Cardiff vs Stoke City Prediction
FT
AI call
Cardiff or draw
46%
27%
28%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Cardiff vs Stoke City prediction: Sportiko gives Cardiff a 46% chance of winning, Stoke City 28% and the draw 27%. Last updated 8 Sep 2026, 20:37.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 73%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
22'
Ben Johnson
assist: Róbert Boženík
▮
27'
Ben Wilmot
Yellow Card
Perry Ng
Yellow Card
45+2'
▮
HT 0–1
⇄
59'
Luca Bombino
⇄ Eric Bocat
⇄
59'
George Hirst
⇄ Jun-Ho Bae
Joel Colwill
assist: Chris Willock
63'
⚽
1–1
⇄
69'
Justin Devenny
⇄ Lamine Cissé
⇄
69'
Róbert Boženík
⇄ Jack McGlynn
▮
81'
Luke Graham
Yellow Card
Chris Willock
⇄ Cian Ashford
82'
⇄
FT 1–1
Cardiff
Match Stats
Stoke City
71%
Ball Possession
29%
26
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
12
Shots off Goal
5
8
Blocked Shots
3
18
Shots insidebox
8
8
Shots outsidebox
4
7
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
4
5
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
561
Total passes
231
488
Passes accurate
157
19
Free Kicks
5
Cardiff
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Joel Colwill M | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 34 (31%) | 1 |
| 16 Chris Willock M | 7.7 | 82' | – | 1 | 1 | 29 (26%) | – |
| 5 Krystian Bielik D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 86 (78%) | 1 |
| 18 Alex Robertson M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 81 (73%) | 1 |
| 4 Gabriel Osho D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 76 (73%) | – |
| 1 Nathan Trott G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | – |
| 3 Joel Bagan D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 68 (56%) | 2 |
| 8 Jack Moylan M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 6 | 33 (24%) | 1 |
| 38 Perry Ng D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 71 (62%) | 2 |
| 45 Cian Ashford F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 9 Yousef Salech F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 11 Ollie Tanner M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 7 | 33 (27%) | 3 |
Stoke City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Ben Johnson M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 1 Viktor Johansson G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (13%) | – |
| 9 Róbert Boženík F | 7.2 | 69' | – | 1 | 3 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 21 Luca Bombino M | 6.8 | 59' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 4 |
| 8 Ethan Galbraith M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (23%) | 1 |
| 15 George Hirst F | 6.6 | 59' | – | – | 2 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 40 Maksym Talovierov D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | – |
| 10 Jun-Ho Bae M | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 2 |
| 11 Lamine Cissé F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 27 Djibril Soumaré M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | 1 |
| 17 Eric Bocat D | 6.4 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 8 (3%) | – |
| 7 Jack McGlynn M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 2 |
| 16 Ben Wilmot D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 13 Justin Devenny M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 17 (9%) | 1 |
| 5 Luke Graham D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (46%)
At a glance
Our lean
Cardiff or draw
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Cardiff
WLDLL
Stoke City
WWDWW
Last 2 meetings
Cardiff · 0W 2D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Cardiff
J. Moylan
3 gls
Stoke City
E. Galbraith
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Cardiff vs Stoke City
0
Cardiff Wins
2
Draws
0
Stoke City Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2014 | Cardiff | 1 - 1 | Stoke City |
| 04 Dec 2013 | Stoke City | 0 - 0 | Cardiff |
Cardiff — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Charlton | W | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Bolton | L | 1 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Stoke City | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Portsmouth | L | 2 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | A QPR | L | 2 - 1 |
Stoke City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Sheffield Utd | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Watford | W | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Cardiff | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Charlton | W | 4 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | H Norwich | W | 1 - 0 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Stoke City
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: M. Robins
1
Johansson
5
Graham
40
Talovierov
16
Wilmot
21
Bombino
8
Galbraith
27
Soumaré
13
Devenny
2
Johnson
9
Boženík
15
Hirst
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Johansson | G |
| 16 | B. Wilmot | D |
| 40 | M. Talovierov | D |
| 5 | L. Graham | D |
| 2 | B. Johnson | M |
| 13 | J. Devenny | M |
| 27 | El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | M |
| 8 | E. Galbraith | M |
| 21 | L. Bombino | M |
| 15 | G. Hirst | F |
| 9 | R. Boženík | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | Bae Jun-Ho | M |
| 17 | E. Bocat | D |
| 11 | L. Cissé | F |
| 24 | J. Griffiths | G |
| 42 | M. Manhoef | F |
| 7 | J. McGlynn | M |
| 4 | B. Pearson | M |
| 19 | T. Rigo | M |
| 43 | F. Anderson | D |
Cardiff
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
1
Trott
3
Bagan
4
Osho
5
Bielik
38
Ng
27
Colwill
18
Robertson
16
Willock
8
Moylan
11
Tanner
9
Salech
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Trott | G |
| 38 | P. Ng | D |
| 5 | K. Bielik | D |
| 4 | G. Osho | D |
| 3 | J. Bagan | D |
| 18 | A. Robertson | M |
| 27 | J. Colwill | M |
| 11 | O. Tanner | M |
| 8 | J. Moylan | M |
| 16 | C. Willock | M |
| 9 | Y. Salech | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | D. Turnbull | M |
| 30 | H. Tyrer | G |
| 40 | N. Anyadike | D |
| 45 | Cian Ashford | F |
| 44 | R. Kpakio | D |
| 43 | P. Moreno | M |
| 47 | C. Robinson | F |
| 23 | C. Scanlon | D |
| 33 | R. Tankiewicz | M |