Portsmouth vs Blackburn Prediction

Championship · Regular Season - 8

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Portsmouth

Home

2 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Blackburn

Away

Fratton Park, Portsmouth

AI call Portsmouth or draw

43%

30%

28%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Portsmouth vs Blackburn prediction: Sportiko gives Portsmouth a 43% chance of winning, Blackburn 28% and the draw 30%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:55.

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Home to Score 76%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

Zak Swanson

4' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 11'

Oladapo Afolayan assist: Harry Pickering

Marlon Pack Yellow Card

40' ▮

Rocco Robert Shein ⇄ Ebou Adams

45' ⇄

HT 1–1

▮ 47'

Tom Atcheson Yellow Card

⚽ 1–2 56'

Ryoya Morishita assist: Oladapo Afolayan

Marlon Pack ⇄ Odin Bailey

63' ⇄

Conor Shaughnessy ⇄ Regan Poole

63' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Oladapo Afolayan ⇄ Andri Guðjohnsen

⇄ 69'

Tom Atcheson ⇄ M. Baradji

Adrian Segečić ⇄ Colby Bishop

71' ⇄

Colby Bishop assist: Ryan Kavuma-McQueen

74' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 83'

Todd Cantwell ⇄ Jayden Fevrier

Ryan Kavuma-McQueen ⇄ Iyad Mohamed

87' ⇄

Zak Swanson Yellow Card

89' ▮

FT 2–2

Portsmouth

Match Stats

Blackburn

54% Ball Possession 46%

20 Total Shots 8

6 Shots on Goal 5

7 Shots off Goal 2

7 Blocked Shots 1

15 Shots insidebox 7

5 Shots outsidebox 1

9 Corner Kicks 7

2 Offsides 2

16 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

321 Total passes 314

239 Passes accurate 231

9 Free Kicks 16

Portsmouth

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Colby Bishop F	8.0	19'	1	–	1	3 (1%)	–
25 Ryan Kavuma-McQueen M	7.6	87'	–	1	10	10 (4%)	–
5 Regan Poole D	6.7	27'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
6 Conor Shaughnessy D	6.6	63'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	2
31 Daniel Bielica G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	27 (15%)	–
16 Jayden Meghoma D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	39 (33%)	2
22 Zak Swanson D	6.4	90'	1	–	1	30 (22%)	4
19 Rocco Robert Shein M	6.3	46'	–	–	–	25 (19%)	2
17 T. Shade F	6.3	90'	–	–	1	19 (15%)	–
55 Madiodio Dia D	6.2	90'	–	–	2	39 (30%)	2
7 Marlon Pack M	6.2	63'	–	–	1	32 (23%)	1
11 Abu Kamara M	6.1	90'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	2
10 Adrian Segečić M	6.1	71'	–	–	3	8 (5%)	–
37 Iyad Mohamed M	6.0	3'	–	–	–	–	–
27 Odin Bailey M	6.0	27'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
38 Ebou Adams M	5.9	44'	–	–	–	18 (12%)	4

Blackburn

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Oladapo Afolayan M	8.2	68'	1	1	3	11 (10%)	2
25 Ryoya Morishita M	7.0	90'	1	–	1	24 (17%)	2
11 Jayden Fevrier F	6.8	7'	–	–	1	1	–
9 Andri Guðjohnsen F	6.7	22'	–	–	–	4	2
22 Balázs Tóth G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	25 (10%)	–
10 Todd Cantwell F	6.6	83'	–	–	1	29 (26%)	1
24 M. Baradji M	6.4	21'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
2 Ryan Alebiosu D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	3
3 Harry Pickering D	6.2	90'	–	1	1	22 (16%)	1
6 Tom Atcheson D	6.1	69'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	2
17 Hayden Carter D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	39 (29%)	2
15 Sean McLoughlin D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	39 (28%)	–
31 Kristi Montgomery M	6.0	90'	–	–	–	27 (20%)	2
8 Sam Morsy M	5.8	90'	–	–	1	40 (32%)	1

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

Portsmouth or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Portsmouth

DDWLL

Blackburn

DWLLD

Last 1 meetings Portsmouth · 1W 0D 0L

Live insights

76' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 71%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 71%. Late goal chance: 31.9%.

58' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Blackburn win: 71.8%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 33.2%, Away win 2H: 23.2%.

11' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 32.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Blackburn goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Portsmouth goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Portsmouth

No scorer data.

Blackburn

O. Afolayan 3 gls

A. Guðjohnsen 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	7.3%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.0%	14.3%	6.9%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.2%	8.9%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.9%	4.2%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Portsmouth	Draw	Blackburn
Portsmouth	27.4%	4.5%	1.5%
Draw	14.5%	19.0%	10.4%
Blackburn	1.9%	4.3%	16.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Portsmouth vs Blackburn

1 Portsmouth Wins

0 Draws

0 Blackburn Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	Blackburn	0 - 1	Portsmouth

Portsmouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Blackburn	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Charlton	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Cardiff	W	2 - 0
01 Sep	H Derby	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Bristol City	L	2 - 1

Blackburn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Portsmouth	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Millwall	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Sheffield Utd	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Preston	L	2 - 1
01 Sep	A Lincoln	D	0 - 0

Championship Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	13	6	+7	17
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	22	11	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	16	12	+4	15
4	Wolves	7	4	2	1	15	10	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	4	2	2	10	8	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	10	7	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	13	12	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	11	12	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7	10	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	12	11	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	15	15	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	7	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19	10	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9	12	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	11	15	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12	12	0	9
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	16	17	-1	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7	10	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10	12	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	7	14	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	8	15	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	9	17	-8	4

Blackburn

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: David Pagou

22 Tóth

3 Pickering

15 McLoughlin

17 Carter

6 Atcheson

2 Alebiosu

21 Afolayan

31 Montgomery

8 Morsy

25 Morishita

10 Cantwell

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	B. Tóth	G
2	R. Alebiosu	D
6	Tom Atcheson	D
17	H. Carter	D
15	S. McLoughlin	D
3	H. Pickering	D
25	R. Morishita	M
8	Sam Morsy	M
31	Kristi Montgomery	M
21	O. Afolayan	M
10	T. Cantwell	F

Substitutes

24	M. Baradji	M
27	Gady Beyuku	D
14	D. De Neve	M
11	J. Fevrier	F
30	J. Garrett	M
9	A. Guðjohnsen	F
42	Harry Lister	M
1	A. Pears	G
39	H. Pates	D

Portsmouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

31 Bielica

16 Meghoma

6 Shaughnessy

55 Dia

22 Swanson

19 Shein

7 Pack

25 McQueen

10 Segecic

11 Kamara

17 Shade

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	D. Bielica	G
22	Z. Swanson	D
55	M. Dia	D
6	C. Shaughnessy	D
16	J. Meghoma	D
7	M. Pack	M
19	R. Shein	M
11	A. Kamara	M
10	A. Segecic	M
25	R. Kavuma McQueen	M
17	T. Shade	F

Substitutes

38	E. Adams	M
27	O. Bailey	M
9	C. Bishop	F
24	T. Devlin	M
32	E. Kenny	M
37	I. Mohamed	M
5	R. Poole	D
1	N. Schmid	G
8	J. Swift	M