QPR vs Burnley Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 14

Post on X

QPR

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Burnley

Away

MATRADE Loftus Road, London

AI call QPR or draw

48%

27%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

QPR vs Burnley prediction: Sportiko gives QPR a 48% chance of winning, Burnley 25% and the draw 27%. Last updated 3 Nov 2026, 21:37.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

▮ 2'

Josh Laurent Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 38'

Largie Ramazani assist: Jamie Vardy

HT 0–1

Jonathan Varane Yellow Card

50' ▮

⇄ 58'

Marcus Edwards ⇄ Aaron Ramsey

Richard Kone ⇄ Rayan Jawad Kolli

59' ⇄

Koki Saito ⇄ Ilias Chair

60' ⇄

Jonathan Varane assist: Ilias Chair

65' ⚽ 1–1

Harvey Vale ⇄ K. Dembélé

66' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Reo Hatate ⇄ J. Cullen

⇄ 77'

Andreas Hountondji ⇄ J. Banel

Paul Smyth ⇄ Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu

82' ⇄

Dennis Cirkin ⇄ Boy Kemper

82' ⇄

⇄ 88'

Jamie Vardy ⇄ Oliver Sonne

▮ 90+3'

Oliver Sonne Yellow Card

FT 1–1

QPR

Match Stats

Burnley

58% Ball Possession 42%

1.66 Expected Goals (xG) 0.12

20 Total Shots 4

5 Shots on Goal 1

9 Shots off Goal 1

6 Blocked Shots 2

10 Shots insidebox 1

10 Shots outsidebox 3

8 Corner Kicks 1

3 Offsides 4

5 Fouls 7

1 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 4

543 Total passes 407

464 Passes accurate 315

7 Free Kicks 3

QPR

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
40 Jonathan Varane M	7.5	90'	1	–	2	50 (41%)	–
20 Harvey Vale M	7.2	66'	–	–	4	27 (23%)	1
18 Glen Kamara M	7.1	90'	–	–	1	55 (50%)	2
5 Ronnie Edwards D	7.0	90'	–	–	3	95 (89%)	–
3 Jimmy Dunne D	6.8	90'	–	–	2	91 (81%)	–
19 Dennis Cirkin D	6.7	82'	–	–	1	48 (41%)	1
7 K. Dembélé M	6.7	24'	–	–	1	10 (7%)	1
2 Kealey Adamson D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	48 (39%)	5
26 Rayan Jawad Kolli F	6.6	31'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
25 Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu F	6.5	8'	–	–	1	–	–
1 Pierce Charles G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	41 (38%)	–
10 Ilias Chair M	6.4	30'	–	1	2	21 (15%)	–
12 Boy Kemper D	6.3	8'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
14 Koki Saito M	6.3	60'	–	–	1	21 (17%)	–
22 Richard Kone F	6.2	59'	–	–	–	15 (9%)	–
11 Paul Smyth F	5.9	82'	–	–	2	8 (6%)	–

Burnley

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
44 Igor Júlio D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	59 (51%)	2
19 Largie Ramazani M	7.0	90'	1	–	2	28 (17%)	2
2 Kyle Walker D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	42 (34%)	4
18 Hjalmar Ekdal D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	51 (46%)	2
37 Grégoire Coudert G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (15%)	–
5 Reo Hatate M	6.8	76'	–	–	–	45 (36%)	3
23 Lucas Pires D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	40 (31%)	2
9 Jamie Vardy F	6.7	88'	–	1	1	9 (6%)	–
29 Josh Laurent M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	47 (43%)	4
22 Oliver Sonne D	6.5	2'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
34 J. Banel F	6.5	13'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
21 Aaron Ramsey M	6.3	32'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
24 J. Cullen M	6.3	14'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
10 Marcus Edwards M	6.2	58'	–	–	–	16 (10%)	–
17 Andreas Hountondji M	6.1	77'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	3

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Our lean

QPR or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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QPR

WDLWL

Burnley

LDDLL

Last 2 meetings QPR · 1W 0D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 66.3%. Late goal chance: 37.6%.

65' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 54%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Burnley leads. Win probability: 62%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.6%.

38' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Burnley win: 59.7%. BTTS: 62.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: QPR vs Burnley

1 QPR Wins

0 Draws

1 Burnley Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Jan 2015	Burnley	2 - 1	QPR
06 Dec 2014	QPR	2 - 0	Burnley

QPR — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H Lincoln	W	2 - 1
03 Nov	H Burnley	D	1 - 1
31 Oct	A Southampton	L	4 - 1
24 Oct	H Swansea	W	5 - 0
17 Oct	A Birmingham	L	3 - 0

Burnley — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Cardiff	L	5 - 4
03 Nov	A QPR	D	1 - 1
31 Oct	H Portsmouth	D	0 - 0
24 Oct	A Lincoln	L	4 - 1
16 Oct	H Wolves	L	1 - 2

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	28	14	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	30	19	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	24	18	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	26	18	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	23	15	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	22	18	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	29	15	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	24	18	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	37	23	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	21	19	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	20	18	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	32	24	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	22	23	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	27	27	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	18	20	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	23	27	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	16	24	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	20	29	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	13	23	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	13	23	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	15	26	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	22	31	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	14	30	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	13	30	-17	8