Lincoln vs Burnley Prediction
FT
LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
AI call
Burnley or draw
33%
29%
37%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Lincoln vs Burnley prediction: Sportiko gives Lincoln a 33% chance of winning, Burnley 37% and the draw 29%. Last updated 24 Oct 2026, 15:57.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- Home to Score 73%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
⇄
13'
Armando Broja
⇄ Andreas Hountondji
⚽
0–1
39'
Andreas Hountondji
assist: Lucas Pires
⇄
45'
Kyle Walker
⇄ Connor Roberts
Ben House
assist: Andrei Coubiș
45+3'
⚽
1–1
HT 1–1
Mikkel Ladefoged
49'
⚽
2–1
Dom Jefferies
57'
⚽
3–1
⇄
59'
Dastan Satpaev
⇄ Oliver Sonne
▮
67'
Grégoire Coudert
Yellow Card
Mikkel Ladefoged
assist: Ben House
67'
⚽
4–1
Ben House
Yellow Card
73'
▮
⇄
74'
Max Alleyne
⇄ Marcus Edwards
⇄
74'
Reo Hatate
⇄ Ugo Raghouber
S. Bradley
⇄ Ryley Towler
81'
⇄
Mikkel Ladefoged
⇄ Robert Street
81'
⇄
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
⇄ Chiedozie Ogbene
81'
⇄
✗
84'
Marcus Edwards
Missed Penalty
Conor McGrandles
⇄ Varfolomieiev Ivan
89'
⇄
Dom Jefferies
⇄ Daniel Oyegoke
89'
⇄
FT 4–1
Lincoln
Match Stats
Burnley
61%
Ball Possession
39%
2.05
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
21
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots off Goal
3
6
Blocked Shots
1
12
Shots insidebox
7
9
Shots outsidebox
1
2
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
414
Total passes
415
332
Passes accurate
302
9
Free Kicks
10
Lincoln
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mikkel Ladefoged F | 8.6 | 81' | 2 | – | 4 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 18 Ben House M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 (16%) | – |
| 16 Dom Jefferies M | 8.0 | 89' | 1 | – | 5 | 18 (11%) | 4 |
| 4 Andrei Coubiș D | 7.4 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 42 (36%) | – |
| 26 Yunus Konak M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (38%) | 2 |
| 17 Robert Street F | 7.0 | 9' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 25 Deji Elerewe D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (36%) | – |
| 15 S. Bradley D | 6.8 | 81' | – | – | – | 58 (47%) | – |
| 1 George Wickens G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (39%) | – |
| 3 Adam Reach D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 41 (31%) | 3 |
| 14 Conor McGrandles M | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 40 (35%) | 2 |
| 7 Reeco Hackett-Fairchild M | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 25 (21%) | – |
| 27 Chiedozie Ogbene F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 24 Varfolomieiev Ivan M | 6.4 | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 33 Daniel Oyegoke D | 6.3 | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 6 Ryley Towler D | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
Burnley
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Andreas Hountondji F | 7.5 | 77' | 1 | – | 2 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 10 Marcus Edwards F | 6.4 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 9 (9%) | – |
| 3 Max Alleyne M | 6.4 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | – |
| 27 Armando Broja F | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 14 Connor Roberts D | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 27 (21%) | 2 |
| 44 Igor Júlio D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (49%) | – |
| 8 Ugo Raghouber M | 5.9 | 16' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 2 Kyle Walker D | 5.9 | 46' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 3 |
| 18 Hjalmar Ekdal D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (35%) | – |
| 23 Lucas Pires D | 5.8 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 34 (21%) | 4 |
| 5 Reo Hatate M | 5.7 | 74' | – | – | – | 34 (24%) | 2 |
| 22 Oliver Sonne D | 5.7 | 31' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 12 Dastan Satpaev M | 5.6 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 37 Grégoire Coudert G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (11%) | – |
| 19 Largie Ramazani M | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 37 (23%) | 1 |
| 29 Josh Laurent M | 5.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (18%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (37%)
At a glance
Our lean
Burnley or draw
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Lincoln
LLLWD
Burnley
LDDLL
Match summary
Lincoln faces Burnley in a Championship clash, with both teams vying for crucial points. Lincoln's recent form has shown inconsistency, with a record of 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Burnley has been stronger, winning 3 of their last 5 fixtures. Key players for Burnley, including their top scorer, could exploit Lincoln's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly since Lincoln has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in recent outings. Expect Burnley to leverage their attacking prowess to secure a vital away victory.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
37%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lincoln vs Burnley
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Lincoln — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A QPR | L | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Nov | A Watford | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Birmingham | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | H Burnley | W | 4 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Millwall | D | 2 - 2 |
Burnley — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Cardiff | L | 5 - 4 |
| 03 Nov | A QPR | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Portsmouth | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Lincoln | L | 4 - 1 |
| 16 Oct | H Wolves | L | 1 - 2 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Burnley
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: N. Hayen
37
Coudert
23
Pires
44
Igor
18
Ekdal
2
Walker
5
Hatate
3
Alleyne
12
Satpaev
29
Laurent
19
Ramazani
27
Broja
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | G. Coudert | G |
| 2 | K. Walker | D |
| 18 | H. Ekdal | D |
| 44 | Igor | D |
| 23 | Lucas Pires | D |
| 3 | Max Alleyne | M |
| 5 | R. Hatate | M |
| 19 | L. Ramazani | M |
| 29 | J. Laurent | M |
| 12 | D. Satpaev | M |
| 27 | A. Broja | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | U. Raghouber | M |
| 14 | C. Roberts | D |
| 22 | O. Sonne | D |
| 1 | M. Weiß | G |
| 10 | M. Edwards | F |
| 30 | L. Castell | F |
| 17 | A. Hountondji | F |
| 41 | G. Brierley | M |
| 48 | E. Agyei | F |
Lincoln
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Wickens
3
Reach
25
Elerewe
15
Bradley
4
Coubiș
26
Konak
14
McGrandles
16
Jefferies
18
House
7
Hackett
11
Ladefoged
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Wickens | G |
| 4 | A. Coubiș | D |
| 15 | S. Bradley | D |
| 25 | D. Elerewe | D |
| 3 | A. Reach | D |
| 14 | C. McGrandles | M |
| 26 | Y. Konak | M |
| 7 | R. Hackett | M |
| 18 | B. House | M |
| 16 | D. Jefferies | M |
| 11 | M. Ladefoged | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | T. Bayliss | M |
| 20 | C. Elder | D |
| 46 | J. Gauci | G |
| 27 | C. Ogbene | F |
| 19 | I. Olaofe | F |
| 33 | D. Oyegoke | D |
| 17 | R. Street | F |
| 6 | R. Towler | D |
| 24 | I. Varfolomeev | M |