Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction
FT
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
AI call
Difficult Middlesbrough win or draw
61%
23%
16%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Middlesbrough vs Millwall prediction: Sportiko gives Middlesbrough a 61% chance of winning, Millwall 16% and the draw 23%. Last updated 15 Sep 2026, 20:36.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
11'
Tairyk Arconte
assist: Camiel Neghli
⚽
0–2
36'
Lyndon Dykes
assist: Caleb Taylor
Sebastian Berhalter
⇄ Kyle Joseph
45'
⇄
Neto Borges
⇄ Maximilian Arfsten
45'
⇄
T. Conway
⇄ Jeremy Sarmiento
45'
⇄
HT 0–2
Amario Cozier-Duberry
50'
⚽
1–2
⇄
56'
Lyndon Dykes
⇄ Elkan Baggott
▮
59'
Derek Mazou-Sacko
Yellow Card
Will Lankshear
assist: Luke Ayling
61'
⚽
2–2
Riley McGree
Yellow Card
66'
▮
⇄
75'
Jenson Metcalfe
⇄ Daniel Kelly
⇄
75'
Tairyk Arconte
⇄ Zak Lovelace
Riley McGree
⇄ Myles Peart-Harris
78'
⇄
⇄
84'
Zak Sturge
⇄ Luke Cundle
⇄
84'
Mark Sykes
⇄ Yanis Issoufou
Amario Cozier-Duberry
⇄ David Strelec
85'
⇄
FT 2–2
Middlesbrough
Match Stats
Millwall
80%
Ball Possession
20%
22
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots off Goal
6
10
Blocked Shots
1
12
Shots insidebox
11
10
Shots outsidebox
0
14
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
3
3
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
643
Total passes
159
592
Passes accurate
98
10
Free Kicks
3
Middlesbrough
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Amario Cozier-Duberry M | 8.2 | 85' | 1 | – | 7 | 44 (38%) | – |
| 7 Will Lankshear F | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 13 (13%) | – |
| 10 Aidan Morris M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 107 (100%) | 1 |
| 6 Sebastian Berhalter M | 7.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | – |
| 12 Luke Ayling D | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 77 (69%) | – |
| 16 Jeremy Sarmiento F | 6.9 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 21 (21%) | 1 |
| 22 Kyle Joseph F | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 8 Riley McGree M | 6.6 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 56 (53%) | – |
| 9 T. Conway M | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 22 (21%) | – |
| 2 Callum Brittain D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (56%) | 1 |
| 13 David Strelec F | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 17 Maximilian Arfsten D | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | – | 40 (38%) | 1 |
| 4 Ashley Phillips D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (75%) | 1 |
| 14 Myles Peart-Harris M | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 1 Radek Vitek G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 30 Neto Borges D | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 50 (48%) | – |
Millwall
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Lyndon Dykes M | 7.6 | 56' | 1 | – | 2 | 10 (4%) | 1 |
| 7 Tairyk Arconte F | 7.6 | 75' | 1 | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 3 Zak Sturge D | 7.1 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | 3 |
| 10 Camiel Neghli M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 6 Caleb Taylor D | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 12 (10%) | 3 |
| 2 Jordi Osei-Tutu D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 15 Max Crocombe G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (7%) | – |
| 5 Jake Cooper D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 4 |
| 35 Yanis Issoufou F | 6.5 | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 17 Mark Sykes M | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 16 (9%) | 2 |
| 29 Zak Lovelace F | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 49 Derek Mazou-Sacko M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | 4 |
| 14 Jenson Metcalfe M | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 2 |
| 25 Luke Cundle M | 6.2 | 6' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 12 Elkan Baggott D | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 16 Daniel Kelly M | 6.1 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (61%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Middlesbrough win or draw
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Middlesbrough
DLWWD
Millwall
LLWLD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Middlesbrough
W. Lankshear
13 gls
Millwall
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Middlesbrough vs Millwall
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Middlesbrough — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Watford | D | 0 - 0 |
| 04 Nov | A Wrexham | L | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Charlton | W | 3 - 0 |
| 23 Oct | A Bolton | W | 1 - 5 |
| 17 Oct | H Cardiff | D | 2 - 2 |
Millwall — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A West Brom | L | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Birmingham | L | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Derby | W | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Portsmouth | L | 2 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Lincoln | D | 2 - 2 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Millwall
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Neil
15
Crocombe
3
Sturge
5
Cooper
6
Taylor
2
Osei-Tutu
49
Mazou-Sacko
14
Metcalfe
10
Neghli
13
Dykes
17
Sykes
7
Arconte
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | M. Crocombe | G |
| 2 | J. Osei-Tutu | D |
| 6 | C. Taylor | D |
| 5 | J. Cooper | D |
| 3 | Zak Norton Sturge | D |
| 14 | Jenson Metcalfe | M |
| 49 | D. Mazou-Sacko | M |
| 17 | M. Sykes | M |
| 13 | L. Dykes | M |
| 10 | C. Neghli | M |
| 7 | T. Arconte | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | L. Cundle | M |
| 35 | Y. Issoufou | F |
| 16 | D. Kelly | M |
| 29 | Z. Lovelace | F |
| 34 | F. Marschall | G |
| 44 | Alfie Massey | M |
| 55 | Tristan Parkes | D |
| 12 | E. Baggott | D |
| 23 | D. Batth | D |
Middlesbrough
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: K. Hellberg
1
Vítek
30
Borges
4
Phillips
12
Ayling
2
Brittain
6
Berhalter
10
Morris
9
Conway
8
McGree
11
Cozier-Duberry
7
Lankshear
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Vítek | G |
| 2 | C. Brittain | D |
| 12 | L. Ayling | D |
| 4 | A. Phillips | D |
| 30 | Neto Borges | D |
| 10 | A. Morris | M |
| 6 | S. Berhalter | M |
| 11 | A. Cozier-Duberry | M |
| 8 | R. McGree | M |
| 9 | T. Conway | M |
| 7 | W. Lankshear | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | M. Peart-Harris | M |
| 21 | R. Pukštas | M |
| 13 | D. Strelec | F |
| 16 | J. Sarmiento | F |
| 17 | M. Arfsten | D |
| 31 | S. Brynn | G |
| 3 | S. Byram | D |
| 19 | Leo Castledine | M |
| 22 | K. Joseph | F |