Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 9

10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Portsmouth

Away

AI call Difficult Portsmouth win or draw

18%

28%

54%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction: Sportiko gives Southampton a 18% chance of winning, Portsmouth 54% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Southampton

LWWDD

Portsmouth

DDWLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Championship clash between Southampton and Portsmouth, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their recent form. Southampton has demonstrated a solid home record, and while they may have the advantage of familiar surroundings, Portsmouth's away performances have shown resilience. Key players to watch include Southampton's attacking threats and Portsmouth's defensive organization, which could prove crucial in a tightly contested derby. With both teams vying for crucial points, expect a competitive match with potential playoff implications.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Portsmouth goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	13	12	6	2	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Southampton goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

Southampton

C. Larin 7 gls

F. Azaz 3 gls

Portsmouth

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

28%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

28%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

75% Away (No Draw) 25% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	13.0%	11.5%	6.1%	2.4%
1	5.9%	13.3%	9.4%	5.0%	2.0%
2	3.0%	4.8%	3.8%	2.0%	0.8%
3	0.8%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Southampton	Draw	Portsmouth
Southampton	9.7%	3.7%	2.1%
Draw	7.7%	18.7%	19.3%
Portsmouth	1.0%	3.8%	34.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Southampton vs Portsmouth

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Southampton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Wrexham	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Bristol City	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Swansea	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	A Lincoln	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Birmingham	D	1 - 1

Portsmouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Blackburn	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Charlton	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Cardiff	W	2 - 0
01 Sep	H Derby	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Bristol City	L	2 - 1

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	13	6	+7	17
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	22	11	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	16	12	+4	15
4	Wolves	7	4	2	1	15	10	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	4	2	2	10	8	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	10	7	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	13	12	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	11	12	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7	10	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	12	11	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	15	15	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	7	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19	10	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9	12	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	11	15	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12	12	0	9
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	16	17	-1	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7	10	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10	12	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	7	14	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	8	15	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	9	17	-8	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.