Stoke City vs Charlton Prediction
FT
AI call
Stoke City or draw
42%
30%
27%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Stoke City vs Charlton prediction: Sportiko gives Stoke City a 42% chance of winning, Charlton 27% and the draw 30%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 13:28.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
- Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Justin Devenny
Penalty
15'
⚽
1–0
Ethan Galbraith
22'
⚽
2–0
George Hirst
assist: Eric Bocat
25'
⚽
3–0
⇄
26'
T. Campbell
⇄ Danny McNamara
Sam Gallagher
⇄ Róbert Boženík
34'
⇄
Justin Devenny
assist: Eric Bocat
40'
⚽
4–0
⇄
45'
T. Ouma
⇄ Conor Coventry
▮
45+3'
Miles Leaburn
Yellow Card
Ethan Galbraith
Yellow Card
45+5'
▮
HT 4–0
▮
48'
Danny McNamara
Yellow Card
George Hirst
⇄ Lamine Cissé
57'
⇄
Justin Devenny
⇄ Jack McGlynn
58'
⇄
B. Lawal
⇄ Maksym Talovierov
58'
⇄
▮
62'
Conor Coventry
Yellow Card
⇄
72'
Miles Leaburn
⇄ Micah Mbick
⇄
72'
Joe Rankin-Costello
⇄ Millenic Alli
⇄
79'
Karlan Grant
⇄ Robert Apter
Djibril Soumaré
⇄ Ben Pearson
79'
⇄
FT 4–0
Stoke City
Match Stats
Charlton
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots off Goal
7
4
Blocked Shots
3
11
Shots insidebox
10
6
Shots outsidebox
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
20
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
496
Total passes
292
428
Passes accurate
224
13
Free Kicks
20
Stoke City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Justin Devenny M | 8.4 | 58' | 2 | – | 4 | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 17 Eric Bocat M | 8.2 | 90' | – | 2 | 1 | 33 (27%) | – |
| 8 Ethan Galbraith M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 64 (58%) | – |
| 15 George Hirst F | 7.9 | 57' | 1 | – | 2 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 40 Maksym Talovierov D | 7.6 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 48 (47%) | 1 |
| 5 Luke Graham D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | 4 |
| 16 Ben Wilmot D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (48%) | 2 |
| 7 Jack McGlynn M | 7.2 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 27 (25%) | – |
| 18 B. Lawal D | 7.2 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 20 (16%) | 2 |
| 4 Ben Pearson M | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 2 |
| 20 Sam Gallagher F | 6.8 | 34' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 1 Viktor Johansson G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (11%) | – |
| 27 Djibril Soumaré M | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | – | 62 (53%) | 1 |
| 9 Róbert Boženík F | 6.6 | 56' | – | – | 2 | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 2 Ben Johnson M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 11 Lamine Cissé F | 6.5 | 33' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
Charlton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Oliver Skipp M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 19 Millenic Alli F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 9 Karlan Grant M | 6.4 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 33 Micah Mbick F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 44 Tyler Bindon D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 33 (24%) | 3 |
| 5 Lloyd Jones D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 33 (28%) | – |
| 11 Miles Leaburn F | 6.1 | 72' | – | – | – | 20 (8%) | 2 |
| 6 Conor Coventry M | 6.0 | 44' | – | – | – | 17 (17%) | 1 |
| 13 Arthur Okonkwo G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (12%) | – |
| 26 Joe Rankin-Costello M | 5.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 27 (22%) | 1 |
| 7 T. Campbell M | 5.9 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 16 T. Ouma M | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | – |
| 18 Ivan Mesík D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | 2 |
| 17 Amari'i Bell D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (29%) | – |
| 30 Robert Apter M | 5.4 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 20 Danny McNamara D | 4.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
Stoke City or draw
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Stoke City
WWWDW
Charlton
WLLLL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
27%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Stoke City
J. McGlynn
4 gls
Charlton
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Stoke City vs Charlton
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Stoke City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Portsmouth | W | 1 - 2 |
| 03 Nov | A Blackburn | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Preston | W | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Bristol City | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Derby | W | 0 - 1 |
Charlton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Sheffield Utd | W | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Nov | H Bolton | L | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Middlesbrough | L | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Norwich | L | 1 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | A Watford | L | 2 - 0 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Stoke City
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: M. Robins
1
Johansson
5
Graham
18
Lawal
16
Wilmot
17
Bocat
8
Galbraith
27
Soumaré
13
Devenny
2
Johnson
15
Hirst
20
Gallagher
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Johansson | G |
| 16 | B. Wilmot | D |
| 18 | B. Lawal | D |
| 5 | L. Graham | D |
| 2 | B. Johnson | M |
| 13 | J. Devenny | M |
| 27 | El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | M |
| 8 | E. Galbraith | M |
| 17 | E. Bocat | M |
| 20 | S. Gallagher | F |
| 15 | G. Hirst | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | L. Bombino | D |
| 10 | Bae Jun-Ho | M |
| 9 | R. Boženík | F |
| 11 | L. Cissé | F |
| 24 | J. Griffiths | G |
| 7 | J. McGlynn | M |
| 4 | B. Pearson | M |
| 19 | T. Rigo | M |
| 40 | M. Talovierov | D |
Charlton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: N. Jones
13
Okonkwo
17
Bell
44
Bindon
5
Jones
18
Mesík
34
Skipp
16
Ouma
7
Campbell
26
Rankin-Costello
9
Ahearne-Grant
11
Leaburn
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Okonkwo | G |
| 18 | I. Mesík | D |
| 5 | L. Jones | D |
| 44 | Tyler Bindon | D |
| 17 | A. Bell | D |
| 16 | T. Ouma | M |
| 34 | O. Skipp | M |
| 9 | K. Ahearne-Grant | M |
| 26 | J. Rankin-Costello | M |
| 7 | T. Campbell | M |
| 11 | M. Leaburn | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | M. Alli | F |
| 30 | R. Apter | M |
| 21 | T. Brooks | G |
| 14 | S. Carey | M |
| 6 | C. Coventry | M |
| 8 | H. Knibbs | M |
| 33 | Micah Mbick | F |
| 20 | D. McNamara | D |
| 32 | A. Mwamba | D |