Millwall vs Swansea Prediction
FT
The Den, London
AI call
Millwall or draw
38%
30%
32%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Millwall vs Swansea prediction: Sportiko gives Millwall a 38% chance of winning, Swansea 32% and the draw 30%. Last updated 13 Oct 2026, 20:40.
Premium picks
Premium- Under 3.5 Goals 75%
- Home to Score 74%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
- Away to Score 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
▮
15'
Jay Fulton
Yellow Card
Derek Mazou-Sacko
Yellow Card
23'
▮
▮
23'
Yellow Card
Lyndon Dykes
Yellow Card
44'
▮
HT 0–0
Zak Sturge
Yellow Card
51'
▮
Jordi Osei-Tutu
⇄ Tristan Crama
64'
⇄
Jenson Metcalfe
⇄ Luke Cundle
64'
⇄
Kyrell Lisbie
⇄ Yanis Issoufou
65'
⇄
⇄
65'
Žan Vipotnik
⇄ Ross Stewart
⇄
65'
Elijah Just
⇄ Melker Widell
⇄
65'
Jay Fulton
⇄ Gonçalo Franco
⇄
77'
J. Seelt
⇄ Stephen Welsh
▮
83'
Filip Lissah
Yellow Card
Mark Sykes
⇄ Alfie Doughty
84'
⇄
⇄
84'
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
⇄ Ronald
⚽
0–1
90'
Ronald
assist: Joseph Okopu
Camiel Neghli
⇄ Daniel Kelly
90+2'
⇄
FT 0–1
Millwall
Match Stats
Swansea
51%
Ball Possession
49%
1.08
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
8
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
1
2
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
5
6
Shots insidebox
7
2
Shots outsidebox
4
13
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
289
Total passes
315
204
Passes accurate
243
11
Free Kicks
9
Millwall
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Caleb Taylor D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (36%) | 1 |
| 14 Jenson Metcalfe M | 7.0 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 45 Alfie Doughty M | 6.6 | 6' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 4 Tristan Crama D | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | 2 | 10 (3%) | – |
| 22 Kyrell Lisbie M | 6.5 | 65' | – | – | – | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 25 Luke Cundle M | 6.4 | 26' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 17 Mark Sykes M | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 15 (8%) | – |
| 10 Camiel Neghli M | 6.3 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | 3 |
| 35 Yanis Issoufou F | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 5 Jake Cooper D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (27%) | 2 |
| 34 Filip Marschall G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (20%) | – |
| 13 Lyndon Dykes F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (14%) | – |
| 2 Jordi Osei-Tutu D | 6.0 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 49 Derek Mazou-Sacko M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | – |
| 3 Zak Sturge D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (18%) | – |
Swansea
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Ronald F | 7.7 | 6' | 1 | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 5 Ben Cabango D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (37%) | 1 |
| 3 J. Seelt D | 7.3 | 77' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 14 Josh Tymon D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | 2 |
| 30 Joseph Okopu F | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 6 Marko Stamenić M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 36 (31%) | 2 |
| 23 Stephen Welsh D | 7.0 | 13' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 7 Melker Widell M | 6.9 | 25' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 17 Gonçalo Franco M | 6.8 | 25' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 49 Moussa Kounfolo Yeo F | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | 3 | 17 (15%) | 6 |
| 26 Filip Lissah D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (19%) | 3 |
| 22 Lawrence Vigouroux G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (16%) | – |
| 8 Elijah Just M | 6.5 | 65' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 4 Jay Fulton M | 6.5 | 65' | – | – | – | 39 (31%) | 3 |
| 31 Ross Stewart F | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 9 Žan Vipotnik F | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Millwall or draw
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Millwall
LLWLD
Swansea
LLWLL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
38%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
32%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Millwall vs Swansea
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Millwall — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A West Brom | L | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Birmingham | L | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Derby | W | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Portsmouth | L | 2 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Lincoln | D | 2 - 2 |
Swansea — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Birmingham | L | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Nov | A Portsmouth | L | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Blackburn | W | 4 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A QPR | L | 5 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H West Ham | L | 0 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Millwall
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Neil
34
Marschall
3
Sturge
5
Cooper
6
Taylor
2
Osei-Tutu
14
Metcalfe
49
Mazou-Sacko
22
Lisbie
10
Neghli
17
Sykes
13
Dykes
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | F. Marschall | G |
| 2 | J. Osei-Tutu | D |
| 6 | C. Taylor | D |
| 5 | J. Cooper | D |
| 3 | Zak Norton Sturge | D |
| 49 | D. Mazou-Sacko | M |
| 14 | Jenson Metcalfe | M |
| 17 | M. Sykes | M |
| 10 | C. Neghli | M |
| 22 | K. Lisbie | M |
| 13 | L. Dykes | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | L. Cundle | M |
| 45 | A. Doughty | M |
| 16 | D. Kelly | M |
| 35 | Y. Issoufou | F |
| 12 | E. Baggott | D |
| 18 | R. Leonard | D |
| 4 | T. Crama | D |
| 15 | M. Crocombe | G |
| 29 | Z. Lovelace | F |
Swansea
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
22
Vigouroux
14
Tymon
3
Seelt
5
Cabango
26
Lissah
6
Stamenić
4
Fulton
8
Just
30
Okopu
9
Vipotnik
49
Yeo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | L. Vigouroux | G |
| 26 | F. Lissah | D |
| 5 | B. Cabango | D |
| 3 | J. Seelt | D |
| 14 | J. Tymon | D |
| 8 | E. Just | M |
| 4 | J. Fulton | M |
| 6 | M. Stamenić | M |
| 49 | M. Yeo | F |
| 9 | Z. Vipotnik | F |
| 30 | Joseph Okopu | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | A. Fisher | G |
| 33 | A. Idah | F |
| 16 | Tom Iorpenda | M |
| 35 | Ronald | F |
| 31 | R. Stewart | F |
| 23 | S. Welsh | D |
| 7 | M. Widell | M |
| 10 | Eom Ji-Sung | F |
| 17 | Gonçalo Franco | M |