Southampton vs QPR Prediction
FT
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
AI call
Southampton or draw
49%
26%
25%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Southampton vs QPR prediction: Sportiko gives Southampton a 49% chance of winning, QPR 25% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Oct 2026, 16:56.
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Timeline
Kuryu Matsuki
11'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
Cameron Bragg
assist: Ryan Manning
55'
⚽
2–0
⇄
59'
Kwame Poku
⇄ K. Dembélé
⇄
59'
Harvey Vale
⇄ Koki Saito
Keven Schlotterbeck
assist: Ryan Manning
66'
⚽
3–0
⚽
3–1
68'
Richard Kone
assist: K. Dembélé
▮
72'
Jonathan Varane
Yellow Card
James Ward-Prowse
⇄ Flynn Downes
75'
⇄
⇄
76'
Paul Smyth
⇄ Alfie Lloyd
⇄
76'
Boy Kemper
⇄ Dennis Cirkin
▮
83'
Kealey Adamson
Yellow Card
▮
86'
Jimmy Dunne
Yellow Card
Kuryu Matsuki
⇄ Samuel Edozie
86'
⇄
Lewis Dobbin
⇄ Divin Mubama
87'
⇄
⇄
87'
Glen Kamara
⇄ Ilias Chair
Cameron Bragg
⇄ Barnaby Williams
90+2'
⇄
Ryan Manning
⇄ Welington
90+2'
⇄
Welington
90+5'
⚽
4–1
FT 4–1
Southampton
Match Stats
QPR
54%
Ball Possession
46%
1.12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
18
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
3
7
Blocked Shots
7
11
Shots insidebox
9
7
Shots outsidebox
3
9
Corner Kicks
4
5
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
16
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
488
Total passes
410
424
Passes accurate
356
16
Free Kicks
7
Southampton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Keven Schlotterbeck D | 8.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 69 (65%) | 1 |
| 3 Ryan Manning D | 8.2 | 92' | – | 2 | 2 | 43 (31%) | 1 |
| 26 Cameron Bragg M | 8.2 | 91' | 1 | – | 2 | 64 (62%) | 4 |
| 27 Kuryu Matsuki M | 7.5 | 86' | 1 | – | 4 | 30 (23%) | – |
| 7 Leo Scienza M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 27 (22%) | 1 |
| 30 James Ward-Prowse M | 6.9 | 75' | – | – | – | 62 (57%) | 1 |
| 5 Jack Stephens D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (62%) | – |
| 28 Divin Mubama F | 6.6 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 1 Daniel Peretz G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | – |
| 14 James Bree D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | – |
| 4 Flynn Downes M | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 11 Lewis Dobbin F | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 23 Samuel Edozie M | 6.4 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 10 Finn Azaz M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (24%) | 2 |
QPR
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Richard Kone F | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 19 (14%) | – |
| 15 Alfie Lloyd F | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 1 Pierce Charles G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (37%) | – |
| 11 Paul Smyth F | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 3 | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 18 Glen Kamara M | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 28 (26%) | 1 |
| 14 Koki Saito F | 6.4 | 31' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 5 Ronnie Edwards D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (52%) | – |
| 40 Jonathan Varane M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (52%) | 3 |
| 17 Kwame Poku M | 6.2 | 59' | – | – | 2 | 25 (23%) | – |
| 12 Boy Kemper D | 6.1 | 76' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | 2 |
| 3 Jimmy Dunne D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 74 (68%) | 1 |
| 2 Kealey Adamson D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | 2 |
| 19 Dennis Cirkin D | 5.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 7 K. Dembélé M | 5.9 | 31' | – | 1 | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 10 Ilias Chair M | 5.8 | 3' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 20 Harvey Vale M | 5.7 | 59' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (49%)
At a glance
Our lean
Southampton or draw
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Southampton
LDWWD
QPR
WDLWL
Last 3 meetings
Southampton · 2W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
49%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
25%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Southampton
C. Larin
7 gls
K. Matsuki
4 gls
QPR
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Southampton vs QPR
2
Southampton Wins
0
Draws
1
QPR Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 2015 | QPR | 0 - 1 | Southampton |
| 27 Sep 2014 | Southampton | 2 - 1 | QPR |
| 02 Mar 2013 | Southampton | 1 - 2 | QPR |
Southampton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Preston | L | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A West Brom | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H QPR | W | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A West Ham | W | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H Bolton | D | 0 - 0 |
QPR — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Lincoln | W | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Nov | H Burnley | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Southampton | L | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Swansea | W | 5 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Birmingham | L | 3 - 0 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Southampton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Peretz
3
Manning
13
Schlotterbeck
5
Stephens
14
Bree
30
Ward-Prowse
26
Bragg
7
Scienza
10
Azaz
27
Matsuki
11
Dobbin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Peretz | G |
| 14 | J. Bree | D |
| 5 | J. Stephens | D |
| 13 | K. Schlotterbeck | D |
| 3 | R. Manning | D |
| 26 | Cameron Bragg | M |
| 30 | J. Ward-Prowse | M |
| 27 | K. Matsuki | M |
| 10 | F. Azaz | M |
| 7 | Léo Scienza | M |
| 11 | L. Dobbin | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | F. Downes | M |
| 23 | S. Edozie | M |
| 18 | T. Fellows | M |
| 25 | G. Long | G |
| 28 | D. Mubama | F |
| 34 | Welington | D |
| 53 | Barnaby Williams | M |
| 15 | N. Wood-Gordon | D |
| 6 | Z. Abbott | D |
QPR
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Charles
12
Kemper
5
Edwards
3
Dunne
2
Adamson
20
Vale
18
Kamara
40
Varane
17
Poku
22
Kone
11
Smyth
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Charles | G |
| 2 | K. Adamson | D |
| 3 | J. Dunne | D |
| 5 | R. Edwards | D |
| 12 | B. Kemper | D |
| 17 | K. Poku | M |
| 40 | J. Varane | M |
| 18 | G. Kamara | M |
| 20 | H. Vale | M |
| 11 | P. Smyth | F |
| 22 | R. Kone | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | D. Cirkin | D |
| 6 | J. Clarke-Salter | D |
| 7 | K. Dembélé | M |
| 26 | Rayan Jawad Kolli | F |
| 15 | A. Lloyd | F |
| 14 | K. Saito | F |
| 13 | C. Ward | G |
| 10 | I. Chair | M |
| 23 | I. Alemayehu | M |