Wolves vs Watford Prediction
FT
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
AI call
Wolves to win or draw
66%
22%
12%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Wolves vs Watford prediction: Sportiko gives Wolves a 66% chance of winning, Watford 12% and the draw 22%. Last updated 24 Oct 2026, 15:57.
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- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 72%
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Timeline
Adam Armstrong
35'
⚽
1–0
Kieran Trippier
Yellow Card
41'
▮
▮
41'
Iker Bravo
Yellow Card
HT 1–0
▮
49'
Hector Kyprianou
Yellow Card
R. Saïd
⇄ Mateus Mané
61'
⇄
⇄
61'
Marc Bola
⇄ Jordan Zemura
⇄
62'
Krépin Diatta
⇄ Othmane Maamma
⇄
72'
Luca Kjerrumgaard
⇄ Mamadou Doumbia
⇄
72'
Myron Boadu
⇄ Martín Payero
▮
74'
Jordan Zemura
Yellow Card
Jordan James
⇄ Tommy Doyle
78'
⇄
Adam Armstrong
⇄ Tawanda Chirewa
78'
⇄
Tommy Doyle
Yellow Card
79'
▮
⇄
85'
Iker Bravo
⇄ Rocco Vata
Hugo Bueno
Yellow Card
87'
▮
José Sá
Yellow Card
88'
▮
Hugo Bueno
⇄ Toti Gomes
90+1'
⇄
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
⇄ Sean Neave
90+1'
⇄
FT 1–0
Wolves
Match Stats
Watford
63%
Ball Possession
37%
1.88
Expected Goals (xG)
0.15
24
Total Shots
4
3
Shots on Goal
0
11
Shots off Goal
3
10
Blocked Shots
1
16
Shots insidebox
2
8
Shots outsidebox
2
14
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
482
Total passes
304
401
Passes accurate
217
11
Free Kicks
12
Wolves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Yerson Mosquera D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 66 (62%) | 1 |
| 10 Adam Armstrong F | 8.0 | 78' | 1 | – | 5 | 6 (2%) | – |
| 37 Ladislav Krejčí D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (68%) | – |
| 2 Kieran Trippier D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 76 (61%) | 2 |
| 3 Hugo Bueno D | 7.3 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 48 (44%) | 1 |
| 27 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde M | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 25 (22%) | 2 |
| 7 André M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 50 (46%) | 4 |
| 36 Mateus Mané F | 7.1 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | 4 |
| 1 José Sá G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | – |
| 19 R. Saïd M | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 27 (20%) | – |
| 23 Tawanda Chirewa F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 8 Jordan James M | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 33 (26%) | 1 |
| 5 Marshall Munetsi M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (16%) | 1 |
| 20 Tommy Doyle M | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | 2 | 5 (2%) | – |
Watford
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Krépin Diatta D | 6.8 | 62' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 4 |
| 11 Rocco Vata F | 6.7 | 5' | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| 7 Othmane Maamma F | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 29 Branimir Mlačić D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 1 |
| 22 Martín Payero M | 6.4 | 18' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 10 Myron Boadu F | 6.4 | 72' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 2 |
| 39 Edo Kayembe M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 20 Mamadou Doumbia F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 16 Marc Bola D | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | – |
| 9 Luca Kjerrumgaard F | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 6 Matthew Pollock D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | – |
| 4 Kévin Keben Biakolo D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (19%) | 1 |
| 33 Jordan Zemura D | 6.0 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 10 (5%) | 1 |
| 17 Iker Bravo M | 6.0 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 5 Hector Kyprianou M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 1 Federico Ravaglia G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (10%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (66%)
At a glance
Our lean
Wolves to win or draw
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Wolves
DWWWD
Watford
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings
Wolves · 2W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
66%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
12%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Wolves
Fer López
6 gls
Watford
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Wolves vs Watford
2
Wolves Wins
0
Draws
1
Watford Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2022 | Wolves | 4 - 0 | Watford |
| 11 Sep 2021 | Watford | 0 - 2 | Wolves |
| 01 Jan 2020 | Watford | 2 - 1 | Wolves |
Wolves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Wrexham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Nov | A Bristol City | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Cardiff | W | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Watford | W | 1 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Portsmouth | D | 1 - 1 |
Watford — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Middlesbrough | D | 0 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | H Lincoln | W | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Norwich | L | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Wolves | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Charlton | W | 2 - 0 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Wolves
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: César Peixoto
1
Sá
3
Bueno
37
Krejčí
15
Mosquera
2
Trippier
5
Munetsi
7
André
19
Saïd
8
James
27
Bellegarde
10
Armstrong
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Sá | G |
| 2 | K. Trippier | D |
| 15 | Y. Mosquera | D |
| 37 | L. Krejčí | D |
| 3 | Hugo Bueno | D |
| 7 | André | M |
| 5 | M. Munetsi | M |
| 27 | J. Bellegarde | M |
| 8 | J. James | M |
| 19 | R. Saïd | M |
| 10 | A. Armstrong | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | T. Chirewa | F |
| 20 | T. Doyle | M |
| 28 | Fer López | M |
| 36 | M. Mane | F |
| 14 | S. Neave | F |
| 62 | L. Rawlings | M |
| 38 | J. Tchatchoua | D |
| 24 | Toti Gomes | D |
| 13 | João Virgínia | G |
Watford
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: A. Dionisi
1
Ravaglia
15
Diatta
29
Mlačić
6
Pollock
4
Keben
16
Bola
17
Bravo
5
Kyprianou
39
Kayembe
9
Kjerrumgaard
10
Boadu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Ravaglia | G |
| 16 | M. Bola | D |
| 4 | K. Keben | D |
| 6 | M. Pollock | D |
| 29 | Branimir Mlačić | D |
| 15 | K. Diatta | D |
| 39 | E. Kayembe | M |
| 5 | H. Kyprianou | M |
| 17 | Iker Bravo | M |
| 10 | M. Boadu | F |
| 9 | L. Kjerrumgaard | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | R. Vata | F |
| 33 | J. Zemura | D |
| 23 | O. Traoré | D |
| 22 | M. Payero | M |
| 21 | Amin Nabizada | F |
| 45 | S. Mavididi | F |
| 7 | O. Maamma | F |
| 20 | M. Doumbia | F |
| 26 | D. Bachmann | G |