Cardiff vs Watford Prediction
FT
Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
AI call
Difficult Cardiff win or draw
57%
24%
20%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Cardiff vs Watford prediction: Sportiko gives Cardiff a 57% chance of winning, Watford 20% and the draw 24%. Last updated 13 Oct 2026, 20:44.
Timeline
▮
9'
Martín Payero
Yellow Card
Jack Moylan
Penalty
11'
⚽
1–0
D. Lawlor
⇄ W. Fish
29'
⇄
Jack Moylan
assist: Cian Ashford
35'
⚽
2–0
Matthew Pollock
Own Goal
41'
⚽
3–0
Ollie Tanner
assist: Perry Ng
45+5'
⚽
4–0
HT 4–0
⇄
56'
Myron Boadu
⇄ Mamadou Doumbia
⇄
56'
Jordan Zemura
⇄ Marc Bola
⇄
56'
Stephy Mavididi
⇄ Amin Nabizada
Chris Willock
Missed Penalty
65'
✗
⇄
67'
Martín Payero
⇄ Iker Bravo
Jack Moylan
⇄ David Turnbull
69'
⇄
Chris Willock
⇄ Calum Scanlon
69'
⇄
⇄
69'
Othmane Maamma
⇄ Krépin Diatta
▮
73'
Edo Kayembe
Yellow Card
Ollie Tanner
⇄ Callum Robinson
82'
⇄
Joel Bagan
⇄ Isaak Davies
82'
⇄
Callum Robinson
assist: David Turnbull
85'
⚽
5–0
▮
86'
Amin Nabizada
Yellow Card
Perry Ng
Yellow Card
86'
▮
⚽
5–1
87'
Hector Kyprianou
assist: Iker Bravo
▮
90+5'
Hector Kyprianou
Yellow Card
FT 5–1
Cardiff
Match Stats
Watford
58%
Ball Possession
42%
3.75
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
22
Total Shots
14
10
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots off Goal
7
5
Blocked Shots
3
14
Shots insidebox
10
8
Shots outsidebox
4
6
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
4
11
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
491
Total passes
357
428
Passes accurate
281
12
Free Kicks
11
Cardiff
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Ollie Tanner M | 8.2 | 82' | 1 | – | 5 | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 8 Jack Moylan F | 8.1 | 69' | 2 | – | 8 | 14 (8%) | – |
| 45 Cian Ashford M | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 47 Callum Robinson F | 7.4 | 8' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 4 Gabriel Osho D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (62%) | – |
| 18 Alex Robertson M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 77 (71%) | – |
| 38 Perry Ng D | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 45 (38%) | 3 |
| 48 D. Lawlor D | 7.1 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 24 (24%) | – |
| 2 W. Fish D | 7.0 | 61' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | 1 |
| 3 Joel Bagan D | 6.9 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 14 David Turnbull M | 6.8 | 21' | – | 1 | 1 | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 1 Nathan Trott G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (43%) | – |
| 27 Joel Colwill M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (32%) | – |
| 23 Calum Scanlon D | 6.6 | 21' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 39 Isaak Davies F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 16 Chris Willock M | 6.4 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 22 (21%) | – |
Watford
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Hector Kyprianou M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | 3 |
| 1 Federico Ravaglia G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | – |
| 17 Iker Bravo F | 6.7 | 23' | – | 1 | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 10 Myron Boadu F | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 20 Mamadou Doumbia F | 6.3 | 34' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 21 Amin Nabizada F | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 2 |
| 39 Edo Kayembe M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (24%) | 3 |
| 45 Stephy Mavididi M | 6.1 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 7 Othmane Maamma M | 6.0 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 19 (12%) | 2 |
| 23 Haktab Omar Traore D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | 4 |
| 33 Jordan Zemura D | 5.8 | 56' | – | – | 2 | 13 (8%) | 1 |
| 16 Marc Bola D | 5.7 | 34' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | – |
| 22 Martín Payero M | 5.6 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | – |
| 4 Kévin Keben Biakolo D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | 3 |
| 15 Krépin Diatta M | 5.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 6 Matthew Pollock D | 4.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Cardiff win or draw
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Cardiff
WDLWD
Watford
DWLLW
Last 2 meetings
Cardiff · 0W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
20%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Cardiff
J. Moylan
9 gls
Watford
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Cardiff vs Watford
0
Cardiff Wins
0
Draws
2
Watford Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2019 | Cardiff | 1 - 5 | Watford |
| 15 Dec 2018 | Watford | 3 - 2 | Cardiff |
Cardiff — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Burnley | W | 5 - 4 |
| 04 Nov | H West Ham | D | 3 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A Wolves | L | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Birmingham | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Middlesbrough | D | 2 - 2 |
Watford — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Middlesbrough | D | 0 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | H Lincoln | W | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Norwich | L | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Wolves | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Charlton | W | 2 - 0 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Watford
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Dionisi
1
Ravaglia
33
Zemura
4
Keben
6
Pollock
23
Traoré
5
Kyprianou
39
Kayembe
45
Mavididi
22
Payero
7
Maamma
10
Boadu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Ravaglia | G |
| 23 | O. Traoré | D |
| 6 | M. Pollock | D |
| 4 | K. Keben | D |
| 33 | J. Zemura | D |
| 39 | E. Kayembe | M |
| 5 | H. Kyprianou | M |
| 7 | O. Maamma | M |
| 22 | M. Payero | M |
| 45 | S. Mavididi | M |
| 10 | M. Boadu | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | M. Doumbia | F |
| 15 | K. Diatta | M |
| 3 | S. Coulibaly | D |
| 17 | Iker Bravo | F |
| 16 | M. Bola | D |
| 26 | D. Bachmann | G |
| 9 | L. Kjerrumgaard | F |
| 29 | Branimir Mlačić | D |
| 21 | Amin Nabizada | F |
Cardiff
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
1
Trott
3
Bagan
4
Osho
48
Lawlor
38
Ng
45
Ashford
18
Robertson
16
Willock
27
Colwill
11
Tanner
8
Moylan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Trott | G |
| 38 | P. Ng | D |
| 48 | D. Lawlor | D |
| 4 | G. Osho | D |
| 3 | J. Bagan | D |
| 18 | A. Robertson | M |
| 45 | Cian Ashford | M |
| 11 | O. Tanner | M |
| 27 | J. Colwill | M |
| 16 | C. Willock | M |
| 8 | J. Moylan | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | H. Tyrer | G |
| 14 | D. Turnbull | M |
| 23 | C. Scanlon | D |
| 47 | C. Robinson | F |
| 43 | P. Moreno | M |
| 44 | R. Kpakio | D |
| 2 | W. Fish | D |
| 39 | I. Davies | F |
| 50 | Charlie Holt | M |