Blackburn vs Cardiff Prediction
FT
Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
AI call
Cardiff or draw
32%
27%
41%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Blackburn vs Cardiff prediction: Sportiko gives Blackburn a 32% chance of winning, Cardiff 41% and the draw 27%. Last updated 10 Oct 2026, 15:54.
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Premium- 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
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Timeline
Andri Guðjohnsen
28'
⚽
1–0
Todd Cantwell
assist: Ryoya Morishita
38'
⚽
2–0
HT 2–0
⚽
2–1
53'
Callum Robinson
assist: Jack Moylan
⇄
60'
Cian Ashford
⇄ Chris Willock
Andri Guðjohnsen
⇄ M. Baradji
63'
⇄
Ryoya Morishita
⇄ Jayden Fevrier
64'
⇄
⇄
71'
Joel Colwill
⇄ David Turnbull
⇄
71'
Callum Robinson
⇄ Isaak Davies
Oladapo Afolayan
⇄ A. Kargbo
74'
⇄
⇄
78'
Joel Bagan
⇄ Ronan Kpakio
⇄
78'
D. Lawlor
⇄ Calum Scanlon
Kristi Montgomery
⇄ Jake Garrett
83'
⇄
Todd Cantwell
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
FT 2–1
Blackburn
Match Stats
Cardiff
42%
Ball Possession
58%
1.79
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
17
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
4
13
Shots insidebox
7
4
Shots outsidebox
1
11
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
327
Total passes
460
240
Passes accurate
382
6
Free Kicks
9
Blackburn
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Todd Cantwell M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 37 (32%) | 2 |
| 9 Andri Guðjohnsen F | 7.8 | 63' | 1 | – | 2 | 23 (17%) | – |
| 25 Ryoya Morishita M | 7.2 | 64' | – | 1 | 1 | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 31 Kristi Montgomery M | 7.0 | 83' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 5 |
| 21 Oladapo Afolayan M | 6.9 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 24 (20%) | 3 |
| 17 Hayden Carter D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (24%) | 2 |
| 11 Jayden Fevrier F | 6.7 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 8 Sam Morsy M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | 4 |
| 7 A. Kargbo F | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 30 Jake Garrett M | 6.4 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 2 Ryan Alebiosu D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (16%) | 2 |
| 24 M. Baradji M | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | 4 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 3 Harry Pickering D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | 3 |
| 22 Balázs Tóth G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (7%) | – |
| 15 Sean McLoughlin D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (16%) | 1 |
Cardiff
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Callum Robinson F | 7.4 | 71' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 1 Nathan Trott G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (41%) | – |
| 3 Joel Bagan D | 6.9 | 78' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 5 |
| 48 D. Lawlor D | 6.6 | 78' | – | – | – | 64 (57%) | 1 |
| 18 Alex Robertson M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (61%) | 2 |
| 11 Ollie Tanner M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 39 Isaak Davies F | 6.4 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 14 David Turnbull M | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 16 Chris Willock M | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 44 Ronan Kpakio D | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 2 |
| 23 Calum Scanlon D | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 8 Jack Moylan M | 6.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 4 | 20 (13%) | 1 |
| 27 Joel Colwill M | 6.1 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 45 Cian Ashford M | 6.0 | 60' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | 1 |
| 38 Perry Ng D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (31%) | 1 |
| 4 Gabriel Osho D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (54%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Our lean
Cardiff or draw
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Blackburn
WLLWL
Cardiff
WDLWD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
32%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
41%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Blackburn
A. Guðjohnsen
9 gls
O. Afolayan
4 gls
Cardiff
J. Moylan
9 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Blackburn vs Cardiff
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Blackburn — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H West Ham | W | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Nov | H Stoke City | L | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Swansea | L | 4 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Wrexham | W | 2 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A West Brom | L | 3 - 2 |
Cardiff — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Burnley | W | 5 - 4 |
| 04 Nov | H West Ham | D | 3 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A Wolves | L | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Birmingham | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Middlesbrough | D | 2 - 2 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Blackburn
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Salvatore Bocchetti
22
Tóth
3
Pickering
15
McLoughlin
17
Carter
2
Alebiosu
31
Montgomery
8
Morsy
21
Afolayan
10
Cantwell
25
Morishita
9
Guðjohnsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | B. Tóth | G |
| 2 | R. Alebiosu | D |
| 17 | H. Carter | D |
| 15 | S. McLoughlin | D |
| 3 | H. Pickering | D |
| 8 | Sam Morsy | M |
| 31 | Kristi Montgomery | M |
| 25 | R. Morishita | M |
| 10 | T. Cantwell | M |
| 21 | O. Afolayan | M |
| 9 | A. Guðjohnsen | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | Tom Atcheson | D |
| 24 | M. Baradji | M |
| 27 | Gady Beyuku | D |
| 14 | D. De Neve | M |
| 11 | J. Fevrier | F |
| 30 | J. Garrett | M |
| 7 | A. Kargbo | F |
| 1 | A. Pears | G |
| 39 | H. Pates | D |
Cardiff
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
1
Trott
3
Bagan
48
Lawlor
4
Osho
38
Ng
27
Colwill
18
Robertson
45
Ashford
8
Moylan
11
Tanner
47
Robinson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Trott | G |
| 38 | P. Ng | D |
| 4 | G. Osho | D |
| 48 | D. Lawlor | D |
| 3 | J. Bagan | D |
| 18 | A. Robertson | M |
| 27 | J. Colwill | M |
| 11 | O. Tanner | M |
| 8 | J. Moylan | M |
| 45 | Cian Ashford | M |
| 47 | C. Robinson | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | R. Kpakio | D |
| 43 | P. Moreno | M |
| 23 | C. Scanlon | D |
| 14 | D. Turnbull | M |
| 30 | H. Tyrer | G |
| 16 | C. Willock | M |
| 2 | W. Fish | D |
| 39 | I. Davies | F |
| 50 | Charlie Holt | M |