Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Turf Moor, Burnley
AI call Middlesbrough or draw
32%
27%
40%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Burnley vs Middlesbrough prediction: Sportiko gives Burnley a 32% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 40% and the draw 27%. Last updated 2 Sep 2026, 20:57.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Home to Score 75%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 23'
Aidan Morris assist: Sebastian Berhalter
Hannibal Mejbri Yellow Card
28' ▮
▮ 39'
Will Lankshear Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Andreas Hountondji ⇄ Largie Ramazani
46' ⇄
Hannibal Mejbri ⇄ Max Alleyne
46' ⇄
Ugo Raghouber assist: Zeki Amdouni
54' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 61'
Riley McGree ⇄ T. Conway
⇄ 61'
Kyle Joseph ⇄ Leo Castledine
▮ 71'
Alfie Jones Yellow Card
Zeki Amdouni ⇄ Aaron Ramsey
71' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Alfie Jones ⇄ Ashley Phillips
Jacob Bruun Larsen ⇄ Armando Broja
77' ⇄
Dastan Satpaev ⇄ Mike Trésor
81' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Will Lankshear ⇄ David Strelec
Ugo Raghouber Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 1–1
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean
Middlesbrough or draw
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Burnley
LDDLL
Middlesbrough
DLWWD
Last 2 meetings Burnley · 1W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Burnley

No scorer data.

Middlesbrough
W. Lankshear 13 gls

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Head to Head: Burnley vs Middlesbrough

1 Burnley Wins
1 Draws
0 Middlesbrough Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Apr 2017 Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Burnley
26 Dec 2016 Burnley 1 - 0 Middlesbrough

Burnley — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Cardiff L 5 - 4
03 Nov A QPR D 1 - 1
31 Oct H Portsmouth D 0 - 0
24 Oct A Lincoln L 4 - 1
16 Oct H Wolves L 1 - 2

Middlesbrough — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Watford D 0 - 0
04 Nov A Wrexham L 2 - 0
31 Oct H Charlton W 3 - 0
23 Oct A Bolton W 1 - 5
17 Oct H Cardiff D 2 - 2

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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