13 David Strelec F	6.6	18'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
11 Amario Cozier-Duberry M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	34 (30%)	–
4 Ashley Phillips D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	66 (60%)	1
30 Neto Borges M	6.4	72'	–	–	–	48 (44%)	2
22 Kyle Joseph F	6.4	60'	–	–	2	8 (6%)	–
9 T. Conway M	6.3	77'	–	–	1	24 (22%)	–
14 Myles Peart-Harris M	6.2	30'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	1
1 Radek Vitek G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	–
8 Riley McGree M	6.1	30'	–	–	1	16 (14%)	–
16 Jeremy Sarmiento F	6.0	13'	–	–	2	7 (5%)	–

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Middlesbrough win or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Wrexham

DWLLW

Middlesbrough

DLWWD

Last 1 meetings Wrexham · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

85' Goal 85% sure

Wrexham now leads 2-0 with 99.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 15.7%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Wrexham leads 1-0. Win probability: 76.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 23.5%.

72' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Wrexham win: 73.4%. BTTS: 32.7%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 77.2%. Over 1.5 remaining: 47.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

20%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

55%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Wrexham

K. Moore 5 gls

Middlesbrough

W. Lankshear 13 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Wrexham vs Middlesbrough

0 Wrexham Wins

0 Draws

1 Middlesbrough Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Aug 2026	Middlesbrough	1 - 0	Wrexham

Wrexham — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H Wolves	D	1 - 1
04 Nov	H Middlesbrough	W	2 - 0
30 Oct	A Sheffield Utd	L	1 - 0
24 Oct	A Blackburn	L	2 - 0
17 Oct	H Preston	W	4 - 1

Middlesbrough — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Watford	D	0 - 0
04 Nov	A Wrexham	L	2 - 0
31 Oct	H Charlton	W	3 - 0
23 Oct	A Bolton	W	1 - 5
17 Oct	H Cardiff	D	2 - 2

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	28	14	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	30	19	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	24	18	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	26	18	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	23	15	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	22	18	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	29	15	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	24	18	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	37	23	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	21	19	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	20	18	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	32	24	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	22	23	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	27	27	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	18	20	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	23	27	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	16	24	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	20	29	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	13	23	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	13	23	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	15	26	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	22	31	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	14	30	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	13	30	-17	8