Middlesbrough vs Wolves Prediction
FT
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
AI call
Middlesbrough or draw
44%
27%
29%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Middlesbrough vs Wolves prediction: Sportiko gives Middlesbrough a 44% chance of winning, Wolves 29% and the draw 27%. Last updated 10 Oct 2026, 15:55.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 74%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 75%
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Timeline
Sebastian Berhalter
Yellow Card
11'
▮
▮
12'
Nasser Djiga
Yellow Card
Neto Borges
Yellow Card
40'
▮
HT 0–0
⇄
51'
Rodrigo Gomes
⇄ R. Saïd
▮
53'
R. Saïd
Yellow Card
Will Lankshear
assist: T. Conway
57'
⚽
1–0
⇄
61'
Marshall Munetsi
⇄ Jordan James
⇄
61'
Tommy Doyle
⇄ Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
⇄
61'
Mateus Mané
⇄ Fer López
▮
66'
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Yellow Card
Sebastian Berhalter
⇄ Luke Ayling
70'
⇄
T. Conway
⇄ Myles Peart-Harris
70'
⇄
Riley McGree
⇄ Jeremy Sarmiento
80'
⇄
⇄
82'
André
⇄ Sean Neave
Will Lankshear
⇄ Kyle Joseph
87'
⇄
Amario Cozier-Duberry
⇄ Maximilian Arfsten
87'
⇄
Myles Peart-Harris
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
FT 1–0
Middlesbrough
Match Stats
Wolves
52%
Ball Possession
48%
1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots off Goal
9
1
Blocked Shots
1
7
Shots insidebox
6
7
Shots outsidebox
6
4
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
493
Total passes
438
433
Passes accurate
371
11
Free Kicks
10
Middlesbrough
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Will Lankshear F | 8.1 | 87' | 1 | – | 5 | 11 (8%) | – |
| 9 T. Conway M | 7.7 | 70' | – | 1 | – | 26 (22%) | – |
| 2 Callum Brittain D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | 3 |
| 4 Ashley Phillips D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (53%) | – |
| 29 Adilson Malanda D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 91 (87%) | – |
| 17 Maximilian Arfsten D | 7.2 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 30 Neto Borges D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (59%) | 1 |
| 10 Aidan Morris M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 73 (67%) | 6 |
| 12 Luke Ayling D | 7.0 | 20' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 1 Radek Vitek G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | – |
| 8 Riley McGree M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 34 (31%) | 1 |
| 6 Sebastian Berhalter M | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | 4 | 23 (19%) | – |
| 14 Myles Peart-Harris M | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 16 Jeremy Sarmiento F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 22 Kyle Joseph F | 6.5 | 3' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 11 Amario Cozier-Duberry M | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 28 (23%) | 3 |
Wolves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 José Sá G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (14%) | – |
| 2 Kieran Trippier D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (52%) | 4 |
| 28 Fer López M | 7.1 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 30 (27%) | 1 |
| 24 Toti Gomes D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (53%) | – |
| 20 Tommy Doyle M | 7.0 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 21 (19%) | 4 |
| 34 Nasser Djiga D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (54%) | 1 |
| 7 André M | 6.8 | 82' | – | – | – | 32 (30%) | 4 |
| 21 Rodrigo Gomes M | 6.6 | 51' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | – |
| 8 Jordan James M | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 5 Marshall Munetsi M | 6.5 | 61' | – | – | 4 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 27 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde M | 6.4 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 12 (12%) | 2 |
| 14 Sean Neave F | 6.4 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 10 Adam Armstrong F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 18 (9%) | 4 |
| 36 Mateus Mané M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 3 Hugo Bueno D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (36%) | – |
| 19 R. Saïd F | 6.1 | 39' | – | – | 2 | 17 (12%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Our lean
Middlesbrough or draw
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Middlesbrough
DLWWD
Wolves
DWWWD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
44%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
29%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Middlesbrough
W. Lankshear
13 gls
Wolves
Fer López
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Middlesbrough vs Wolves
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Middlesbrough — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Watford | D | 0 - 0 |
| 04 Nov | A Wrexham | L | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Charlton | W | 3 - 0 |
| 23 Oct | A Bolton | W | 1 - 5 |
| 17 Oct | H Cardiff | D | 2 - 2 |
Wolves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Wrexham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Nov | A Bristol City | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Cardiff | W | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Watford | W | 1 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Portsmouth | D | 1 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Wolves
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: César Peixoto
1
Sá
3
Bueno
24
Gomes
34
Djiga
2
Trippier
5
Munetsi
20
Doyle
36
Mane
7
André
21
Gomes
10
Armstrong
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | José Sá | G |
| 2 | K. Trippier | D |
| 34 | N. Djiga | D |
| 24 | Toti Gomes | D |
| 3 | Hugo Bueno | D |
| 20 | T. Doyle | M |
| 5 | M. Munetsi | M |
| 21 | Rodrigo Gomes | M |
| 7 | André | M |
| 36 | M. Mane | M |
| 10 | A. Armstrong | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | J. James | M |
| 33 | G. Konan | D |
| 37 | L. Krejčí | D |
| 28 | Fer López | M |
| 14 | S. Neave | F |
| 19 | R. Saïd | F |
| 38 | J. Tchatchoua | D |
| 13 | João Virgínia | G |
| 27 | J. Bellegarde | M |
Middlesbrough
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: K. Hellberg
1
Vítek
30
Borges
29
Malanda
4
Phillips
2
Brittain
6
Berhalter
10
Morris
9
Conway
8
McGree
11
Cozier-Duberry
7
Lankshear
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Vítek | G |
| 2 | C. Brittain | D |
| 4 | A. Phillips | D |
| 29 | A. Malanda | D |
| 30 | Neto Borges | D |
| 10 | A. Morris | M |
| 6 | S. Berhalter | M |
| 11 | A. Cozier-Duberry | M |
| 8 | R. McGree | M |
| 9 | T. Conway | M |
| 7 | W. Lankshear | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | M. Peart-Harris | M |
| 16 | J. Sarmiento | F |
| 17 | M. Arfsten | D |
| 12 | L. Ayling | D |
| 18 | C. Barron | M |
| 31 | S. Brynn | G |
| 3 | S. Byram | D |
| 19 | Leo Castledine | M |
| 22 | K. Joseph | F |