Norwich vs Southampton Prediction
FT
Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
AI call
Too close to call
38%
27%
35%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Norwich vs Southampton prediction: Sportiko gives Norwich a 38% chance of winning, Southampton 35% and the draw 27%. Last updated 14 Oct 2026, 20:39.
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Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
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Timeline
▮
15'
Ryan Manning
Yellow Card
⇄
22'
Flynn Downes
⇄ C. Jander
▮
26'
Zach Abbott
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
Ryan Manning
⇄ Welington
⇄
45'
Zach Abbott
⇄ James Bree
HT 0–0
Jacob Wright
Yellow Card
48'
▮
⚽
0–1
54'
Kuryu Matsuki
Anis Ben Slimane
⇄ Edmond-Paris Maghoma
61'
⇄
Mathias Kvistgaarden
⇄ J. Makama
61'
⇄
⇄
70'
Samuel Edozie
⇄ Cyle Larin
Oscar Schwartau
⇄ Anthony Musaba
72'
⇄
Andre Brooks
⇄ Ante Crnac
72'
⇄
Jacob Wright
⇄ Sam Field
76'
⇄
Sam Field
Yellow Card
77'
▮
⇄
82'
Lewis Dobbin
⇄ Divin Mubama
FT 0–1
Norwich
Match Stats
Southampton
49%
Ball Possession
51%
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots off Goal
7
3
Blocked Shots
4
8
Shots insidebox
11
4
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
438
Total passes
468
360
Passes accurate
392
9
Free Kicks
15
Norwich
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Ruairi McConville D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 76 (66%) | 1 |
| 7 Pelle Mattsson M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (48%) | 4 |
| 32 Daniel Grimshaw G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (34%) | – |
| 14 Ben Chrisene D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 33 José Córdoba D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 68 (59%) | 2 |
| 49 Anthony Musaba F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 24 J. Makama F | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 25 Edmond-Paris Maghoma M | 6.4 | 29' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 30 Mathias Kvistgaarden F | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 11 Andre Brooks M | 6.4 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | – |
| 26 Sam Field M | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 17 Ante Crnac F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 16 Jacob Wright M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 52 (46%) | – |
| 20 Anis Ben Slimane M | 6.1 | 61' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 3 |
| 29 Oscar Schwartau M | 6.0 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 15 (10%) | – |
| 3 Jack Stacey D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (21%) | 1 |
Southampton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Kuryu Matsuki M | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 5 Jack Stephens D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | – |
| 30 James Ward-Prowse M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 68 (63%) | – |
| 8 C. Jander M | 7.2 | 68' | – | – | 2 | 44 (43%) | 3 |
| 3 Ryan Manning D | 7.1 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 34 Welington D | 7.1 | 44' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 1 Daniel Peretz G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (27%) | – |
| 14 James Bree D | 7.0 | 44' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | 1 |
| 4 Flynn Downes M | 6.9 | 22' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 10 Finn Azaz M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 45 (31%) | – |
| 13 Keven Schlotterbeck D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (58%) | – |
| 23 Samuel Edozie M | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 28 Divin Mubama F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 9 Cyle Larin F | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 6 Zach Abbott D | 6.5 | 46' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 11 Lewis Dobbin F | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Too close to call
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Norwich
WWWWL
Southampton
LDWWD
Last 3 meetings
Norwich · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
38%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
35%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Norwich
M. Touré
5 gls
Southampton
C. Larin
7 gls
K. Matsuki
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Norwich vs Southampton
1
Norwich Wins
0
Draws
2
Southampton Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | Southampton | 1 - 0 | Norwich |
| 25 Feb 2022 | Southampton | 2 - 0 | Norwich |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Norwich | 2 - 1 | Southampton |
Norwich — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Bristol City | W | 0 - 5 |
| 03 Nov | A Derby | W | 0 - 4 |
| 31 Oct | H Watford | W | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Charlton | W | 1 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H Portsmouth | L | 0 - 1 |
Southampton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Preston | L | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A West Brom | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H QPR | W | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A West Ham | W | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H Bolton | D | 0 - 0 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Southampton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Peretz
3
Manning
13
Schlotterbeck
5
Stephens
6
Abbott
4
Downes
30
Ward-Prowse
23
Edozie
10
Azaz
27
Matsuki
11
Dobbin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Peretz | G |
| 6 | Z. Abbott | D |
| 5 | J. Stephens | D |
| 13 | K. Schlotterbeck | D |
| 3 | R. Manning | D |
| 30 | J. Ward-Prowse | M |
| 4 | F. Downes | M |
| 27 | K. Matsuki | M |
| 10 | F. Azaz | M |
| 23 | S. Edozie | M |
| 11 | L. Dobbin | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | J. Bree | D |
| 18 | T. Fellows | M |
| 8 | C. Jander | M |
| 9 | C. Larin | F |
| 25 | G. Long | G |
| 28 | D. Mubama | F |
| 7 | Léo Scienza | M |
| 34 | Welington | D |
| 15 | N. Wood-Gordon | D |
Norwich
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Clement
32
Grimshaw
14
Chrisene
33
Córdoba
15
McConville
3
Stacey
7
Mattsson
16
Wright
29
Schwartau
20
Slimane
11
Brooks
30
Kvistgaarden
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | D. Grimshaw | G |
| 3 | J. Stacey | D |
| 15 | Ruairi McConville | D |
| 33 | J. Córdoba | D |
| 14 | B. Chrisene | D |
| 16 | Jacob Wright | M |
| 7 | P. Mattsson | M |
| 11 | A. Brooks | M |
| 20 | A. Ben Slimane | M |
| 29 | O. Schwartau | M |
| 30 | M. Kvistgaarden | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | A. Crnac | F |
| 6 | H. Darling | D |
| 26 | S. Field | M |
| 25 | P. Maghoma | M |
| 40 | C. Ansen | G |
| 12 | L. Mahovo | D |
| 24 | J. Makama | F |
| 49 | A. Musaba | F |
| 13 | D. Yongwa | D |