Millwall vs Lincoln Prediction
FT
The Den, London
AI call
Difficult Millwall win or draw
56%
26%
18%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Millwall vs Lincoln prediction: Sportiko gives Millwall a 56% chance of winning, Lincoln 18% and the draw 26%. Last updated 17 Oct 2026, 13:26.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
1'
Andrei Coubiș
⚽
0–2
33'
Robert Street
assist: S. Bradley
Tristan Crama
Yellow Card
35'
▮
▮
35'
Robert Street
Yellow Card
▮
41'
Freddie Draper
Yellow Card
Filip Marschall
⇄ Max Crocombe
45'
⇄
Mark Sykes
⇄ Luke Cundle
45'
⇄
HT 0–2
Kyrell Lisbie
63'
⚽
1–2
⇄
66'
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
⇄ Daniel Oyegoke
▮
69'
Andrei Coubiș
Yellow Card
Kyrell Lisbie
Yellow Card
72'
▮
Jenson Metcalfe
⇄ Romain Esse
72'
⇄
Tristan Crama
⇄ Ryan Leonard
72'
⇄
⇄
80'
Adam Reach
⇄ Ryley Towler
⇄
80'
Dom Jefferies
⇄ Callum Elder
Kyrell Lisbie
⇄ Zak Lovelace
80'
⇄
Jake Cooper
82'
⚽
2–2
▮
84'
Deji Elerewe
Red Card
Zak Sturge
Yellow Card
86'
▮
Ryan Leonard
Yellow Card
90+1'
▮
▮
90+1'
Callum Elder
Yellow Card
Camiel Neghli
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
⇄
90+3'
Freddie Draper
⇄ Mikkel Ladefoged
FT 2–2
Millwall
Match Stats
Lincoln
70%
Ball Possession
30%
1.67
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
4
6
Blocked Shots
2
11
Shots insidebox
9
5
Shots outsidebox
0
12
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
6
14
Fouls
10
5
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
390
Total passes
176
297
Passes accurate
95
10
Free Kicks
14
Millwall
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jake Cooper D | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 65 (54%) | 4 |
| 22 Kyrell Lisbie M | 7.6 | 80' | 1 | – | 6 | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 6 Caleb Taylor D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (38%) | 2 |
| 49 Derek Mazou-Sacko M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 46 (39%) | 1 |
| 29 Zak Lovelace F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 25 Luke Cundle M | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | – |
| 13 Lyndon Dykes F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (9%) | – |
| 10 Camiel Neghli M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (26%) | 1 |
| 3 Zak Sturge D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 11 Romain Esse M | 6.1 | 18' | – | – | 2 | 6 (2%) | – |
| 17 Mark Sykes M | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 14 Jenson Metcalfe M | 6.0 | 72' | – | – | – | 36 (28%) | 2 |
| 4 Tristan Crama D | 5.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 2 |
| 18 Ryan Leonard D | 5.8 | 18' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | 1 |
| 15 Max Crocombe G | 5.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | – |
| 34 Filip Marschall G | 5.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 15 (7%) | – |
Lincoln
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Robert Street M | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 15 S. Bradley D | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 15 (7%) | – |
| 4 Andrei Coubiș D | 6.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 7 Reeco Hackett-Fairchild M | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | 3 | 8 (8%) | 3 |
| 1 George Wickens G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (8%) | – |
| 33 Daniel Oyegoke D | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 26 Yunus Konak M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | 2 |
| 3 Adam Reach D | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 17 (9%) | – |
| 16 Dom Jefferies M | 6.1 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | 1 |
| 6 Ryley Towler D | 6.1 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 24 Varfolomieiev Ivan M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 20 Callum Elder D | 5.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 34 Freddie Draper F | 5.8 | 93' | – | – | 3 | 17 (7%) | – |
| 25 Deji Elerewe D | 5.6 | 84' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Millwall win or draw
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Millwall
LLWLD
Lincoln
LLLWD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
18%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Millwall vs Lincoln
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Millwall — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A West Brom | L | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Birmingham | L | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Derby | W | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Portsmouth | L | 2 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Lincoln | D | 2 - 2 |
Lincoln — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A QPR | L | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Nov | A Watford | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Birmingham | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | H Burnley | W | 4 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Millwall | D | 2 - 2 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Millwall
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Neil
34
Marschall
3
Sturge
5
Cooper
6
Taylor
4
Crama
14
Metcalfe
49
Mazou-Sacko
22
Lisbie
10
Neghli
17
Sykes
13
Dykes
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | F. Marschall | G |
| 4 | T. Crama | D |
| 6 | C. Taylor | D |
| 5 | J. Cooper | D |
| 3 | Zak Norton Sturge | D |
| 49 | D. Mazou-Sacko | M |
| 14 | Jenson Metcalfe | M |
| 17 | M. Sykes | M |
| 10 | C. Neghli | M |
| 22 | K. Lisbie | M |
| 13 | L. Dykes | F |
Substitutes
| 45 | A. Doughty | M |
| 11 | R. Esse | M |
| 18 | R. Leonard | D |
| 16 | D. Kelly | M |
| 12 | E. Baggott | D |
| 29 | Z. Lovelace | F |
| 15 | M. Crocombe | G |
| 2 | J. Osei-Tutu | D |
| 25 | L. Cundle | M |
Lincoln
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Wickens
3
Reach
15
Bradley
25
Elerewe
4
Coubiș
24
Varfolomeev
26
Konak
16
Jefferies
17
Street
7
Hackett
34
Draper
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Wickens | G |
| 4 | A. Coubiș | D |
| 25 | D. Elerewe | D |
| 15 | S. Bradley | D |
| 3 | A. Reach | D |
| 26 | Y. Konak | M |
| 24 | I. Varfolomeev | M |
| 7 | R. Hackett | M |
| 17 | R. Street | M |
| 16 | D. Jefferies | M |
| 34 | F. Draper | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | C. Elder | D |
| 23 | J. Honohan | D |
| 11 | M. Ladefoged | F |
| 27 | C. Ogbene | F |
| 19 | I. Olaofe | F |
| 33 | D. Oyegoke | D |
| 6 | R. Towler | D |
| 8 | T. Bayliss | M |
| 46 | J. Gauci | G |